PEC Zwolle v Ajax result

Full-time · PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax

Eredivisie · Sun, 09 Aug 2026 13:30 BST · MAC³PARK Stadion

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: PEC Zwolle · Ajax · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 845 of 1,307 times (64.7%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax won 2–0 at MAC³PARK Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 9 August. Ajax are unbeaten in the last six meetings with PEC Zwolle, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Jorthy Mokio (76’, assisted by Toluwalase Arokodare) and Julian Brandt (90’, assisted by Mika Godts). Sherel Floranus (57’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jorthy Mokio’s goal on 76 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: PEC Zwolle 0.59, Ajax 1.54, from 7 shots to 26 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — PEC Zwolle: Gabriël Reiziger (88’) and Koen Kostons (89’); Ajax: A. Ouazane (33’) and Davy Klaassen (86’).

What it changes

PEC Zwolle have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Ajax are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Olivier Aertssen (PEC Zwolle) 7.5, Lucas Rosa (Ajax) 5.8 and Mika Godts (Ajax) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Ajax, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

PEC Zwolle next travel to Telstar on 21 November 2026.

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PEC Zwolle: Telstar v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax · Eredivisie
Venue: MAC³PARK Stadion · Zwolle
Referee: Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): PEC Zwolle 0 · draws 2 · Ajax 4 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: PEC Zwolle 1W 1D 3L · Ajax 4W 1D 0L

PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2

Goals

against 2.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 7.43

Corners

against 5.38 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.38 / 7.57

Shots on target

against 6.63 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

0.88 / 1.14

Cards

against 1.38 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.29 yellows

Referee · Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands

22 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	PEC Zwolle for / against	Line	Ajax for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.43 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.38 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	20 for · 8.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.57 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.14 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.14 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Paes	3	92277 min	61.9 /90	31 /90	00 /90

Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Paes n 8	90.9	2.2 5/4

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Bouwman	3	92277 min	10.3 /90	61.9 /90	00 /90	61.9 /90	31 /90	00 /90
D. Blind	3	92277 min	51.6 /90	61.9 /90	10.3 /90	144.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
O. Wijndal	3	73220 min	52 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	135.3 /90	83.3 /90	00 /90
Lucas Rosa	2	92183 min	42 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	104.9 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Caio Henrique	2	2957 min	34.7 /90	23.2 /90	00 /90	34.7 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Regeer n 8	67.8	1.2 6/1	1.5 6/3	—
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	1 6/2	0 0/0	—
D. Blind n 8	81.3	0.6 3/1	0.7 2/1	—
M. Paes n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Mika Godts n 8	87	0.6 4/1	2.3 7/6	—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Regeer n 8	67.8	2.3 6/3
D. Blind n 8	81.3	2.1 7/5
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	0.6 4/1
Mika Godts n 8	87	0.6 4/1
O. Wijndal n 8	68.9	1.8 6/4
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mika Godts	3	86259 min	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	103.5 /90	51.7 /90	103.5 /90	103.5 /90
S. Berghuis	3	72217 min	10.4 /90	31.2 /90	93.7 /90	41.7 /90	83.3 /90	10.4 /90
K. Dolberg	3	65194 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	104.6 /90	73.2 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
Marcos Leonardo	2	3672 min	00 /90	00 /90	45 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90
O. Edvardsen	2	3060 min	00 /90	11.5 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90	46 /90	00 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Regeer n 8	67.8	0.7 3/1	0.3 2/0
D. Blind n 8	81.3	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0
M. Paes n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mika Godts n 8	87	2.3 7/6	1.2 6/2
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Regeer n 8	67.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
M. Paes n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Blind n 8	81.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mika Godts n 8	87	0.4 3/0	0.6 5/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PEC Zwolle		Ajax
31%	Possession	69%
0.59	Expected goals (xG)	1.54
7	Shots	26
2	Shots on target	6
2	Shots off target	8
3	Blocked shots	12
4	Shots inside the box	13
2	Corners	10
12	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
4	Saves	2
238	Passes	548
73%	Pass accuracy	88%

PEC Zwolle Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Schendelaar	90	0	0	0	0	0	8
O. Aertssen	90	0	0	1	8	0	6.6
S. Graves	90	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
N. Viergever	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Kostons	90	1	0	0	0	Y	6.5
T. Sommer	85	1	1	0	1	0	7
R. Thomas	85	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
T. Oosting	74	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
D. Mbayo	61	1	0	3	2	0	6.6
I. Cissoko	60	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
S. Floranus	57	0	0	0	1	R	6.3
D. van der Haar sub	30	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
G. Reiziger sub	29	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
T. Velthuis sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Elias Sørensen sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
O. Velanas sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Ajax Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. ter Stegen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Lucas Rosa	90	0	0	1	1	4	4	0	7.3
A. Bouwman	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	8.2
Y. Baas	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.9
Caio Henrique	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.9
D. Klaassen	90	0	0	1	0	4	1	Y	6.3
A. Ouazane	73	0	0	1	0	1	0	Y	6.3
K. Dolberg	67	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Y. Regeer	61	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
O. Gloukh	61	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	7.2
S. Berghuis	61	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	6.9
J. Mokio sub	29	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	7.9
Mika Godts sub	29	0	1	1	0	4	0	0	7.2
J. Brandt sub	29	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.6
Marcos Leonardo sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Arokodare sub	17	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PEC Zwolle v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PEC ZwolleDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

AjaxWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

PEC Zwolle 0 · 2 draws · Ajax 4 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-01 PEC Zwolle 0–0 Ajax
2025-09-13 Ajax 3–1 PEC Zwolle
2025-03-09 PEC Zwolle 0–1 Ajax
2024-11-24 Ajax 2–0 PEC Zwolle
2024-03-31 PEC Zwolle 1–3 Ajax
2023-12-17 Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle

League standing · 2026/27

PEC Zwolle#13 pos12 pts12 pl-11 GD

Ajax#2 pos24 pts11 pl+17 GD

Goals per game

PEC Zwolle scored1.08

Ajax scored2.73

PEC Zwolle conceded2

Ajax conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for PEC Zwolle v Ajax?: TACTIX’s free model pick for PEC Zwolle v Ajax was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between PEC Zwolle and Ajax?: In their last 6 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 0, Ajax won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and Ajax?: Recent form — PEC Zwolle 1W 1D 3L; Ajax 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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