ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam

Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam result

Full-time · Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie · · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam — Excelsior won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Excelsior beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 29 August. Excelsior have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Excelsior led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Excelsior: Aymen Sliti (24’) and Nesto Groen (90’, assisted by Ilano Silva Timas); Sparta Rotterdam: Milan Zonneveld (48’, assisted by Mitchell van Bergen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nesto Groen’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Excelsior 1.32, Sparta Rotterdam 1.03, from 15 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands showed three yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Excelsior: Simon Janssen (28’) and Ágúst Þorsteinsson (37’); Sparta Rotterdam: Jens Toornstra (20’).

What it changes

Excelsior move down from third to sixth (three league matches played). Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Excelsior have conceded 28 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Sparta Rotterdam move down from fifth to ninth (four league matches played). Sparta Rotterdam have scored 20 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Sparta Rotterdam have conceded 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Milan Zonneveld (Sparta Rotterdam) 7.1, Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) 6.6 and Nesto Groen (Excelsior) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Excelsior next host GO Ahead Eagles on 7 November 2026.

Sparta Rotterdam next travel to ADO Den Haag on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Excelsior: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Sparta Rotterdam: ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion · Rotterdam
  • Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Excelsior 2 · draws 0 · Sparta Rotterdam 4 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Excelsior 3W 1D 1L · Sparta Rotterdam 1W 1D 3L

Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.25 / 6.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.6 yellows
Referee · Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
22.3 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameExcelsior for / againstLineSparta Rotterdam for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 7.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
0.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 22.3 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel290180 min84 /9021 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
36/6

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Plug290180 min21 /9021 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
R. Meissen290180 min21 /9021 /9021 /9063 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Janssen281161 min63.4 /9000 /9000 /90105.6 /9021.1 /9000 /90
N. Martens260119 min21.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.3 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Widell253106 min10.8 /9010.8 /9043.4 /9054.2 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Meissen n 881.3
1.55/3
0.42/1
B. Kuipers
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Irakli Yegoian n 877.5
16/1
14/3
—
L. Hartjes n 884.6
0.74/1
0.43/0
—
S. Janssen n 858.3
0.84/0
0.83/1
L. Martes
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Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Meissen n 881.3
1.57/3
Irakli Yegoian n 877.5
2.97/7
L. Hartjes n 884.6
2.38/6
S. Janssen n 858.3
2.37/2
N. Martens n 863
1.66/3
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Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
David Garden271142 min10.6 /9000 /9031.9 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9031.9 /90
A. Sliti23060 min00 /9000 /9023 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /90
N. Groen21938 min00 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
G. de Regt18585 min00 /9011.1 /9033.2 /9022.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
Alireza Jahanbakhsh11616 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015.6 /90
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Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Meissen n 881.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 877.5
1.25/2
0.64/0
L. Hartjes n 884.6
0.73/1
0.32/0
S. Janssen n 858.3
0.83/1
0.63/0
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Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Meissen n 881.3
00/0
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 877.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Hartjes n 884.6
0.11/0
00/0
S. Janssen n 858.3
00/0
0.41/1
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Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam Goalkeeper

Sparta Rotterdam — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bednarek390270 min72.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Sparta Rotterdam — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bednarek n 590
2.22/2

Sparta Rotterdam Defensive

Sparta Rotterdam — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Kuipers390270 min41.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90124 /9000 /9010.3 /90
L. Martes390270 min72.3 /9031 /9020.7 /90196.3 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
N. Verschuren390270 min20.7 /9031 /9041.3 /90155 /9020.7 /9000 /90
M. Young386259 min82.8 /9000 /9010.3 /90124.2 /9031 /9000 /90
B. Martins Indi276152 min31.8 /9010.6 /9031.8 /9063.6 /9031.8 /9000 /90
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Sparta Rotterdam — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Martes n 876.4
1.56/3
0.95/1
S. Janssen
N. Verschuren n 390
0.72/0
23/2
—
F. Bednarek n 590
00/0
00/0
—
B. Kuipers n 390
00/0
1.73/2
R. Meissen
M. Young n 888.6
1.34/3
0.94/2
—
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Sparta Rotterdam — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Martes n 876.4
3.16/5
B. Kuipers n 390
1.33/1
N. Verschuren n 390
0.71/1
M. Young n 888.6
2.78/5
A. Santos n 884.9
2.58/6
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Sparta Rotterdam Attacking

Sparta Rotterdam — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Þórisson370209 min10.4 /9010.4 /9073 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90
Robin van Cruijsen256112 min00 /9000 /9032.4 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /90
M. Zonneveld22856 min11.6 /9000 /9046.4 /9023.2 /9011.6 /9023.2 /90
A. Santos386257 min00 /9000 /9051.8 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9062.1 /90
S. Mito381243 min00 /9020.7 /9000 /9000 /9041.5 /9000 /90
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Sparta Rotterdam — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Verschuren n 390
12/1
0.31/0
B. Kuipers n 390
0.31/0
00/0
F. Bednarek n 590
00/0
00/0
L. Martes n 876.4
00/0
00/0
M. Young n 888.6
0.54/0
0.32/0
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Sparta Rotterdam — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sparta Rotterdam before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Kuipers n 390
00/0
0.72/0
N. Verschuren n 390
0.31/0
00/0
F. Bednarek n 590
00/0
00/0
L. Martes n 876.4
00/0
00/0
M. Young n 888.6
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
45%Possession55%
1.32Expected goals (xG)1.03
15Shots10
5Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box5
6Corners4
13Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
383Passes488
81%Pass accuracy83%

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000006.5
R. Meissen9000000206.9
C. Widell9000002006.6
J. Plug9000100207.5
L. Hartjes9000001006.3
Irakli Yegoian9000215108.3
S. Janssen85001011Y6.5
David Garden6700001006.5
Á. Þorsteinsson67000011Y6.3
D. van Vianen5900000106.9
A. Sliti5910320007.9
Eric da Silva Moreira sub3100000106.9
Alireza Jahanbakhsh sub3100110006.9
I. Silva Timas sub2301001007.3
N. Groen sub2310211107.3
K. Bos sub800001006.6

Sparta Rotterdam Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bednarek9000000006.7
M. Young9000100307.2
B. Martins Indi9000001107.2
B. Kuipers9000001106.2
S. Mito9000001106.3
M. Zonneveld9010212008.3
L. Martes9000100307.3
J. Baas8900000006.2
J. Toornstra83001012Y7.7
M. van Bergen8301002007.2
Robin van Cruijsen3900000106
Robin van Cruijsen3900000106.5
C. Terho sub5100000106.3
A. Roaldsøy sub1000110006.5
Joel Ideho sub1000000006.7
N. Verschuren sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ExcelsiorWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Sparta RotterdamLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Excelsior 2 · 0 draws · Sparta Rotterdam 4 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior
  • 2025-09-14 Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2024-02-17 Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 Excelsior
  • 2023-10-01 Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2023-03-05 Excelsior 1–4 Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2023-01-14 Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Excelsior
League standing · 2026/27
Excelsior#15 pos11 pts11 pl-12 GD
Sparta Rotterdam#11 pos12 pts11 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Excelsior scored1.45
Sparta Rotterdam scored1.82
Excelsior conceded2.55
Sparta Rotterdam conceded2.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam?
In their last 6 meetings, Excelsior won 2, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam?
Recent form — Excelsior 3W 1D 1L; Sparta Rotterdam 1W 1D 3L.

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