NEC NijmegenGroningen

NEC Nijmegen v Groningen result

Full-time · NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen

Eredivisie · · Goffertstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

NEC Nijmegen and Groningen drew 2–2 at Goffertstadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: NEC Nijmegen out-shot Groningen 21 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.80 xG to 1.45 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Groningen led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Groningen: Brynjólfur Willumsson (11’, assisted by Marco Rente; 34’, assisted by Thom van Bergen); NEC Nijmegen: Clement Bischoff (57’, assisted by Darko Nejašmić) and Noé Lebreton (71’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Noé Lebreton’s goal on 71 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Groningen: Brynjólfur Willumsson (42’), David van der Werff (56’) and Hans Hateboer (79’).

What it changes

NEC Nijmegen move down from 11th to 12th (10 league matches played). NEC Nijmegen have scored 17 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 19 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Groningen move down from sixth to eighth (10 league matches played). Groningen have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Groningen have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. NEC Nijmegen have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Groningen have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Darko Nejašmić (NEC Nijmegen) 10.1, Noé Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen) 8.1 and Brynjólfur Willumsson (Groningen) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.

Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Groningen: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Goffertstadion · Nijmegen
  • Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): NEC Nijmegen 3 · draws 1 · Groningen 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L · Groningen 2W 2D 1L

NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.5
Goals
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.13 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNEC Nijmegen for / againstLineGroningen for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5our book
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof.

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz1086855 min262.7 /90111.2 /9000 /90
N. Polster580400 min184.1 /9081.8 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 884.4
2.74/3
N. Polster n 580
4.14/3

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Storm12881054 min221.9 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90615.2 /90181.5 /9030.3 /90
Deveron Fonville980721 min172.1 /90141.7 /9030.4 /90546.7 /90101.2 /9000 /90
P. Schuurs657341 min82.1 /9082.1 /9020.5 /90133.4 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Gabriel Brás575374 min112.6 /9051.2 /9000 /90225.3 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar559297 min82.4 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90226.7 /9092.7 /9020.6 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Lebreton n 874.8
1.56/3
2.17/5
J. Schreuders
B. Linssen n 879.1
27/5
0.63/1
—
T. Storm n 889.3
1.37/2
0.85/1
—
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
0.94/2
T. van Bergen
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.64/1
1.16/3
T. de Jonge
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 874.8
2.76/3
B. Linssen n 879.1
0.32/0
T. Storm n 889.3
27/5
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
D. Nejašmić n 890
2.18/6
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Linssen1373943 min10.1 /9010.1 /90161.5 /9060.6 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
T. Chery1283992 min60.5 /9010.1 /90272.4 /90161.5 /90201.8 /9050.5 /90
Dušan Tadić1179872 min00 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90181.9 /9040.4 /90
Adam Tahaui649294 min10.3 /9000 /9041.2 /9010.3 /9072.1 /9020.6 /90
K. Sierhuis551256 min10.4 /9000 /90124.2 /9031.1 /9041.4 /9000 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 874.8
1.76/2
0.64/0
B. Linssen n 879.1
1.65/3
0.43/0
T. Storm n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
T. Chery n 888.9
2.47/6
1.46/3
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 874.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
B. Linssen n 879.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Storm n 889.3
00/0
00/0
T. Chery n 888.9
0.84/2
0.11/0
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Groningen

Groningen Goalkeeper

Groningen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Vaessen990810 min323.6 /90131.4 /9000 /90
Groningen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Vaessen n 890
3.26/5

Groningen Defensive

Groningen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Blokzijl990810 min101.1 /90141.6 /9040.4 /90283.1 /9050.6 /9000 /90
J. Schreuders985765 min293.4 /9040.5 /9040.5 /90455.3 /90161.9 /9000 /90
M. Csinger860483 min142.6 /9091.7 /9081.5 /90356.5 /9091.7 /9020.4 /90
Wouter Prins680482 min30.6 /9040.7 /9000 /90163 /9071.3 /9000 /90
M. Rente558289 min51.6 /9061.9 /9000 /90113.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.63/2
00/0
—
E. Vaessen n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
T. van Bergen n 889.4
0.52/2
2.68/7
T. Chery
T. de Jonge n 888
0.53/1
0.96/1
D. Nejašmić
J. Schreuders n 884.4
1.57/4
0.84/2
N. Lebreton
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Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 890
1.15/2
T. van Bergen n 889.4
0.95/2
T. de Jonge n 888
1.76/5
J. Schreuders n 884.4
3.57/5
P. Clement n 884.6
1.36/3
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Groningen Attacking

Groningen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Willumsson976682 min60.8 /9000 /90172.2 /90121.6 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90
J. Ondrejka743304 min00 /9000 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9041.2 /90
O. Zawada22856 min00 /9000 /9023.2 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
T. van Bergen989805 min60.7 /9020.2 /90252.8 /90151.7 /90131.5 /90202.2 /90
T. de Jonge988794 min00 /9000 /90111.2 /9050.6 /90121.4 /9080.9 /90
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Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.32/0
00/0
E. Vaessen n 890
00/0
00/0
T. van Bergen n 889.4
2.66/5
1.66/4
T. de Jonge n 888
1.35/4
0.63/1
J. Schreuders n 884.4
0.74/1
0.54/0
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Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Vaessen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Blokzijl n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. van Bergen n 889.4
0.65/0
0.32/0
T. de Jonge n 888
00/0
00/0
J. Schreuders n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NEC NijmegenGroningen
59%Possession41%
1.80Expected goals (xG)1.45
21Shots9
9Shots on target3
6Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
15Shots inside the box5
11Corners2
2Offsides3
9Fouls13
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves6
477Passes342

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Crettaz9000000006
D. Nejašmić9001213607.7
Jamiro Monteiro9000100606.1
Clement Bischoff9010313107.6
T. Chery9000216006.8
N. Lebreton9010321108
B. Linssen9000410006.3
Kevin Kers6800211307
A. Kaplan5600210106.7
Deveron Fonville5600000206.6
P. Schuurs4500110106.7
T. Storm4500001106.4
K. Sierhuis3400100007.1
M. Bakker3400001106.2
Adam Tahaui2200000106.5

Groningen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. van Bergen9001111306.1
J. Schreuders9000000206.1
M. Rente9001102007.2
H. Hateboer90000003Y6.9
P. Clement9000100306.3
T. Blokzijl9000000106.7
E. Vaessen9000000007.1
D. van der Werff76001020Y5.9
B. Willumsson73202210Y8.7
T. de Jonge7300200206.6
M. Csinger7200000406.7
Wouter Prins1800000106.3
Nils Eggens1700001106.9
T. Land1700100006.2
T. Hernes1400001106.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen v Groningen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NEC NijmegenDDDDW
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
GroningenDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
NEC Nijmegen 3 · 1 draw · Groningen 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2025-11-09 NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen
  • 2025-02-08 Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2024-11-03 NEC Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen
  • 2023-04-25 Groningen 0–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2022-08-26 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Groningen
League standing · 2026/27
NEC Nijmegen#13 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Groningen#8 pos15 pts11 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
NEC Nijmegen scored1.55
Groningen scored2.36
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.73
Groningen conceded2.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for NEC Nijmegen v Groningen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for NEC Nijmegen v Groningen was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Groningen?
In their last 6 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 3, Groningen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Groningen?
Recent form — NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L; Groningen 2W 2D 1L.

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