NAC Breda v Ajax result
Team pages: NAC Breda · Ajax · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.
The result
Ajax won 2–0 at Rat Verlegh Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 25 April. NAC Breda are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.
The goals
Ajax led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Oscar Gloukh (20’, assisted by Mika Godts) and Mika Godts (41’, assisted by Wout Weghorst).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oscar Gloukh’s goal on 20 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: NAC Breda 1.45, Ajax 2.43, from 21 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
S. Gozubuyuk showed two yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ajax: Ko Itakura (78’) and Wout Weghorst (85’).
What it changes
NAC Breda stay 17th after this result (31 league matches played).
Ajax move up from fifth to fourth (31 league matches played).
Ajax have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mika Godts (Ajax) 12.7, Lucas Rosa (Ajax) 10.5 and Youri Regeer (Ajax) 5.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax · Eredivisie
- Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion · Breda
- Referee: S. Gozubuyuk
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): NAC Breda 1 · draws 0 · Ajax 5 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: NAC Breda 0W 3D 2L · Ajax 2W 1D 2L
NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | NAC Breda for / against | Line | Ajax for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.75 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.88 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.38 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.38 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Gozubuyuk — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 21.8 fouls over 15 matches.
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NAC Breda
NAC Breda Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bielica | 29 | 902610 min | 953.3 /90 | 481.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Bielica n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
NAC Breda Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Kemper | 30 | 882641 min | 461.6 /90 | 240.8 /90 | 100.3 /90 | 1535.2 /90 | 361.2 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| R. Hillen | 22 | 821795 min | 442.2 /90 | 231.2 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 1276.4 /90 | 241.2 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| Cherrion Valerius | 22 | 751648 min | 362 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 904.9 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| B. Lucassen | 18 | 631126 min | 181.4 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 514.1 /90 | 80.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. Leemans | 17 | 631072 min | 100.8 /90 | 181.5 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 322.7 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Kemper n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.9 | Y. Baas |
| K. Sowah n 8 | 75.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | O. Gloukh |
| D. Bielica n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| M. Balard n 8 | 82 | 0.8 | 1.1 | O. Gloukh |
| L. Holtby n 8 | 51.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Kemper n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| K. Sowah n 8 | 75.3 | 2.4 |
| M. Balard n 8 | 82 | 1.6 |
| L. Holtby n 8 | 51.5 | 2 |
| M. Nassoh n 8 | 57.4 | 2.4 |
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NAC Breda Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Talvitie | 23 | 601389 min | 20.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 231.5 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 251.6 /90 | 191.2 /90 |
| C. Brym | 22 | 651429 min | 20.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 312 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 231.4 /90 | 291.8 /90 |
| S. van Hooijdonk | 18 | 711279 min | 50.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 251.8 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 60.4 /90 |
| A. Ayew | 13 | 51663 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 162.2 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 50.7 /90 |
| M. Soumano | 9 | 58523 min | 30.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 203.4 /90 | 91.5 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 40.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Kemper n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| K. Sowah n 8 | 75.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| D. Bielica n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Balard n 8 | 82 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| L. Holtby n 8 | 51.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Kemper n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| K. Sowah n 8 | 75.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Bielica n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Balard n 8 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Holtby n 8 | 51.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
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Ajax
Ajax Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jaroš | 26 | 902341 min | 883.4 /90 | 421.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Paes | 7 | 90630 min | 223.1 /90 | 71 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. Pasveer | 7 | 90630 min | 263.7 /90 | 172.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Jaroš n 8 | 90.1 | 3.7 |
| R. Pasveer n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| M. Paes n 7 | 90 | 3.1 |
Ajax Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Baas | 36 | 883175 min | 732.1 /90 | 441.2 /90 | 361 /90 | 1805.1 /90 | 320.9 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| A. Gaaei | 29 | 692015 min | 321.4 /90 | 200.9 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 773.4 /90 | 251.1 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| Lucas Rosa | 27 | 792139 min | 662.8 /90 | 391.6 /90 | 160.7 /90 | 1355.7 /90 | 321.3 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| J. Šutalo | 26 | 772001 min | 130.6 /90 | 452 /90 | 120.5 /90 | 894 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 10 /90 |
| O. Wijndal | 26 | 721875 min | 291.4 /90 | 221.1 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 773.7 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 89.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | — |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 | B. Kemper |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 69 | 0.7 | 0.7 | M. Balard |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 1.1 | 0 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 89.6 | 1.4 |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 2.1 |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 69 | 0.8 |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 2.1 |
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Ajax Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts | 37 | 812999 min | 150.5 /90 | 110.3 /90 | 692.1 /90 | 381.1 /90 | 782.3 /90 | 882.6 /90 |
| W. Weghorst | 25 | 741839 min | 80.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 351.7 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 341.7 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| K. Dolberg | 21 | 601256 min | 50.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 292.1 /90 | 141 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 80.6 /90 |
| Rayane Bounida | 19 | 531002 min | 20.2 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 201.8 /90 | 111 /90 | 363.2 /90 | 232.1 /90 |
| O. Edvardsen | 15 | 50744 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 50.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 89.6 | 2 | 1.3 |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 69 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 89.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 69 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 0 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| NAC Breda | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Possession | 43% |
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.43 |
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 10 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 507 | Passes | 393 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
NAC Breda Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bielica | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| D. Odoi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Oldrup Jensen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Kemper | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Sowah | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Nassoh | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| C. Leemans | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Balard | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Paula | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Brym | 56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Soumano | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Ghalidi sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Ayew sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Reulen sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Holtby sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Talvitie sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Ajax Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| A. Gaaei | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Šutalo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Y. Baas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. Mokio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| W. Weghorst | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.5 |
| Mika Godts | 82 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9.5 |
| Y. Regeer | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.5 |
| S. Berghuis | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Gloukh | 56 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Sean Steur sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Itakura sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Rayane Bounida sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| O. Edvardsen sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind NAC Breda v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-27 Ajax 2–1 NAC Breda
- 2025-04-06 Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda
- 2024-08-18 NAC Breda 2–1 Ajax
- 2019-02-17 Ajax 5–0 NAC Breda
- 2018-11-24 NAC Breda 0–3 Ajax
- 2018-02-04 Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for NAC Breda v Ajax?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for NAC Breda v Ajax was Both teams to score: Yes.
- What is the head-to-head record between NAC Breda and Ajax?
- In their last 6 meetings, NAC Breda won 1, Ajax won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of NAC Breda and Ajax?
- Recent form — NAC Breda 0W 3D 2L; Ajax 2W 1D 2L.
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