NAC BredaAjax

NAC Breda v Ajax result

Full-time · NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax

Eredivisie · · Rat Verlegh Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 4 of 6 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax won 2–0 at Rat Verlegh Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 25 April. NAC Breda are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Oscar Gloukh (20’, assisted by Mika Godts) and Mika Godts (41’, assisted by Wout Weghorst).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oscar Gloukh’s goal on 20 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: NAC Breda 1.45, Ajax 2.43, from 21 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Gozubuyuk showed two yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ajax: Ko Itakura (78’) and Wout Weghorst (85’).

What it changes

NAC Breda stay 17th after this result (31 league matches played).

Ajax move up from fifth to fourth (31 league matches played).

Ajax have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mika Godts (Ajax) 12.7, Lucas Rosa (Ajax) 10.5 and Youri Regeer (Ajax) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion · Breda
  • Referee: S. Gozubuyuk
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): NAC Breda 1 · draws 0 · Ajax 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: NAC Breda 0W 3D 2L · Ajax 2W 1D 2L

NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.73 yellows
Referee · S. Gozubuyuk
21.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNAC Breda for / againstLineAjax for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: S. Gozubuyuk — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 21.8 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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NAC Breda

NAC Breda Goalkeeper

NAC Breda — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Bielica29902610 min953.3 /90481.7 /9000 /90
NAC Breda — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Bielica n 890
1.84/3

NAC Breda Defensive

NAC Breda — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Kemper30882641 min461.6 /90240.8 /90100.3 /901535.2 /90361.2 /9030.1 /90
R. Hillen22821795 min442.2 /90231.2 /90120.6 /901276.4 /90241.2 /9080.4 /90
Cherrion Valerius22751648 min362 /90211.1 /9070.4 /90904.9 /90160.9 /9040.2 /90
B. Lucassen18631126 min181.4 /9090.7 /9060.5 /90514.1 /9080.6 /9000 /90
C. Leemans17631072 min100.8 /90181.5 /9040.3 /90322.7 /90110.9 /9040.3 /90
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NAC Breda — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Kemper n 890
17/1
0.95/2
Y. Baas
K. Sowah n 875.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
O. Gloukh
D. Bielica n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Balard n 882
0.84/2
1.14/2
O. Gloukh
L. Holtby n 851.5
0.93/1
0.72/1
—
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NAC Breda — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kemper n 890
1.35/2
K. Sowah n 875.3
2.48/5
M. Balard n 882
1.66/4
L. Holtby n 851.5
26/2
M. Nassoh n 857.4
2.46/4
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NAC Breda Attacking

NAC Breda — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Talvitie23601389 min20.1 /9020.1 /90231.5 /90110.7 /90251.6 /90191.2 /90
C. Brym22651429 min20.1 /9030.2 /90312 /90130.8 /90231.4 /90291.8 /90
S. van Hooijdonk18711279 min50.4 /9000 /90251.8 /90130.9 /90100.7 /9060.4 /90
A. Ayew1351663 min10.1 /9000 /90162.2 /9060.8 /9060.8 /9050.7 /90
M. Soumano958523 min30.5 /9000 /90203.4 /9091.5 /9071.2 /9040.7 /90
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NAC Breda — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Kemper n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
K. Sowah n 875.3
0.95/1
0.11/0
D. Bielica n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Balard n 882
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Holtby n 851.5
0.71/1
00/0
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NAC Breda — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Kemper n 890
00/0
0.11/0
K. Sowah n 875.3
0.11/0
00/0
D. Bielica n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Balard n 882
00/0
00/0
L. Holtby n 851.5
00/0
0.21/0
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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Jaroš26902341 min883.4 /90421.6 /9000 /90
M. Paes790630 min223.1 /9071 /9000 /90
R. Pasveer790630 min263.7 /90172.4 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Jaroš n 890.1
3.76/5
R. Pasveer n 890
3.68/6
M. Paes n 790
3.16/5

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Y. Baas36883175 min732.1 /90441.2 /90361 /901805.1 /90320.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Gaaei29692015 min321.4 /90200.9 /9050.2 /90773.4 /90251.1 /9060.3 /90
Lucas Rosa27792139 min662.8 /90391.6 /90160.7 /901355.7 /90321.3 /9040.2 /90
J. Šutalo26772001 min130.6 /90452 /90120.5 /90894 /9090.4 /9010 /90
O. Wijndal26721875 min291.4 /90221.1 /9070.3 /90773.7 /90271.3 /9040.2 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mika Godts n 889.6
0.95/2
1.55/3
—
Y. Baas n 890
0.84/1
0.53/1
B. Kemper
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.87/4
0.64/0
—
O. Gloukh n 869
0.74/0
0.74/0
M. Balard
A. Gaaei n 881.3
1.15/3
00/0
—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.6
1.46/2
Y. Baas n 890
1.96/5
D. Klaassen n 874.9
2.18/5
O. Gloukh n 869
0.84/1
A. Gaaei n 881.3
2.18/3
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mika Godts37812999 min150.5 /90110.3 /90692.1 /90381.1 /90782.3 /90882.6 /90
W. Weghorst25741839 min80.4 /9020.1 /90351.7 /90140.7 /90341.7 /9060.3 /90
K. Dolberg21601256 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.1 /90141 /90110.8 /9080.6 /90
Rayane Bounida19531002 min20.2 /9080.7 /90201.8 /90111 /90363.2 /90232.1 /90
O. Edvardsen1550744 min00 /9000 /9050.6 /9020.2 /9070.8 /9050.6 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.6
28/5
1.36/3
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.16/1
0.63/1
O. Gloukh n 869
1.15/2
0.84/1
A. Gaaei n 881.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.6
0.64/1
0.43/0
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
0.32/0
00/0
O. Gloukh n 869
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Gaaei n 881.3
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NAC BredaAjax
57%Possession43%
1.45Expected goals (xG)2.43
21Shots8
3Shots on target6
10Shots off target1
8Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box6
11Corners2
1Offsides0
6Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves3
507Passes393
87%Pass accuracy81%

NAC Breda Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Bielica9000000007.2
D. Odoi9000002407.2
F. Oldrup Jensen9000000206.5
B. Kemper9000001106.3
K. Sowah9000310407
M. Nassoh9000113107.7
C. Leemans8200001107
M. Balard7100101206.9
R. Paula5600110006.3
C. Brym5600200006.3
M. Soumano5600001006.3
B. Ghalidi sub3400001107.3
A. Ayew sub3400201006.3
P. Reulen sub3400101106.2
L. Holtby sub1900200006.3
J. Talvitie sub800000006.3

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Paes9000000007.9
A. Gaaei9000000206.9
J. Šutalo9000000007
Y. Baas9000000107.9
Lucas Rosa90001101007.7
J. Mokio9000110306.6
W. Weghorst90011112Y7.5
Mika Godts8211223209.5
Y. Regeer7200000507.5
S. Berghuis7200001006.9
O. Gloukh5610110007.6
Sean Steur sub3400001006.9
K. Itakura sub18000001Y6.9
Rayane Bounida sub1800100006.5
O. Edvardsen sub800001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind NAC Breda v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NAC BredaDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
AjaxLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
NAC Breda 1 · 0 draws · Ajax 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-09-27 Ajax 2–1 NAC Breda
  • 2025-04-06 Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda
  • 2024-08-18 NAC Breda 2–1 Ajax
  • 2019-02-17 Ajax 5–0 NAC Breda
  • 2018-11-24 NAC Breda 0–3 Ajax
  • 2018-02-04 Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda
League standing · 2025/26
NAC Breda#17 pos29 pts34 pl-23 GD
Ajax#5 pos56 pts34 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
NAC Breda scored1.03
Ajax scored1.82
NAC Breda conceded1.71
Ajax conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for NAC Breda v Ajax?
TACTIX’s free model pick for NAC Breda v Ajax was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between NAC Breda and Ajax?
In their last 6 meetings, NAC Breda won 1, Ajax won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NAC Breda and Ajax?
Recent form — NAC Breda 0W 3D 2L; Ajax 2W 1D 2L.

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