ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven

Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven result

Full-time · Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie · · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Excelsior · PSV Eindhoven · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven — PSV Eindhoven won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

PSV Eindhoven won 2–1 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August. PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

PSV Eindhoven led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — PSV Eindhoven: Ruben van Bommel (5’) and Ricardo Pepi (56’, assisted by Sergiño Dest); Excelsior: Casper Widell (54’, assisted by Irakli Yegoian).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ricardo Pepi’s goal on 56 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Excelsior 0.51, PSV Eindhoven 2.24, from 5 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands showed one yellow card — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Excelsior: Jan Plug (88’).

What it changes

Excelsior move down from first to third (two league matches played). Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Excelsior have conceded 28 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

PSV Eindhoven move up from fourth to second (two league matches played). PSV Eindhoven have scored 35 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). PSV Eindhoven have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Excelsior have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. PSV Eindhoven have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Casper Widell (Excelsior) 7.8, Sergiño Dest (PSV Eindhoven) 7.7 and Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) 7.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Excelsior, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Excelsior next host GO Ahead Eagles on 7 November 2026.

PSV Eindhoven next travel to Cambuur on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Excelsior: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for PSV Eindhoven: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion · Rotterdam
  • Referee: Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Excelsior 0 · draws 0 · PSV Eindhoven 6 · 4.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Excelsior 4W 1D 0L · PSV Eindhoven 3W 2D 0L

Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 3.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 7.13
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 7.13
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.38 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.14 yellows
Referee · Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands
20.43 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameExcelsior for / againstLinePSV Eindhoven for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5our book
3.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
Cards shown
0.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8

Referee: Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands — 2.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.43 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
2.56/6

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Plug19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Meissen19090 min11 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Janssen18181 min55.6 /9000 /9000 /9066.7 /9011.1 /9000 /90
N. Martens17474 min11.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Widell11616 min00 /9000 /9000 /90211.3 /9015.6 /9000 /90
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Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Naujoks n 884.5
1.78/3
0.84/2
—
R. Meissen n 876.5
1.65/3
0.63/1
A. Obispo
L. Hartjes n 886.6
0.64/1
0.54/0
P. Wanner
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. de Regt n 886.8
0.65/0
0.85/1
—
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Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Hartjes n 886.6
2.38/6
N. Naujoks n 884.5
2.37/5
R. Meissen n 876.5
1.67/3
G. de Regt n 886.8
0.43/0
S. Janssen n 856
2.47/2
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Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. de Regt18585 min00 /9011.1 /9033.2 /9022.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
Irakli Yegoian17575 min11.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9044.8 /9011.2 /90
David Garden17474 min11.2 /9000 /9033.6 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9033.6 /90
N. Groen11616 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015.6 /9000 /90
A. Sliti11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9016 /9000 /90
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Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Naujoks n 884.5
26/5
1.15/3
L. Hartjes n 886.6
0.63/1
0.32/0
R. Meissen n 876.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
G. de Regt n 886.8
1.98/4
14/2
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Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Naujoks n 884.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
L. Hartjes n 886.6
0.11/0
00/0
R. Meissen n 876.5
00/0
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
G. de Regt n 886.8
0.11/0
0.54/0
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PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven Goalkeeper

PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Kovář19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 890
3.88/7

PSV Eindhoven Defensive

PSV Eindhoven — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Obispo19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
I. Perišić19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
Mauro Júnior19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9088 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Flamingo19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
N. Fernandez19090 min44 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Fernandez n 858.9
1.96/2
1.15/1
—
R. Flamingo n 881.5
16/1
0.42/1
—
P. Wanner n 883.9
0.93/3
0.74/1
L. Hartjes
I. Perišić n 871.3
0.83/2
0.32/0
—
A. Obispo n 874.9
0.53/0
0.52/1
R. Meissen
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PSV Eindhoven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Fernandez n 858.9
3.16/5
Mauro Júnior n 880
2.78/6
P. Wanner n 883.9
26/5
R. Flamingo n 881.5
1.76/4
I. Perišić n 871.3
0.84/1
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PSV Eindhoven Attacking

PSV Eindhoven — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Pepi18080 min00 /9000 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Bouhamdi14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
A. Plea12222 min00 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90312.3 /9000 /90
N. Fernandez19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
P. Wanner19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Wanner n 883.9
1.36/3
0.85/1
Mauro Júnior n 880
1.17/1
0.64/0
R. Flamingo n 881.5
14/2
0.32/0
A. Obispo n 874.9
0.94/1
0.53/0
I. Perišić n 871.3
0.83/1
0.63/1
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PSV Eindhoven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Perišić n 871.3
0.31/1
0.84/1
N. Fernandez n 858.9
0.42/0
00/0
R. Flamingo n 881.5
0.32/0
00/0
P. Wanner n 883.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Mauro Júnior n 880
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
41%Possession59%
0.51Expected goals (xG)2.24
5Shots20
2Shots on target8
2Shots off target7
1Blocked shots5
3Shots inside the box16
1Corners7
1Offsides1
9Fouls3
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
7Saves1
426Passes603
80%Pass accuracy87%

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000007.3
R. Meissen9000000106.7
C. Widell9010110107.9
J. Plug90000011Y6.3
Irakli Yegoian9001111407.7
S. Janssen8000001106.3
D. van Vianen8000000006.5
L. Hartjes7400000307
David Garden6800000006.6
A. Sliti4500100006.6
I. Silva Timas4500000206.5
N. Martens sub4500000105.6
O. Turay sub4500000206.2
N. Groen sub2200100006.2
Alireza Jahanbakhsh sub1600000006.3
Mario Domínguez sub1000000006.3
Y. Finey sub1000000006.3

PSV Eindhoven Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Kovář9000000007
R. Flamingo9000100106.9
A. Obispo9000000206.7
Mauro Júnior9000101106.3
Joey Veerman9000003108
G. Til9000000006.6
S. Dest8901211207.6
R. Pepi8410420107
I. Perišić7200221306.9
P. Wanner6300001206.7
Ruben van Bommel6310111207.3
A. Bouhamdi sub2700004307.5
K. Sano sub2700111006.7
D. Man sub1800310006.2
S. Mijnans sub1200001006.7
K. Sildillia sub10000100–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ExcelsiorWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
PSV EindhovenWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Excelsior 0 · 0 draws · PSV Eindhoven 6 · 4.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Excelsior
  • 2025-09-27 Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2025-01-14 PSV Eindhoven 5–4 Excelsior
  • 2024-04-02 Excelsior 0–2 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2024-01-13 PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Excelsior
  • 2023-04-08 PSV Eindhoven 4–0 Excelsior
League standing · 2026/27
Excelsior#15 pos11 pts11 pl-12 GD
PSV Eindhoven#3 pos23 pts11 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Excelsior scored1.45
PSV Eindhoven scored3.18
Excelsior conceded2.55
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven?
In their last 6 meetings, Excelsior won 0, PSV Eindhoven won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven?
Recent form — Excelsior 4W 1D 0L; PSV Eindhoven 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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