NEC Nijmegen v Groningen result
Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Groningen · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
NEC Nijmegen and Groningen drew 2–2 at Goffertstadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: NEC Nijmegen out-shot Groningen 21 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.80 xG to 1.45 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
The goals
Groningen led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Groningen: Brynjólfur Willumsson (11’, assisted by Marco Rente; 34’, assisted by Thom van Bergen); NEC Nijmegen: Clement Bischoff (57’, assisted by Darko Nejašmić) and Noé Lebreton (71’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Noé Lebreton’s goal on 71 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Groningen: Brynjólfur Willumsson (42’), David van der Werff (56’) and Hans Hateboer (79’).
What it changes
NEC Nijmegen move down from 11th to 12th (10 league matches played). NEC Nijmegen have scored 17 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 19 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Groningen move down from sixth to eighth (10 league matches played). Groningen have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Groningen have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. NEC Nijmegen have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Groningen have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Darko Nejašmić (NEC Nijmegen) 10.1, Noé Lebreton (NEC Nijmegen) 8.1 and Brynjólfur Willumsson (Groningen) 7.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.
Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Groningen: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen · Eredivisie
- Venue: Goffertstadion · Nijmegen
- Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): NEC Nijmegen 3 · draws 1 · Groningen 2 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L · Groningen 2W 2D 1L
NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | NEC Nijmegen for / against | Line | Groningen for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.25 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.75 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.25 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.63 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof.
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Crettaz | 10 | 86855 min | 262.7 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| N. Polster | 5 | 80400 min | 184.1 /90 | 81.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Crettaz n 8 | 84.4 | 2.7 |
| N. Polster n 5 | 80 | 4.1 |
NEC Nijmegen Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Storm | 12 | 881054 min | 221.9 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 615.2 /90 | 181.5 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| Deveron Fonville | 9 | 80721 min | 172.1 /90 | 141.7 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 546.7 /90 | 101.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Schuurs | 6 | 57341 min | 82.1 /90 | 82.1 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 133.4 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Gabriel Brás | 5 | 75374 min | 112.6 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 225.3 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | 5 | 59297 min | 82.4 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 226.7 /90 | 92.7 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lebreton n 8 | 74.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 | J. Schreuders |
| B. Linssen n 8 | 79.1 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| T. Storm n 8 | 89.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | — |
| T. Chery n 8 | 88.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | T. van Bergen |
| D. Nejašmić n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 1.1 | T. de Jonge |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Lebreton n 8 | 74.8 | 2.7 |
| B. Linssen n 8 | 79.1 | 0.3 |
| T. Storm n 8 | 89.3 | 2 |
| T. Chery n 8 | 88.9 | 0.5 |
| D. Nejašmić n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Linssen | 13 | 73943 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 161.5 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| T. Chery | 12 | 83992 min | 60.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 272.4 /90 | 161.5 /90 | 201.8 /90 | 50.5 /90 |
| Dušan Tadić | 11 | 79872 min | 00 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 181.9 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
| Adam Tahaui | 6 | 49294 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 72.1 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| K. Sierhuis | 5 | 51256 min | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 124.2 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 41.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lebreton n 8 | 74.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| B. Linssen n 8 | 79.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| T. Storm n 8 | 89.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Chery n 8 | 88.9 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| D. Nejašmić n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lebreton n 8 | 74.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| B. Linssen n 8 | 79.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| T. Storm n 8 | 89.3 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Chery n 8 | 88.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| D. Nejašmić n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Groningen
Groningen Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Vaessen | 9 | 90810 min | 323.6 /90 | 131.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Vaessen n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Groningen Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Blokzijl | 9 | 90810 min | 101.1 /90 | 141.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 283.1 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Schreuders | 9 | 85765 min | 293.4 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 455.3 /90 | 161.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Csinger | 8 | 60483 min | 142.6 /90 | 91.7 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 356.5 /90 | 91.7 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| Wouter Prins | 6 | 80482 min | 30.6 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 163 /90 | 71.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Rente | 5 | 58289 min | 51.6 /90 | 61.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 113.4 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Blokzijl n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0 | — |
| E. Vaessen n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.4 | — |
| T. van Bergen n 8 | 89.4 | 0.5 | 2.6 | T. Chery |
| T. de Jonge n 8 | 88 | 0.5 | 0.9 | D. Nejašmić |
| J. Schreuders n 8 | 84.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | N. Lebreton |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Blokzijl n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| T. van Bergen n 8 | 89.4 | 0.9 |
| T. de Jonge n 8 | 88 | 1.7 |
| J. Schreuders n 8 | 84.4 | 3.5 |
| P. Clement n 8 | 84.6 | 1.3 |
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Groningen Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Willumsson | 9 | 76682 min | 60.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 172.2 /90 | 121.6 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| J. Ondrejka | 7 | 43304 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 41.2 /90 |
| O. Zawada | 2 | 2856 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 23.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. van Bergen | 9 | 89805 min | 60.7 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 252.8 /90 | 151.7 /90 | 131.5 /90 | 202.2 /90 |
| T. de Jonge | 9 | 88794 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 121.4 /90 | 80.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Blokzijl n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| E. Vaessen n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| T. van Bergen n 8 | 89.4 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| T. de Jonge n 8 | 88 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| J. Schreuders n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Vaessen n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. Blokzijl n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. van Bergen n 8 | 89.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| T. de Jonge n 8 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Schreuders n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| NEC Nijmegen | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Possession | 41% |
| 1.80 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.45 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 477 | Passes | 342 |
NEC Nijmegen Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Crettaz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| D. Nejašmić | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Jamiro Monteiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Clement Bischoff | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| T. Chery | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| N. Lebreton | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| B. Linssen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Kevin Kers | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Kaplan | 56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Deveron Fonville | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| P. Schuurs | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Storm | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| K. Sierhuis | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| M. Bakker | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Adam Tahaui | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
Groningen Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. van Bergen | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.1 |
| J. Schreuders | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| M. Rente | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| H. Hateboer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| P. Clement | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Blokzijl | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Vaessen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| D. van der Werff | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 5.9 |
| B. Willumsson | 73 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 8.7 |
| T. de Jonge | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Csinger | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Wouter Prins | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Nils Eggens | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Land | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Hernes | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen v Groningen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-10 Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen
- 2025-11-09 NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen
- 2025-02-08 Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen
- 2024-11-03 NEC Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen
- 2023-04-25 Groningen 0–1 NEC Nijmegen
- 2022-08-26 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Groningen
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for NEC Nijmegen v Groningen?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for NEC Nijmegen v Groningen was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Groningen?
- In their last 6 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 3, Groningen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Groningen?
- Recent form — NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L; Groningen 2W 2D 1L.
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