Heerenveen v Twente result

Full-time · Heerenveen 1–0 Twente

Eredivisie · Sun, 09 Aug 2026 15:45 BST · Abe Lenstra Stadion

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Heerenveen · Twente · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Heerenveen 1–0 Twente — Heerenveen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.50 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 571 of 889 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Heerenveen beat Twente 1–0 at Abe Lenstra Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 9 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Twente out-shot Heerenveen 18 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.78 xG to 0.39 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Heerenveen: Luca Oyen (52’, assisted by Jacob Trenskow).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luca Oyen’s goal on 52 minutes.

Discipline

Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands showed three yellow cards — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Heerenveen: Dirk Proper (75’) and Luca Oyen (90+1’); Twente: Daan Rots (90+5’).

What it changes

Heerenveen are seventh (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Twente are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bart van Rooij (Twente) 5.5, Luca Oyen (Heerenveen) 5.0 and Jacob Trenskow (Heerenveen) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Twente are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Heerenveen, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Heerenveen next host Feyenoord on 8 November 2026.

Twente next host Ajax on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Heerenveen: Heerenveen v Feyenoord, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Twente: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Heerenveen 1–0 Twente · Eredivisie
Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion · Heerenveen
Referee: Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Heerenveen 0 · draws 2 · Twente 4 · 3.83 goals/game
Recent form: Heerenveen 2W 1D 2L · Twente 2W 1D 2L

Heerenveen 1–0 Twente (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.38

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.88 / 4.75

Corners

against 5.25 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 6.13

Shots on target

against 6.75 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1 / 0.88

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.14 yellows

Referee · Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands

20.43 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Heerenveen for / against	Line	Twente for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 18.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	6.5 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands — 2.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.43 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Twente

Twente Goalkeeper

Twente — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Unnerstall	2	90180 min	42 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Unnerstall n 8	90	3 5/5

Twente Defensive

Twente — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Adelgaard	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90	105 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
B. van Rooij	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	115.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
M. Bruns	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	11 /90	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Nijstad	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90
R. Pröpper	1	9090 min	11 /90	33 /90	11 /90	22 /90	22 /90	11 /90
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Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. van Rooij n 8	88.1	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
L. Unnerstall n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
S. Ørjasæter n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	0.9 3/3	—
D. Rots n 8	78	1.4 7/2	2 8/3	—
R. Zerrouki n 8	79.9	1 5/2	1 4/2	—
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Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. van Rooij n 8	88.1	3.7 8/8
S. Ørjasæter n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0
D. Rots n 8	78	2.2 8/4
R. Zerrouki n 8	79.9	2.5 8/6
T. van den Belt n 8	71.1	2.2 6/4
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Twente Attacking

Twente — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Weghorst	2	82164 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	31.6 /90	21.1 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90
S. Ørjasæter	2	79158 min	00 /90	42.3 /90	52.8 /90	21.1 /90	74 /90	137.4 /90
M. Pjaca	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	33 /90	11 /90
N. Ünüvar	1	2222 min	00 /90	14.1 /90	28.2 /90	00 /90	14.1 /90	00 /90
D. Rots	2	78155 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	52.9 /90	31.7 /90	42.3 /90	10.6 /90
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Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. van Rooij n 8	88.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
L. Unnerstall n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Ørjasæter n 8	77.4	1.7 6/3	1 4/3
D. Rots n 8	78	2 6/5	1.6 6/3
R. Zerrouki n 8	79.9	1 5/2	0.3 2/0
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Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. van Rooij n 8	88.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Unnerstall n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Ørjasæter n 8	77.4	0.3 2/0	0.7 3/1
D. Rots n 8	78	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
R. Zerrouki n 8	79.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Heerenveen		Twente
46%	Possession	54%
0.39	Expected goals (xG)	1.78
7	Shots	18
4	Shots on target	3
1	Shots off target	11
2	Blocked shots	4
4	Shots inside the box	14
4	Corners	8
2	Offsides	2
7	Fouls	7
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
474	Passes	533
83%	Pass accuracy	86%

Heerenveen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Klaverboer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
M. Willemsen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
V. Zagaritis	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
D. Proper	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.7
M. Linday	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7
D. Vente	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
S. Kersten	83	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
J. Trenskow	83	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	7.5
M. Egbring	68	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7
R. Meerveld	55	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
L. Machine	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
L. Oyen sub	45	1	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7.9
N. Courtens sub	35	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
H. Petrov sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Hopland sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Bladi sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Twente Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Unnerstall	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
B. van Rooij	90	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
M. Bruns	90	1	1	0	2	0	6.7
R. Pröpper	90	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
D. Rots	90	2	0	2	0	Y	6.6
W. Weghorst	90	4	0	2	0	0	6.2
A. Adelgaard	77	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
R. Zerrouki	77	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
T. van den Belt	68	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
M. Pjaca	68	0	0	4	0	0	6.7
S. Ørjasæter	57	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
Y. Taha sub	33	0	0	4	0	0	7.3
M. Kjølø sub	22	1	1	0	2	0	7.2
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink sub	22	2	0	0	0	0	6.5
K. Hlynsson sub	13	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
S. Lammers sub	13	1	0	1	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Heerenveen v Twente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

HeerenveenWWLDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

TwenteWLLDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Heerenveen 0 · 2 draws · Twente 4 · 3.83 goals/game

2026-02-07 Twente 5–0 Heerenveen
2025-08-24 Heerenveen 1–2 Twente
2025-02-09 Heerenveen 3–3 Twente
2024-09-17 Twente 2–0 Heerenveen
2024-04-03 Heerenveen 3–3 Twente
2023-09-30 Twente 1–0 Heerenveen

League standing · 2026/27

Heerenveen#7 pos18 pts11 pl+6 GD

Twente#4 pos23 pts11 pl+18 GD

Goals per game

Heerenveen scored1.73

Twente scored2.55

Heerenveen conceded1.18

Twente conceded0.91

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Heerenveen v Twente?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Heerenveen v Twente was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Twente?: In their last 6 meetings, Heerenveen won 0, Twente won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heerenveen and Twente?: Recent form — Heerenveen 2W 1D 2L; Twente 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.