HeraclesGroningen

Heracles v Groningen result

Full-time · Heracles 1–2 Groningen

Eredivisie ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Heracles 1–2 Groningen — Groningen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 555 of 863 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Groningen won 2–1 at Heracles in the Eredivisie on Sunday 17 May. Heracles are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Groningen: David van der Werff (3’) and Tygo Land (56’, assisted by Marco Rente); Heracles: T. van Gilst (17’, assisted by M. Benita).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tygo Land’s goal on 56 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Heracles 0.64, Groningen 1.17, from 11 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Martens showed two yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Heracles: Jan Žambůrek (87’); Groningen: Travis Hernes (90’).

What it changes

Heracles stay 18th after this result (34 league matches played).

Groningen stay ninth after this result (34 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, W. Ould-Chikh (Heracles) 6.2, M. Benita (Heracles) 5.6 and T. van Gilst (Heracles) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Groningen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Heracles.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Groningen: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Heracles 1–2 Groningen · Eredivisie
  • Referee: R. Martens
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Heracles 3 · draws 1 · Groningen 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Heracles 0W 0D 5L · Groningen 2W 1D 2L

Heracles 1–2 Groningen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.88
Corners
against 6.38 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 6.63 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.38
Cards
against 0.88 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · R. Martens
21.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHeracles for / againstLineGroningen for / against
Goals scored
0.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
10.75 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.63 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 6.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 9.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 0.5 against n 8

Referee: R. Martens — 3 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Heracles

Heracles Goalkeeper

Heracles — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Jansink15901350 min573.8 /90372.5 /9010.1 /90
R. Pasveer1190990 min544.9 /90272.5 /9000 /90
F. de Keijzer990810 min394.3 /90212.3 /9000 /90
Heracles — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Jansink n 890
3.97/7
R. Pasveer n 890
5.48/7
F. de Keijzer n 890
4.57/5

Heracles Defensive

Heracles — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Mirani34883008 min381.1 /90280.8 /90361.1 /901464.4 /90190.6 /9060.2 /90
I. Mesík32872782 min441.4 /90280.9 /90180.6 /90993.2 /90581.9 /9070.2 /90
A. Van Hoorenbeeck26902336 min291.1 /90351.3 /90271 /901154.4 /90210.8 /9050.2 /90
M. Benita22621355 min382.5 /90201.3 /9080.5 /90875.8 /90151 /9050.3 /90
M. te Wierik19761441 min322 /90120.7 /9060.4 /90955.9 /90150.9 /9020.1 /90
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Heracles — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Mirani n 890
0.84/1
0.43/0
M. Peersman
I. Mesík n 882.9
2.36/5
0.52/1
—
A. Hrustić n 886.5
1.35/3
1.77/4
—
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 890
0.95/2
15/3
—
J. Žambůrek n 868.1
14/2
1.36/1
J. Schreuders
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Heracles — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Mirani n 890
1.14/3
I. Mesík n 882.9
1.87/5
A. Hrustić n 886.5
0.52/2
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 890
14/3
J. Žambůrek n 868.1
1.55/3
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Heracles Attacking

Heracles — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Kulenović25701750 min50.3 /9040.2 /90412.1 /90140.7 /90170.9 /9050.3 /90
T. van Gilst22551212 min10.1 /9000 /90151.1 /9060.4 /90110.8 /9070.5 /90
J. Hornkamp14831165 min100.8 /9010.1 /90342.6 /90221.7 /90141.1 /90100.8 /90
L. Zeefuik13821061 min20.2 /9000 /90272.3 /9090.8 /9060.5 /90131.1 /90
Y. Borges Sanches1245542 min30.5 /9010.2 /9061 /9050.8 /9020.3 /9081.3 /90
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Heracles — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Mirani n 890
0.11/0
00/0
I. Mesík n 882.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
A. Hrustić n 886.5
1.37/3
0.54/0
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
J. Žambůrek n 868.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Heracles — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Mirani n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Mesík n 882.9
00/0
00/0
A. Hrustić n 886.5
00/0
00/0
A. Van Hoorenbeeck n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Žambůrek n 868.1
00/0
00/0
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Groningen

Groningen Goalkeeper

Groningen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Vaessen29862508 min712.5 /90381.4 /9000 /90
H. Jurjus779552 min264.2 /9061 /9000 /90
Groningen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Vaessen n 884.4
2.45/3
H. Jurjus n 880.3
3.97/5

Groningen Defensive

Groningen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Blokzijl34903052 min371.1 /90290.9 /90290.9 /901303.8 /90230.7 /9040.1 /90
M. Peersman33852798 min361.2 /90270.9 /90110.4 /901193.8 /90381.2 /9050.2 /90
D. Janse31882729 min361.2 /90311 /90240.8 /901304.3 /90351.2 /9060.2 /90
M. Rente28792215 min431.7 /90301.2 /9090.4 /901566.3 /90180.7 /9030.1 /90
Tyrique Mercera1657905 min282.8 /9070.7 /9060.6 /90585.8 /90161.6 /9010.1 /90
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Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.85/1
0.11/0
—
T. van Bergen n 890
1.65/4
2.38/6
—
J. Schreuders n 890
0.85/1
15/2
J. Žambůrek
M. Peersman n 884
1.25/3
1.97/3
D. Mirani
Y. Taha n 879.4
16/1
0.94/2
—
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Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 890
1.37/3
T. van Bergen n 890
0.95/2
J. Schreuders n 890
1.66/2
M. Peersman n 884
1.25/2
Y. Taha n 879.4
15/2
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Groningen Attacking

Groningen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. van Bergen34872972 min100.3 /9040.1 /90752.3 /90391.2 /90310.9 /90321 /90
B. Willumsson25481201 min60.4 /9000 /90312.3 /90191.4 /90171.3 /9010.1 /90
O. Zawada925226 min20.8 /9000 /90124.8 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9000 /90
J. Schreuders34832834 min10 /9030.1 /90280.9 /90180.6 /90381.2 /90270.9 /90
Y. Taha33812688 min60.2 /9090.3 /90712.4 /90401.3 /90732.4 /90301 /90
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Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 890
0.11/0
00/0
T. van Bergen n 890
2.18/6
1.18/1
J. Schreuders n 890
1.15/3
0.63/2
M. Peersman n 884
0.11/0
0.11/0
Y. Taha n 879.4
38/6
1.67/2
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Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. van Bergen n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
J. Schreuders n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Peersman n 884
0.11/0
0.11/0
Y. Taha n 879.4
0.11/0
0.63/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HeraclesGroningen
53%Possession47%
0.64Expected goals (xG)1.17
11Shots16
2Shots on target5
7Shots off target8
2Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box10
9Corners5
3Offsides1
8Fouls5
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
392Passes354
77%Pass accuracy76%

Heracles Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Jansink9000000006.6
M. te Wierik9000000206.7
D. Mirani9000200106.3
D. van der Kust9000001205.9
S. Scheperman9000210006.9
T. van Gilst9010211007.3
J. Žambůrek88000000Y6.3
M. Benita8501001006.2
T. Bruns7600000107.3
W. Ould-Chikh7600005308.5
M. Engels7500200106
E. Ahlstrand sub1500001306.9
R. Bozinovski sub1400000006.3
Tarik Hamamioglu sub1400100006.3
Jeppe Wijnreder sub900000006.9
S. Blokhuis sub20000000–

Groningen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Vaessen9000000005.9
M. Rente9001004006.3
T. Blokzijl9000000307
D. Janse9000000006.9
M. Peersman9000101207.2
T. de Jonge9000211106.7
J. Schreuders9000000206.7
Y. Taha8900413006.3
T. van Bergen8900310106.7
T. Land7410110007.9
D. van der Werff6110111107.5
T. Hernes sub29001000Y6.3
Rui Mendes sub1600000106.3
Wouter Prins sub10000000–
Besnik Mashuku sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Heracles v Groningen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HeraclesLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
GroningenWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Heracles 3 · 1 draw · Groningen 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-29 Groningen 4–0 Heracles
  • 2025-04-23 Groningen 4–1 Heracles
  • 2025-01-28 Heracles 1–1 Groningen
  • 2022-04-24 Groningen 0–1 Heracles
  • 2021-12-18 Heracles 4–2 Groningen
  • 2021-01-30 Heracles 1–0 Groningen
League standing · 2025/26
Heracles#18 pos19 pts34 pl-50 GD
Groningen#9 pos48 pts34 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Heracles scored1.03
Groningen scored1.44
Heracles conceded2.5
Groningen conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Heracles v Groningen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Heracles v Groningen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Heracles and Groningen?
In their last 6 meetings, Heracles won 3, Groningen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heracles and Groningen?
Recent form — Heracles 0W 0D 5L; Groningen 2W 1D 2L.

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