HeraclesAjax

Heracles v Ajax result

Full-time · Heracles 0–3 Ajax

Eredivisie ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Heracles · Ajax · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Heracles 0–3 Ajax — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1442 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 854 of 1,317 times (64.8%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax won 3–0 at Heracles in the Eredivisie on Saturday 11 April. Heracles are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Mika Godts (16’, assisted by Jorthy Mokio) and Steven Berghuis (17’, assisted by Wout Weghorst; 47’, assisted by Oscar Gloukh). Takehiro Tomiyasu (79’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mika Godts’s goal on 16 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Heracles 1.19, Ajax 1.92, from 15 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. van den Kerkhof showed three yellow cards and one red — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Heracles stay 18th after this result (30 league matches played). Heracles have scored 35 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Heracles have conceded 85 goals, the second-most of the 23 clubs.

Ajax stay fifth after this result (30 league matches played). Ajax have scored 64 goals, the fifth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Ajax have conceded 41 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 23 clubs.

Ajax have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Steven Berghuis (Ajax) 10.1, Jorthy Mokio (Ajax) 10.0 and Wout Weghorst (Ajax) 8.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ajax are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Heracles, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Ajax, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1442).

Next up

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Heracles 0–3 Ajax · Eredivisie
  • Referee: M. van den Kerkhof
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Heracles 0 · draws 0 · Ajax 6 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Heracles 0W 2D 3L · Ajax 1W 2D 2L

Heracles 0–3 Ajax (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 7.5 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.38
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.57 yellows
Referee · M. van den Kerkhof
18.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHeracles for / againstLineAjax for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 7.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: M. van den Kerkhof — 2.57 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 18.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Heracles

Heracles Goalkeeper

Heracles — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Jansink13901170 min503.8 /90332.5 /9010.1 /90
F. de Keijzer990810 min394.3 /90212.3 /9000 /90
R. Pasveer990810 min455 /90222.4 /9000 /90
Heracles — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Jansink n 890
3.87/6
R. Pasveer n 890
58/6
F. de Keijzer n 890
4.57/5

Heracles Defensive

Heracles — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Mirani30882648 min331.1 /90270.9 /90341.2 /901314.5 /90150.5 /9060.2 /90
I. Mesík30882627 min391.3 /90270.9 /90180.6 /90933.2 /90491.7 /9070.2 /90
A. Van Hoorenbeeck23902066 min281.2 /90301.3 /90221 /901034.5 /90190.8 /9030.1 /90
M. Benita20591178 min372.8 /90171.3 /9080.6 /90735.6 /90131 /9040.3 /90
M. te Wierik18761374 min312 /90120.8 /9060.4 /90916 /90151 /9020.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Heracles — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Mirani n 890
0.54/0
0.43/0
Y. Baas
I. Mesík n 886
1.76/5
0.52/1
Y. Baas
A. Hrustić n 885.8
1.35/3
1.67/4
—
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 889.5
0.96/1
0.95/2
Y. Baas
J. Žambůrek n 859.6
1.34/3
1.16/0
—
See more players · Pro
Heracles — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Mirani n 890
1.54/3
I. Mesík n 886
1.46/4
A. Hrustić n 885.8
0.73/2
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 889.5
1.46/4
J. Žambůrek n 859.6
2.57/5
See more players · Pro

Heracles Attacking

Heracles — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Kulenović21691444 min50.3 /9040.2 /90362.2 /90140.9 /90140.9 /9050.3 /90
T. van Gilst1851918 min10.1 /9000 /9090.9 /9040.4 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90
J. Hornkamp14831165 min100.8 /9010.1 /90342.6 /90221.7 /90141.1 /90100.8 /90
Y. Borges Sanches1245542 min30.5 /9010.2 /9061 /9050.8 /9020.3 /9081.3 /90
L. Zeefuik1185939 min20.2 /9000 /90252.4 /9090.9 /9060.6 /9080.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Heracles — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Mirani n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
I. Mesík n 886
0.74/1
0.32/0
A. Hrustić n 885.8
1.67/4
0.84/1
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 889.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Žambůrek n 859.6
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Heracles — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Mirani n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Mesík n 886
00/0
00/0
A. Hrustić n 885.8
0.11/0
00/0
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
J. Žambůrek n 859.6
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Jaroš26902341 min883.4 /90421.6 /9000 /90
R. Pasveer790630 min263.7 /90172.4 /9000 /90
M. Paes690540 min193.2 /9071.2 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Jaroš n 890.1
3.76/5
R. Pasveer n 890
3.68/6
M. Paes n 690
3.25/4

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Y. Baas35883085 min702 /90431.3 /90361.1 /901765.1 /90320.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Gaaei28691925 min281.3 /90200.9 /9040.2 /90713.3 /90231.1 /9060.3 /90
Lucas Rosa26792049 min622.7 /90381.7 /90160.7 /901285.6 /90321.4 /9040.2 /90
O. Wijndal26721875 min291.4 /90221.1 /9070.3 /90773.7 /90271.3 /9040.2 /90
J. Šutalo25761911 min110.5 /90442.1 /90120.6 /90833.9 /9090.4 /9010 /90
See more players · Pro
Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mika Godts n 889.8
0.95/2
1.65/4
—
Y. Baas n 890
0.95/1
0.64/1
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.87/4
0.64/0
—
O. Gloukh n 868.9
0.74/0
0.74/0
—
Y. Regeer n 872.4
0.94/2
1.24/3
—
See more players · Pro
Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.8
1.46/2
Y. Baas n 890
26/5
D. Klaassen n 874.9
2.18/5
O. Gloukh n 868.9
0.53/0
Y. Regeer n 872.4
3.18/7
See more players · Pro

Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mika Godts36812912 min140.4 /90110.3 /90672.1 /90371.1 /90762.3 /90872.7 /90
W. Weghorst24731749 min80.4 /9010.1 /90331.7 /90130.7 /90291.5 /9060.3 /90
K. Dolberg21601256 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.1 /90141 /90110.8 /9080.6 /90
Rayane Bounida19531002 min20.2 /9080.7 /90201.8 /90111 /90363.2 /90232.1 /90
O. Edvardsen1550744 min00 /9000 /9050.6 /9020.2 /9070.8 /9050.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.8
28/5
1.15/3
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.16/1
0.63/1
O. Gloukh n 868.9
1.35/3
14/2
Y. Regeer n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.8
0.53/1
0.43/0
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
0.32/0
00/0
O. Gloukh n 868.9
0.32/0
00/0
Y. Regeer n 872.4
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HeraclesAjax
40%Possession60%
1.19Expected goals (xG)1.92
15Shots18
3Shots on target6
8Shots off target7
4Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box10
7Corners5
1Offsides2
10Fouls4
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
3Saves3
304Passes495
82%Pass accuracy87%

Heracles Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Pasveer9000000006.3
D. Mirani9000101206.2
A. Van Hoorenbeeck90001111Y6.2
S. Scheperman9000001306.5
M. Engels9000101006
L. Zeefuik9000100007.2
I. Mesík6500100305.9
J. Wieckhoff5500000306.2
T. van Gilst5500000106
N. Ünüvar5400000206.3
T. Bruns4500001406.6
S. Čestić sub4500420206.2
L. Kulenović sub3600100106.9
E. Ahlstrand sub3500002106.9
D. van der Kust sub3500000307
W. Ould-Chikh sub25001020Y6.9

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Paes9000000007.2
A. Gaaei9000001406.9
J. Šutalo9000000207.2
Y. Baas9000000307.9
Lucas Rosa9000002407.5
J. Mokio9001302806.9
W. Weghorst9001215206.7
Mika Godts8710212107.7
O. Gloukh8401113207.5
S. Berghuis8420531009.6
K. Itakura6600000206.6
T. Tomiyasu sub13000001R4.6
Sean Steur sub1300000006.7
O. Edvardsen sub1300000006.2
A. Bouwman sub1000000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Heracles v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HeraclesLDLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
AjaxDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Heracles 0 · 0 draws · Ajax 6 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-24 Ajax 2–0 Heracles
  • 2025-02-16 Ajax 4–0 Heracles
  • 2024-10-20 Heracles 3–4 Ajax
  • 2024-01-27 Heracles 2–4 Ajax
  • 2023-08-12 Ajax 4–1 Heracles
  • 2022-02-06 Ajax 3–0 Heracles
League standing · 2025/26
Heracles#18 pos19 pts34 pl-50 GD
Ajax#5 pos56 pts34 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
Heracles scored1.03
Ajax scored1.82
Heracles conceded2.5
Ajax conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Heracles v Ajax?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Heracles v Ajax was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Heracles and Ajax?
In their last 6 meetings, Heracles won 0, Ajax won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heracles and Ajax?
Recent form — Heracles 0W 2D 3L; Ajax 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+