This Matchweek

PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag

PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag result

Full-time · PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag

Eredivisie · · MAC³PARK Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag — PEC Zwolle won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 570 of 888 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

PEC Zwolle beat ADO Den Haag 1–0 at MAC³PARK Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November.

The goals

PEC Zwolle led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — PEC Zwolle: Dylan Mbayo (45’, assisted by Y. Namli).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dylan Mbayo’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: PEC Zwolle 1.48, ADO Den Haag 0.52, from 24 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — PEC Zwolle: Olivier Aertssen (65’), Gilles van der Wal (79’) and Ibrahim Cissoko (81’); ADO Den Haag: Yannick Eduardo (48’), Pascal Mulder (52’) and Matteo Waem (72’).

What it changes

PEC Zwolle have scored 12 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). PEC Zwolle have conceded 23 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

ADO Den Haag have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). ADO Den Haag have conceded 24 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

ADO Den Haag are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Y. Namli (PEC Zwolle) 8.1, Ryan Thomas (PEC Zwolle) 6.0 and T. Sommer (PEC Zwolle) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

PEC Zwolle next travel to Telstar on 21 November 2026.

ADO Den Haag next travel to Ajax on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PEC Zwolle: Telstar v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for ADO Den Haag: Ajax v ADO Den Haag, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie
  • Venue: MAC³PARK Stadion · Zwolle
  • Referee: Jeroen Manschot
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PEC Zwolle 2 · draws 0 · ADO Den Haag 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: PEC Zwolle 1W 1D 3L · ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 1L

PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.43
Corners
against 7.13 / 5.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.75 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 6.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.25 / 2.14
Cards
against 1.13 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePEC Zwolle for / againstLineADO Den Haag for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.5 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.43 for · 5.43 against n 7
Shots
11.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.57 for · 19.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 6.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
15.43 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.14 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: Jeroen Manschot.

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle Goalkeeper

PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Schendelaar1090900 min434.3 /90202 /9000 /90
T. de Graaff19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /90
PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Schendelaar n 890
3.97/7
T. de Graaff n 890
3.56/5

PEC Zwolle Defensive

PEC Zwolle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Viergever1190990 min171.5 /9080.7 /90111 /90292.6 /9060.5 /9000 /90
S. Graves1190990 min151.4 /90121.1 /90141.3 /90595.4 /90131.2 /9000 /90
O. Aertssen1188965 min312.9 /90232.1 /9060.6 /90514.8 /9090.8 /9010.1 /90
D. van der Haar867536 min81.3 /90122 /9010.2 /90142.4 /9020.3 /9000 /90
S. Floranus671423 min102.1 /9061.3 /9000 /90173.6 /9071.5 /9030.6 /90
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PEC Zwolle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Graves n 890
16/1
0.84/2
P. Mulder
N. Viergever n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
P. Mulder
T. Sommer n 889.3
1.37/2
0.96/1
E. Rottier
O. Aertssen n 886.9
0.96/1
0.84/2
P. Mulder
D. Mbayo n 872.9
0.64/0
2.67/4
Y. Eduardo
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PEC Zwolle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Viergever n 890
1.98/3
S. Graves n 890
1.47/3
T. Sommer n 889.3
1.47/4
O. Aertssen n 886.9
2.57/7
D. Mbayo n 872.9
1.15/2
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PEC Zwolle Attacking

PEC Zwolle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Kostons983747 min30.4 /9000 /90161.9 /90101.2 /9060.7 /9060.7 /90
Elias Sørensen852417 min20.4 /9000 /9071.5 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9040.9 /90
S. van Hooijdonk744309 min10.3 /9000 /9092.6 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
T. Sommer1189979 min00 /9010.1 /9080.7 /9060.6 /90151.4 /9050.5 /90
D. Mbayo1172787 min00 /9040.5 /9091 /9060.7 /90161.8 /90111.3 /90
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PEC Zwolle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Graves n 890
0.43/0
00/0
N. Viergever n 890
0.32/0
00/0
T. Sommer n 889.3
0.85/1
0.54/0
O. Aertssen n 886.9
0.32/0
00/0
D. Mbayo n 872.9
1.26/2
0.96/0
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PEC Zwolle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Viergever n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Graves n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Sommer n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
O. Aertssen n 886.9
00/0
00/0
D. Mbayo n 872.9
00/0
0.32/0
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ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag Goalkeeper

ADO Den Haag — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Nikiema1090900 min454.5 /90181.8 /9000 /90
ADO Den Haag — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ADO Den Haag before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Nikiema n 890
4.18/3

ADO Den Haag Defensive

ADO Den Haag — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Mulder1088883 min252.5 /90272.8 /90101 /90585.9 /90191.9 /9020.2 /90
S. Sylla958518 min142.4 /9040.7 /9000 /90264.5 /9091.6 /9020.3 /90
M. Hokke880639 min223.1 /9071 /9030.4 /90354.9 /9010.1 /9000 /90
M. Waem876609 min81.2 /90101.5 /9060.9 /90233.4 /9081.2 /9010.1 /90
O. Raterink862493 min183.3 /9030.5 /9020.4 /90305.5 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
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ADO Den Haag — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ADO Den Haag before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kilo n 890
1.56/4
0.84/2
—
K. Nikiema n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
P. Mulder n 890
26/5
0.42/1
O. Aertssen
E. Rottier n 888.6
0.94/2
1.47/3
T. Sommer
Y. Eduardo n 875.8
2.58/6
1.25/2
D. Mbayo
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ADO Den Haag — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ADO Den Haag before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kilo n 890
2.68/6
P. Mulder n 890
2.57/7
E. Rottier n 888.6
0.53/1
Y. Eduardo n 875.8
0.64/0
S. Sylla n 853.5
2.75/3
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ADO Den Haag Attacking

ADO Den Haag — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Rottier1079794 min20.2 /9050.6 /90101.1 /9050.6 /90161.8 /9020.2 /90
Y. Eduardo1076755 min30.4 /9020.2 /90121.4 /9050.6 /9060.7 /9070.8 /90
Jesse Bal938339 min10.3 /9000 /9082.1 /9030.8 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
D. Bárány32163 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Reischl22957 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
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ADO Den Haag — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ADO Den Haag before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kilo n 890
0.53/1
0.53/1
K. Nikiema n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Mulder n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
E. Rottier n 888.6
1.17/2
0.65/0
Y. Eduardo n 875.8
1.25/1
0.63/1
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ADO Den Haag — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ADO Den Haag before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kilo n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Nikiema n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Mulder n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Rottier n 888.6
0.32/0
0.65/0
Y. Eduardo n 875.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
34%Possession66%
1.48Expected goals (xG)0.52
24Shots12
5Shots on target4
11Shots off target5
8Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box5
8Corners2
1Offsides2
15Fouls9
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves4
267Passes527

PEC Zwolle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Schendelaar9000000006.7
N. Viergever9000101006.9
S. van Hooijdonk9000522006.4
Gilles van der Wal90002012Y6.2
D. van der Haar9000201306.5
R. Thomas9000104506.8
S. Graves9000101106.9
T. Sommer8800323107.2
O. Aertssen74002022Y6.5
D. Mbayo7310110007.7
Y. Namli6001404207.7
T. Oosting3000101006.8
I. Cissoko17000000Y6.2
Jan Bürger1600100106.6
T. Velthuis200000006.4

ADO Den Haag Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Waem90001000Y6.6
E. Rottier9000520005.9
P. Mulder90000012Y6.7
J. Kilo9000005007.2
M. Hokke9000001207.2
K. Nikiema9000000107.8
Y. Eduardo78000000Y6.1
N. Thomas6100000006.4
M. Šín6100200106.2
O. Raterink4500100106.3
J. Jensen-Abbew4500000006
J. Hawkins4500210006.5
C. Peupion4500002006.9
D. van Mieghem2900110006.5
Jesse Bal2900000006
D. Bárány1200000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PEC ZwolleLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ADO Den HaagDDWLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PEC Zwolle 2 · 0 draws · ADO Den Haag 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2021-05-09 PEC Zwolle 0–1 ADO Den Haag
  • 2020-12-23 ADO Den Haag 0–2 PEC Zwolle
  • 2019-10-20 PEC Zwolle 3–1 ADO Den Haag
  • 2019-02-15 ADO Den Haag 1–0 PEC Zwolle
  • 2018-11-24 PEC Zwolle 2–3 ADO Den Haag
  • 2017-12-22 ADO Den Haag 4–0 PEC Zwolle
League standing · 2026/27
PEC Zwolle#13 pos12 pts12 pl-11 GD
ADO Den Haag#17 pos9 pts12 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
PEC Zwolle scored1.08
ADO Den Haag scored1.33
PEC Zwolle conceded2
ADO Den Haag conceded2.08

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag?
In their last 6 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 2, ADO Den Haag won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag?
Recent form — PEC Zwolle 1W 1D 3L; ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 1L.

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