Heerenveen v Ajax prediction
Team pages: Heerenveen · Ajax · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Heerenveen v Ajax, Eredivisie on Sun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Heerenveen host Ajax in the Eredivisie on Sunday 31 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
13 of Ajax’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 13 of Ajax’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).
Ajax have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Heerenveen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Heerenveen’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Heerenveen have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.88. Heerenveen have scored 15 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Heerenveen have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Away from home, Ajax have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 3.38 and conceding 1.25. Ajax have scored 27 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Ajax have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Heerenveen (eighth) and Ajax (fourth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ajax the stronger side, 201 rating points above Heerenveen (Ajax 1858, Heerenveen 1657, after at least 308 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Heerenveen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Ajax. The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen.
Team news
Predicted Heerenveen XI (4-2-3-1): B. Klaverboer, V. Zagaritis, M. Willemsen, S. Kersten, O. Braude, J. Trenskow, M. Rivera, N. Courtens, M. Linday, R. Meerveld, D. Vente — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jacob Trenskow (5.1 per match over nine appearances, four goals and two assists) and Oliver Braude (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Heerenveen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heerenveen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jacob Trenskow averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 778 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances. Oliver Braude averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 678 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Ajax XI (4-3-3): M. ter Stegen, Y. Baas, C. Henrique, A. Bouwman, T. Kehrer, J. Mokio, D. Klaassen, J. Brandt, O. Gloukh, T. Arokodare, K. Dolberg — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mika Godts (8.0 per match over four appearances, one goal and three assists) and T. Kehrer (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Ajax’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ajax (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mika Godts averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 842 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. T. Kehrer averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 452 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Eredivisie · Abe Lenstra Stadion
- Head-to-head (last 6): Heerenveen 1 · draws 3 · Ajax 2 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Heerenveen 2W 1D 2L · Ajax 2W 2D 1L
Heerenveen v Ajax (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Heerenveen for / against | Line | Ajax for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 3 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 21.13 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.25 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 8.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.88 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Heerenveen
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Proper n 8 | 56.6 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| Roberts Uldriķis n 8 | 34.5 | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Farji n 8 | 24.3 | 1.9 | 3.7 | — |
| L. Smans n 8 | 49.4 | 1.6 | 2.5 | — |
| M. Egbring n 8 | 30.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rivera n 8 | 67.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| D. Vente n 8 | 83.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Roberts Uldriķis n 8 | 34.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| J. Trenskow n 8 | 86.9 | 1.9 | 1 |
| L. Oyen n 8 | 24.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Oyen n 8 | 24.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| L. Smans n 8 | 49.4 | 0 | 0.9 |
| J. Trenskow n 8 | 86.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| M. Rivera n 8 | 67.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| M. Farji n 8 | 24.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Egbring n 8 | 30.5 | 3.3 |
| M. Farji n 8 | 24.3 | 2.8 |
| H. Petrov n 8 | 25.3 | 2.7 |
| S. Kersten n 8 | 85.4 | 2.4 |
| O. Braude n 8 | 84.8 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Klaverboer n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Ajax
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mokio n 8 | 72.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | — |
| V. Tsygankov n 8 | 63.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 79.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| D. Janse n 8 | 64.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| Lucas Rosa n 8 | 68.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Arokodare n 8 | 61.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Marcos Leonardo n 8 | 35.8 | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| A. Ouazane n 8 | 29.1 | 4.2 | 2.3 |
| K. Dolberg n 8 | 56.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| S. Berghuis n 8 | 67.6 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dolberg n 8 | 56.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| T. Arokodare n 8 | 61.5 | 1.1 | 0 |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 56.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| J. Brandt n 8 | 80.1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| T. Kehrer n 8 | 59.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Amrabat n 8 | 58.9 | 2.9 |
| Jofre Torrents n 6 | 32.2 | 2.8 |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 79.5 | 2.7 |
| Lucas Rosa n 8 | 68.6 | 2.6 |
| J. Mokio n 8 | 72.8 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. ter Stegen n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| M. Paes n 8 | 94.6 | 2.4 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Heerenveen v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-16 Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen
- 2026-05-17 Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax
- 2025-11-01 Ajax 1–1 Heerenveen
- 2025-01-19 Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax
- 2024-08-11 Ajax 1–0 Heerenveen
- 2024-02-11 Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Ajax?
- In their last 6 meetings, Heerenveen won 1, Ajax won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Heerenveen and Ajax?
- Recent form — Heerenveen 2W 1D 2L; Ajax 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.