GroningenHeerenveen

Groningen v Heerenveen result

Full-time · Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen

Eredivisie · · Euroborg

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Groningen · Heerenveen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen — Groningen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 549 of 855 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Groningen beat Heerenveen 2–1 at Euroborg in the Eredivisie on Saturday 16 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Heerenveen out-shot Groningen 16 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.16 xG to 0.80 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Heerenveen: Jacob Trenskow (15’, assisted by Luuk Brouwers); Groningen: Brynjólfur Willumsson (29’, assisted by S. Resink; 90’, assisted by Thom van Bergen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Brynjólfur Willumsson’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

J. Manschot showed six yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Groningen: Thom van Bergen (25’), Y. Taha (42’), Brynjólfur Willumsson (90+5’) and David van der Werff (90+7’); Heerenveen: Sam Kersten (22’) and Maxence Rivera (88’).

What it changes

Groningen move up from 16th to eighth (two league matches played). Groningen have scored 35 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 25 games, ranked per game). Groningen have conceded 34 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs.

Heerenveen move down from fifth to 12th (two league matches played). Heerenveen have scored 37 goals, the eighth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 24 games, ranked per game). Heerenveen have conceded 36 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 23 clubs.

Heerenveen are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Brynjólfur Willumsson (Groningen) 10.1, S. Resink (Groningen) 9.1 and Jacob Trenskow (Heerenveen) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.

Heerenveen next host Feyenoord on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Groningen: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Heerenveen: Heerenveen v Feyenoord, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Euroborg · Groningen
  • Referee: J. Manschot
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Groningen 1 · draws 1 · Heerenveen 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Groningen 1W 1D 3L · Heerenveen 1W 1D 3L

Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.73 yellows
Referee · J. Manschot
16.82 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGroningen for / againstLineHeerenveen for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: J. Manschot — 2.73 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 16.82 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Groningen

Groningen Defensive

Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Resink n 889.6
2.38/7
14/3
—
B. Willumsson n 833.1
23/3
24/1
—
T. van Bergen n 884.9
1.25/3
1.74/4
L. Brouwers
M. Peersman n 865.5
0.93/2
1.75/3
N. Hopland
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
N. Hopland
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Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Resink n 889.6
3.58/8
T. de Jonge n 871.6
26/4
T. Blokzijl n 890
1.67/3
T. van Bergen n 884.9
1.35/4
M. Peersman n 865.5
1.25/2
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Groningen Attacking

Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Willumsson n 833.1
23/2
12/1
S. Resink n 889.6
1.65/3
0.94/2
T. van Bergen n 884.9
1.67/4
0.84/2
T. de Jonge n 871.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
M. Peersman n 865.5
0.21/0
00/0
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Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Resink n 889.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
T. van Bergen n 884.9
0.32/0
00/0
B. Willumsson n 833.1
00/0
0.31/0
T. de Jonge n 871.6
00/0
0.21/0
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Heerenveen

Heerenveen Defensive

Heerenveen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Brouwers n 884
2.17/5
0.54/0
T. van Bergen
H. Petrov n 867.4
0.83/1
0.32/0
—
N. Hopland n 881.8
0.42/1
0.43/0
T. Blokzijl
J. Trenskow n 872
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
A. Noppert n 880.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
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Heerenveen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Brouwers n 884
2.97/5
H. Petrov n 867.4
1.87/4
J. Trenskow n 872
1.15/1
N. Hopland n 881.8
14/3
S. Kersten n 878.8
0.32/0
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Heerenveen Attacking

Heerenveen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Trenskow n 872
1.14/2
0.94/2
L. Brouwers n 884
0.95/2
0.43/0
H. Petrov n 867.4
0.73/1
0.73/1
S. Kersten n 878.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
N. Hopland n 881.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Heerenveen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Trenskow n 872
0.21/0
00/0
H. Petrov n 867.4
0.21/0
00/0
L. Brouwers n 884
0.11/0
00/0
N. Hopland n 881.8
00/0
00/0
A. Noppert n 880.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GroningenHeerenveen
54%Possession46%
0.80Expected goals (xG)2.16
8Shots16
5Shots on target5
3Shots off target7
0Blocked shots4
5Shots inside the box13
3Corners8
1Offsides2
9Fouls15
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves3
444Passes364
74%Pass accuracy69%

Groningen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Jurjus9000000007.6
M. Rente9000101006.6
T. Blokzijl9000000006.7
M. Peersman9000000006.9
S. Resink9001001307.6
T. van Bergen90010021Y6.9
J. Schreuders9000110006.9
B. Willumsson90204302Y8.9
Y. Taha83000022Y6.3
Wouter Prins7700000406.7
T. de Jonge7700100306.2
Tyrique Mercera sub1300000006.6
D. van der Werff sub13001100Y6.6
M. Seuntjens sub800000006.9

Heerenveen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Noppert9000000006.3
O. Braude9000101106.2
S. Kersten90001021Y6.2
N. Hopland9000000006.5
V. Zagaritis9000002206.5
M. Linday9000001506.9
J. van Overeem9000001307.3
M. Rivera90004212Y6.5
J. Trenskow7710222008
Vaclav Sejk7700102106.7
L. Brouwers3501001006.5
E. van Ee sub5500200306.7
E. Gürbüz sub1300111006.2
D. Vente sub1300000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Groningen v Heerenveen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GroningenWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
HeerenveenLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Groningen 1 · 1 draw · Heerenveen 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-01-25 Groningen 1–0 Heerenveen
  • 2024-09-22 Heerenveen 2–1 Groningen
  • 2023-03-19 Groningen 0–2 Heerenveen
  • 2023-01-22 Heerenveen 3–1 Groningen
  • 2022-04-10 Heerenveen 3–1 Groningen
  • 2021-09-12 Groningen 1–1 Heerenveen
League standing · 2025/26
Groningen#9 pos48 pts34 pl+4 GD
Heerenveen#8 pos51 pts34 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Groningen scored1.44
Heerenveen scored1.68
Groningen conceded1.32
Heerenveen conceded1.56

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Groningen v Heerenveen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Groningen v Heerenveen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Heerenveen?
In their last 6 meetings, Groningen won 1, Heerenveen won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Groningen and Heerenveen?
Recent form — Groningen 1W 1D 3L; Heerenveen 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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