This Matchweek

Fortuna SittardCambuur

Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur result

Full-time · Fortuna Sittard 3–1 Cambuur

Eredivisie · · Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Fortuna Sittard 3–1 Cambuur — Fortuna Sittard won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,936 of 2,589 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fortuna Sittard beat Cambuur 3–1 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cambuur out-shot Fortuna Sittard 19 to 17 and created the better chances, 2.51 xG to 1.91 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Fortuna Sittard led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Fortuna Sittard: Philip Brittijn (6’, assisted by Mohamed Ihattaren), Lequincio Zeefuik (15’, assisted by Jasper Dahlhaus) and S. 't Zand (90’, assisted by Ivo Pinto); Cambuur: Rafik El Arguioui (22’, assisted by Nicky Souren).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Philip Brittijn’s goal on 6 minutes.

Discipline

Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands showed two yellow cards — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cambuur: Lucas Jetten (50’) and Nicky Souren (64’).

What it changes

Fortuna Sittard move up from fourth to second (two league matches played).

Cambuur stay 18th after this result (two league matches played).

Cambuur are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rafik El Arguioui (Cambuur) 7.5, Lequincio Zeefuik (Fortuna Sittard) 7.0 and Nicky Souren (Cambuur) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fortuna Sittard or Cambuur (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Fortuna Sittard next host Telstar on 7 November 2026.

Cambuur next host PSV Eindhoven on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fortuna Sittard: Fortuna Sittard v Telstar, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cambuur: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fortuna Sittard 3–1 Cambuur · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Sittard
  • Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Fortuna Sittard 3 · draws 0 · Cambuur 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fortuna Sittard 1W 1D 3L · Cambuur 0W 1D 4L

Fortuna Sittard 3–1 Cambuur (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.25
Corners
against 6.88 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4.13 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 1 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches
2.14 yellows
Referee · Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands
20.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFortuna Sittard for / againstLineCambuur for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.75 against n 4
Shots
10.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 15.25 against n 4
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 7 against n 4
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 10.5 against n 4
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 4

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands — 2.14 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard Goalkeeper

Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Branderhorst19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Branderhorst n 890
4.17/7

Fortuna Sittard Defensive

Fortuna Sittard — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ivo Pinto19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
Justin Quincy Hubner19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Wylin19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Dahlhaus18787 min11 /9011 /9011 /9044.1 /9000 /9000 /90
S. van Ottele17878 min33.5 /9022.3 /9000 /9055.8 /9000 /9000 /90
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Fortuna Sittard — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Quincy Hubner n 879.5
0.83/1
0.64/0
—
M. Ihattaren n 862.3
0.73/1
0.73/1
—
Ivo Pinto n 865.9
0.53/0
0.53/0
—
M. Branderhorst n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Y. Oukili n 858.9
1.54/4
0.83/1
N. Souren
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Fortuna Sittard — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ivo Pinto n 865.9
2.48/5
M. Ihattaren n 862.3
1.34/2
Justin Quincy Hubner n 879.5
1.15/2
Y. Oukili n 858.9
3.26/6
J. Dahlhaus n 888.3
1.77/3
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Fortuna Sittard Attacking

Fortuna Sittard — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Romeny19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9033 /90
M. Ihattaren19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9033 /9011 /9022 /90
Y. Oukili18787 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
É. Michut12929 min13.1 /9000 /9013.1 /9013.1 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Dahlhaus18787 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
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Fortuna Sittard — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Ihattaren n 862.3
26/3
1.86/2
Justin Quincy Hubner n 879.5
0.42/1
0.31/1
Ivo Pinto n 865.9
0.32/0
00/0
M. Branderhorst n 890
00/0
00/0
Y. Oukili n 858.9
0.84/0
0.42/0
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Fortuna Sittard — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ihattaren n 862.3
0.21/0
0.72/2
Justin Quincy Hubner n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
M. Branderhorst n 890
00/0
00/0
Ivo Pinto n 865.9
00/0
00/0
Y. Oukili n 858.9
0.21/0
00/0
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Cambuur

Cambuur Goalkeeper

Cambuur — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Jansen19090 min55 /9044 /9000 /90

Cambuur Defensive

Cambuur — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Baouf19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Amofa19090 min44 /9000 /9011 /9099 /9011 /9000 /90
L. Jetten16666 min00 /9034.1 /9000 /9045.5 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Costarelli14545 min48 /9024 /9000 /9048 /9012 /9000 /90
R. Mulders14545 min24 /9000 /9000 /9048 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cambuur — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Souren n 463.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
Y. Oukili
Cambuur — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Souren n 463.8
2.13/1

Cambuur Attacking

Cambuur — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Hamache19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033 /90
Iwan Henstra19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9044 /90
S. Vink18181 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9022.2 /90
S. Bouhoudane14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
N. Souren19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /90
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Cambuur — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Souren n 463.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
Cambuur — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Souren n 463.8
00/0
00/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fortuna SittardCambuur
36%Possession64%
1.91Expected goals (xG)2.51
17Shots19
7Shots on target7
4Shots off target7
6Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box16
6Corners7
3Offsides1
10Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves4
289Passes511
71%Pass accuracy87%

Fortuna Sittard Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Branderhorst9000000009
Ivo Pinto9001002207.2
S. van Ottele9000000107.3
Justin Quincy Hubner9000101106.3
P. Brittijn9010210207.7
Y. Oukili9000002207.3
L. Zeefuik8910422007.9
J. Dahlhaus7201002007
M. Ihattaren7201004007.3
O. Romeny7200220206.9
S. Wylin4500000106.3
É. Michut sub4500002207.2
N. de Groot sub1800000207
S. 't Zand sub1810111107.6
A. Descotte sub1800111006.3
Moussa Gbemou sub10000000–

Cambuur Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Jansen9000000006.9
I. Baouf9000110107.6
L. Jetten90000013Y6.7
R. El Arguioui9010113108.3
S. Bouhoudane9000610006
N. Souren90012230Y7.3
I. Hamache8800111307
J. Amofa8200001107
Iwan Henstra7600102207
S. Vink7600001106.2
M. Costarelli4500001006
W. Kooistra sub4500000406.9
F. Kvam sub1400000106.3
N. Binder sub1400210006.5
R. Mulders sub900000006.3
Wessel van der Goot sub800000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Fortuna SittardLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
CambuurLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Fortuna Sittard 3 · 0 draws · Cambuur 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2023-01-29 Cambuur 1–2 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2022-08-20 Fortuna Sittard 1–4 Cambuur
  • 2022-02-26 Cambuur 2–1 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2021-10-16 Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Cambuur
  • 2018-12-19 Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Cambuur
League standing · 2026/27
Fortuna Sittard#6 pos19 pts11 pl0 GD
Cambuur#9 pos15 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Fortuna Sittard scored1.64
Cambuur scored2.09
Fortuna Sittard conceded1.64
Cambuur conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur?
In their last 5 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 3, Cambuur won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur?
Recent form — Fortuna Sittard 1W 1D 3L; Cambuur 0W 1D 4L.

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