Roda v Waalwijk result
The model’s pre-match pick
Roda 1–1 Waalwijk — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.
The result
Roda and Waalwijk drew 1–1 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion in the Eredivisie on Tuesday 28 April. Waalwijk have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Waalwijk: Denilho Cleonise (51’); Roda: Tomas Kalinauskas (90+5’, assisted by Joshua Nisbet).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tomas Kalinauskas’s goal on 90+5’.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Roda 0.00, Waalwijk 0.00, from 9 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Roda: Anthony van den Hurk (65’) and Michael Breij (67’); Waalwijk: Nazjir Held (53’) and Godfried Roemeratoe (90’).
What it changes
Roda sit fourth on two points from two games with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).
Waalwijk sit fourth on two points from two games with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).
Roda are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Fage (Waalwijk) 5.5, Marco Tol (Roda) 5.1 and Roshon van Eijma (Waalwijk) 5.1 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 5 of 7 landed in the last 90 days.
Next up
Waalwijk next travel to Willem II on 9 May 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Result: Roda 1–1 Waalwijk · Eredivisie
- Venue: Parkstad Limburg Stadion · Kerkrade
- Referee: Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Roda 1W 1D 3L · Waalwijk 3W 0D 2L
Roda 1–1 Waalwijk (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Roda for / against | Line | Waalwijk for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 7.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 15.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.63 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.67 for · 7.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.33 for · 8.67 against n 3 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.13 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1 against n 4 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands — 4.17 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.33 fouls over 6 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Waalwijk
Waalwijk Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | — |
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Harrie Kuster n 3 | 89 | 0.7 | 1.7 | — |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 3 | 82.7 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Melle Witteveen n 3 | 46 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 2.1 |
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 |
| Harrie Kuster n 3 | 89 | 1 |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 3 | 82.7 | 0 |
| Melle Witteveen n 3 | 46 | 2.6 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Waalwijk Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrie Kuster n 3 | 89 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 3 | 82.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Melle Witteveen n 3 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrie Kuster n 3 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 3 | 82.7 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Melle Witteveen n 3 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Roda | Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 432 | Passes | 370 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Roda Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Treichel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jay Kruiver | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Marco Tol | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Lucas Beerten | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Joshua Nisbet | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Anthony van den Hurk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| Koen Jansen | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Joey Muller | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Iman Griffith | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Dario Van Den Buijs | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Michael Breij | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| Tomas Kalinauskas sub | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Jerome Deom sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Daniel Kuri sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jack Cooper Love sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Reda El Meliani sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Waalwijk Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanick van Osch | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Nazjir Held | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| Roshon van Eijma | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Liam Van Gelderen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Juan Familia-Castillo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Loek Postma | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Denilho Cleonise | 84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jean-Paul Boëtius | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Harrie Kuster | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Ryan Fage | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jesper Uneken | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Richard van der Venne sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Daniel Van Kaam sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Tim van der Leij sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Yorem van der Veen sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Godfried Roemeratoe sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Roda v Waalwijk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Roda v Waalwijk?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Roda v Waalwijk was Both teams to score: Yes.
- What is the recent form of Roda and Waalwijk?
- Recent form — Roda 1W 1D 3L; Waalwijk 3W 0D 2L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.