Groningen v Heracles result

Full-time · Groningen 4–0 Heracles

Eredivisie · · Euroborg

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Groningen · Heracles · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Groningen 4–0 Heracles — Groningen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 216 landed (95% range 71.8–82.8%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 142 of 208 times (68.3%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Groningen beat Heracles 4–0 at Euroborg in the Eredivisie on Friday 29 August. Heracles have lost their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Groningen led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Groningen: Brynjólfur Willumsson (9’, assisted by Marco Rente; 40’, assisted by Y. Taha), Y. Taha (30’, assisted by Marco Rente) and David van der Werff (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Brynjólfur Willumsson’s goal on 9 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Groningen 1.80, Heracles 0.46, from 17 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Dieperink showed three yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Groningen: Dies Janse (38’) and Jorg Schreuders (65’); Heracles: D. van der Kust (59’).

What it changes

Groningen move up from 10th to seventh (four league matches played).

Heracles stay 18th after this result (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marco Rente (Groningen) 11.0, Y. Taha (Groningen) 9.5 and S. Scheperman (Heracles) 9.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Groningen to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Groningen next travel to NEC Nijmegen on 25 October 2026.

Heracles next travel to De Treffers on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Groningen: NEC Nijmegen v Groningen, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Heracles: De Treffers v Heracles, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Groningen 4–0 Heracles · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Euroborg · Groningen
  • Referee: R. Dieperink
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Groningen 1 · draws 1 · Heracles 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Groningen 1W 1D 3L · Heracles 0W 0D 5L

Groningen 4–0 Heracles (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 2.25 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 8.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · R. Dieperink
1 home / 2 away
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGroningen for / againstLineHeracles for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 3.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 18.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 8.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 0.75 against n 8

Referee: R. Dieperink — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 24.83 fouls over 6 matches (1 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Groningen
Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tyrique Mercera n 647.7
2.85/3
0.62/0
—
B. Willumsson n 845.8
2.25/4
1.75/1
—
S. Resink n 889.6
27/6
13/3
J. Žambůrek
D. van der Werff n 517.8
22/0
00/0
—
Wouter Prins n 855.1
1.65/3
0.84/0
—
Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Willumsson n 845.8
35/4
24/3
M. Seuntjens n 828.5
24/1
1.63/1
D. van der Werff n 517.8
22/0
22/0
L. Valente n 855.1
1.85/3
0.82/2
S. Resink n 889.6
1.65/3
0.83/2
Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Seuntjens n 828.5
1.23/0
00/0
Noam Fritz Emeran n 520
0.91/0
00/0
B. Willumsson n 845.8
0.72/1
0.21/0
S. Resink n 889.6
0.42/1
0.43/0
L. Bacuna n 870.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wouter Prins n 855.1
3.56/4
S. Resink n 889.6
3.38/8
Noam Fritz Emeran n 520
2.73/0
D. Kwakman n 853.3
2.56/4
H. Ekdal n 887.6
2.47/5
Groningen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Vaessen n 890
2.96/3
H. Jurjus n 590
2.65/2
Heracles
Heracles — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Žambůrek n 848.4
2.87/4
0.93/1
S. Resink
J. Hornkamp n 866.4
2.48/4
0.51/1
—
J. Wieckhoff n 842.3
2.44/3
0.52/0
—
S. Scheperman n 889.1
1.87/4
0.43/0
—
B. De Keersmaecker n 874.3
1.86/3
1.45/3
—
Heracles — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Kulenović n 853.9
2.97/4
1.35/1
J. Hornkamp n 866.4
2.28/4
1.26/1
Y. Borges Sanches n 831.4
2.24/2
0.72/0
A. Satriano n 726.3
1.52/1
0.51/0
T. Bruns n 871.9
1.36/2
0.32/0
Heracles — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Hornkamp n 866.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Reine-Adélaïde n 861.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
Daniel Van Kaam n 823
00/0
0.51/0
T. Bruns n 871.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Podgoreanu n 879.8
00/0
0.32/0
Heracles — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Scheperman n 889.1
3.57/6
M. Rots n 884.4
3.57/7
J. Žambůrek n 848.4
3.37/4
D. van der Kust n 864.6
36/4
J. Wieckhoff n 842.3
2.74/2
Heracles — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. de Keijzer n 890
4.98/8

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GroningenHeracles
51%Possession49%
1.80Expected goals (xG)0.46
17Shots8
5Shots on target0
4Shots off target7
8Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box4
6Corners3
2Offsides0
13Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves1
354Passes352
78%Pass accuracy72%

Groningen player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Vaessen9000000006.2
M. Rente9002005208.9
T. Blokzijl9000000207.2
D. Janse90000010Y7.3
M. Peersman9000200206.5
S. Resink9000101206.9
T. van Bergen8200000206.6
B. Willumsson8220223008.2
T. de Jonge7400000206.2
Y. Taha7411222208.9
J. Schreuders66000001Y6.7
D. van der Werff sub2410111107.3
T. Land sub1600000006.7
O. Zawada sub1600100006.3
M. Seuntjens sub800000006.3
R. Higgins sub800000006.7

Heracles player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. de Keijzer9000000005.3
M. Benita9000000606.7
D. Mirani9000000206.6
I. Mesík9000100105.9
D. van der Kust90000011Y6.2
S. Scheperman9000201707.7
J. Žambůrek9000100006.7
T. van Gilst9000000006.2
L. Kulenović9000201006.7
B. Limbombe6500100006.3
A. Hrustić6500004206.7
Y. Borges Sanches sub2500000006.5
T. Bruns sub2500000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Groningen v Heracles — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GroningenDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
HeraclesLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.6 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Groningen 1 · 1 draw · Heracles 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-04-23 Groningen 4–1 Heracles
  • 2025-01-28 Heracles 1–1 Groningen
  • 2022-04-24 Groningen 0–1 Heracles
  • 2021-12-18 Heracles 4–2 Groningen
  • 2021-01-30 Heracles 1–0 Groningen
  • 2020-12-23 Groningen 0–1 Heracles
League standing · 2025/26
Groningen#9 pos48 pts34 pl+4 GD
Heracles#18 pos19 pts34 pl-50 GD
Goals per game
Groningen scored1.44
Heracles scored1.03
Groningen conceded1.32
Heracles conceded2.5

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Groningen v Heracles?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Groningen v Heracles was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Heracles?
In their last 6 meetings, Groningen won 1, Heracles won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Groningen and Heracles?
Recent form — Groningen 1W 1D 3L; Heracles 0W 0D 5L.

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