This Matchweek

GroningenFortuna Sittard

Groningen v Fortuna Sittard result

Full-time · Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard

Eredivisie · · Euroborg

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard — Fortuna Sittard won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.15 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fortuna Sittard won 3–2 at Euroborg in the Eredivisie on Friday 28 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Groningen out-shot Fortuna Sittard 22 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.60 xG to 0.88 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Fortuna Sittard led 2–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Fortuna Sittard: Mohamed Ihattaren (12’, assisted by Lequincio Zeefuik), Lequincio Zeefuik (28’, assisted by Édouard Michut), Anthony Descotte (72’, assisted by Édouard Michut) and an own goal by Justin Quincy Hubner (87’); Groningen: David van der Werff (19’, assisted by Jorg Schreuders).

Discipline

The bookings — Groningen: Jacob Ondrejka (65’), Etienne Vaessen (88’) and Travis Hernes (90+7’); Fortuna Sittard: Rodrigo Guth (4’), Justin Quincy Hubner (69’), Lequincio Zeefuik (88’) and Édouard Michut (90+1’).

What it changes

Groningen move down from fourth to sixth (four league matches played). Groningen have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Groningen have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Fortuna Sittard move up from eighth to fifth (four league matches played). Fortuna Sittard have scored 18 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Fortuna Sittard have conceded 18 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Édouard Michut (Fortuna Sittard) 8.4, Lequincio Zeefuik (Fortuna Sittard) 8.0 and David van der Werff (Groningen) 7.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Groningen or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.

Fortuna Sittard next host Telstar on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Groningen: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Fortuna Sittard: Fortuna Sittard v Telstar, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Euroborg · Groningen
  • Referee: Martijn Vos, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Groningen 2 · draws 1 · Fortuna Sittard 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Groningen 3W 0D 2L · Fortuna Sittard 2W 1D 2L

Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3
Corners
against 5.63 / 7.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 6.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.25
Cards
against 0.75 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGroningen for / againstLineFortuna Sittard for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 17.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Martijn Vos, Netherlands.

Groningen

Groningen Goalkeeper

Groningen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Vaessen390270 min165.3 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Groningen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Vaessen n 890
3.45/5

Groningen Defensive

Groningen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Blokzijl390270 min31 /9041.3 /9000 /9093 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Wouter Prins383248 min20.7 /9010.4 /9000 /9093.3 /9031.1 /9000 /90
J. Schreuders375225 min72.8 /9000 /9010.4 /90104 /9072.8 /9000 /90
E. van der Laan347142 min31.9 /9000 /9000 /9095.7 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Csinger261121 min21.5 /9010.7 /9032.2 /9075.2 /9021.5 /9010.7 /90
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Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. van Bergen n 882.6
1.44/4
2.68/6
L. Zeefuik
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.94/3
00/0
Justin Quincy Hubner
E. Vaessen n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
T. Land n 882.6
0.11/0
1.16/2
—
T. de Jonge n 887.8
0.83/2
0.43/0
—
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Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 890
1.98/4
T. van Bergen n 882.6
0.53/1
T. Land n 882.6
1.46/3
T. de Jonge n 887.8
1.76/3
P. Clement n 387
0.71/1
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Groningen Attacking

Groningen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Willumsson376228 min31.2 /9000 /9072.8 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9000 /90
T. van Bergen390270 min20.7 /9020.7 /9093 /9062 /9062 /9093 /90
T. Land389267 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9062 /9031 /90
T. de Jonge387262 min00 /9000 /9041.4 /9031 /9020.7 /9031 /90
P. Clement387261 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9031 /90
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Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. van Bergen n 882.6
2.26/4
1.46/2
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.11/0
00/0
E. Vaessen n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Land n 882.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
T. de Jonge n 887.8
1.36/3
0.84/1
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Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. van Bergen n 882.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
E. Vaessen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Blokzijl n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Land n 882.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. de Jonge n 887.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard Goalkeeper

Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Branderhorst390270 min196.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Branderhorst n 890
4.57/7

Fortuna Sittard Defensive

Fortuna Sittard — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Justin Quincy Hubner390270 min41.3 /9031 /9020.7 /9082.7 /9000 /9000 /90
S. van Ottele378235 min62.3 /9051.9 /9010.4 /90114.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Ivo Pinto375225 min41.6 /9000 /9072.8 /9083.2 /9010.4 /9000 /90
S. Wylin370210 min31.3 /9000 /9010.4 /9073 /9020.9 /9000 /90
J. Dahlhaus361183 min10.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9063 /9021 /9000 /90
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Fortuna Sittard — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Quincy Hubner n 884.4
0.72/1
0.43/0
T. Blokzijl
M. Branderhorst n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
P. Brittijn n 884
0.84/2
0.74/1
—
L. Zeefuik n 380
3.43/2
2.33/2
T. van Bergen
S. van Ottele n 885.1
0.83/2
1.16/2
—
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Fortuna Sittard — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Justin Quincy Hubner n 884.4
1.15/2
P. Brittijn n 884
0.95/2
L. Zeefuik n 380
00/0
S. van Ottele n 885.1
3.38/7
Ivo Pinto n 860.3
2.28/4
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Fortuna Sittard Attacking

Fortuna Sittard — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Zeefuik380240 min10.4 /9000 /9051.9 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
O. Romeny281162 min10.6 /9000 /9052.8 /9042.2 /9010.6 /9042.2 /90
A. Descotte23263 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /90
P. Brittijn386259 min10.3 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Y. Oukili367200 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.5 /90
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Fortuna Sittard — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Quincy Hubner n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
M. Branderhorst n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Brittijn n 884
0.52/2
0.42/1
L. Zeefuik n 380
1.92/1
0.81/1
S. van Ottele n 885.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Fortuna Sittard — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Branderhorst n 890
00/0
00/0
Justin Quincy Hubner n 884.4
00/0
00/0
P. Brittijn n 884
0.32/0
00/0
L. Zeefuik n 380
0.41/0
00/0
S. van Ottele n 885.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GroningenFortuna Sittard
68%Possession32%
1.60Expected goals (xG)0.88
22Shots9
2Shots on target5
15Shots off target1
5Blocked shots3
16Shots inside the box6
7Corners2
3Offsides1
8Fouls8
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves1
551Passes279
87%Pass accuracy74%

Groningen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Vaessen90000000Y5.9
J. Schreuders9001003006.2
T. Blokzijl9000102006.2
T. de Jonge9000205207.7
T. van Bergen9000611006.9
P. Clement9000000006.3
M. Csinger8200001106.2
D. van der Werff8210215208
Wouter Prins8100000005.6
T. Land6400100006.6
B. Willumsson6400201006.7
J. Ondrejka sub26000000Y6.6
O. Zawada sub2600101006.7
T. Hernes sub9000000Y6.6
A. Nordin sub800100006.3
Nils Eggens sub800100006.5

Fortuna Sittard Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Branderhorst9000000006.2
Ivo Pinto9000000106.2
Justin Quincy Hubner90000000Y5.6
É. Michut90020032Y7.6
P. Brittijn9000000106.2
J. Dahlhaus9000000106
L. Zeefuik90111121Y7.9
A. Descotte8910321107.7
Rodrigo Guth81000000Y7
S. 't Zand8000110106.5
M. Ihattaren6810112108
N. de Groot sub2200000006.2
Y. Oukili sub1000000206.3
S. van Ottele sub900000006.3
Moussa Gbemou sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Groningen v Fortuna Sittard — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GroningenWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Fortuna SittardWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Groningen 2 · 1 draw · Fortuna Sittard 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-01-25 Groningen 1–2 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2025-10-25 Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Groningen
  • 2025-03-16 Groningen 1–0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024-10-26 Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Groningen
  • 2024-02-08 Groningen 0–0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2023-04-02 Fortuna Sittard 3–1 Groningen
League standing · 2026/27
Groningen#8 pos15 pts11 pl+2 GD
Fortuna Sittard#6 pos19 pts11 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Groningen scored2.36
Fortuna Sittard scored1.64
Groningen conceded2.18
Fortuna Sittard conceded1.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Groningen v Fortuna Sittard?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Groningen v Fortuna Sittard was Home or Draw (best price 1.15 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Fortuna Sittard?
In their last 6 meetings, Groningen won 2, Fortuna Sittard won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Groningen and Fortuna Sittard?
Recent form — Groningen 3W 0D 2L; Fortuna Sittard 2W 1D 2L.

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