This Matchweek

TelstarAjax

Telstar v Ajax result

Full-time · Telstar 0–4 Ajax

Eredivisie · · BUKO Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Telstar · Ajax

The model’s pre-match pick

Telstar 0–4 Ajax — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.17 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,936 of 2,589 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax won 4–0 at BUKO Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 30 August. Ajax are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Davy Klaassen (37’, assisted by Steven Berghuis), Steven Berghuis (56’, assisted by Oscar Gloukh), Toluwalase Arokodare (60’, assisted by Steven Berghuis) and Marcos Leonardo (78’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Davy Klaassen’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Telstar 1.13, Ajax 2.13, from 10 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Dennis Higler, Netherlands showed no yellow cards — against 2.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Telstar move down from ninth to 14th (three league matches played).

Ajax move up from fifth to fourth (three league matches played).

Ajax have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Steven Berghuis (Ajax) 11.2, Toluwalase Arokodare (Ajax) 7.8 and Marc-André ter Stegen (Ajax) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ajax are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Telstar, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Telstar or Ajax (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Telstar next travel to Fortuna Sittard on 7 November 2026.

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Telstar: Fortuna Sittard v Telstar, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Telstar 0–4 Ajax · Eredivisie
  • Venue: BUKO Stadion · Velsen
  • Referee: Dennis Higler, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Telstar 0 · draws 0 · Ajax 4 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Telstar 3W 1D 1L · Ajax 3W 2D 0L

Telstar 0–4 Ajax (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 3.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.57 / 9
Corners
against 8 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 9
Shots on target
against 6.29 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.86 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.17 yellows
Referee · Dennis Higler, Netherlands
22.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTelstar for / againstLineAjax for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.75our book
3.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 8 against n 7
9.5standard
9 for · 2.25 against n 8
Shots
10.29 for · 17 against n 7
19.5standard
24.25 for · 8.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.86 for · 6.29 against n 7
8.5standard
9 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.57 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
9 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Dennis Higler, Netherlands — 2.17 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Telstar

Telstar Goalkeeper

Telstar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Koeman290180 min94.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Telstar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Telstar before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Koeman n 890
4.86/6

Telstar Defensive

Telstar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Soualhia290180 min31.5 /9042 /9042 /90157.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90
M. Peersman290180 min42 /9031.5 /9042 /90147 /9021 /9000 /90
J. Hardeveld277154 min21.2 /9021.2 /9000 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9000 /90
G. Caschili23977 min22.3 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Gerald Alders16464 min22.8 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9034.2 /9011.4 /9000 /90
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Telstar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Telstar before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Brouwer n 889
1.37/2
16/1
—
R. Koeman n 890
00/0
00/0
—
T. Owusu n 875.1
1.35/2
0.75/0
D. Klaassen
N. Rossen n 874.4
1.75/4
1.55/5
J. Mokio
Jelani Seedorf n 737.4
1.75/0
00/0
—
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Telstar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Telstar before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Brouwer n 889
14/3
T. Owusu n 875.1
1.96/5
N. Rossen n 874.4
1.86/4
Jelani Seedorf n 737.4
1.75/0
J. Hardeveld n 886.8
1.24/2
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Telstar Attacking

Telstar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jelani Seedorf277154 min00 /9000 /9021.2 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
E. Demircan23468 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /90
P. Brouwer290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9042 /9021 /90
T. Owusu280160 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /9042.3 /90
N. Rossen277154 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /90
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Telstar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Telstar before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Brouwer n 889
1.37/3
0.65/0
R. Koeman n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Owusu n 875.1
0.94/2
0.62/2
Jelani Seedorf n 737.4
2.16/0
0.72/0
J. Hardeveld n 886.8
0.53/1
0.43/0
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Telstar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Telstar before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Brouwer n 889
0.32/0
0.54/0
R. Koeman n 890
0.11/0
00/0
T. Owusu n 875.1
00/0
0.11/0
J. Hardeveld n 886.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
N. Rossen n 874.4
00/0
00/0
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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Paes492367 min92.2 /9051.2 /9000 /90
M. ter Stegen490360 min123 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Paes n 890.9
2.25/4
M. ter Stegen n 490
33/2

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bouwman891727 min121.5 /90151.9 /9030.4 /90273.3 /9070.9 /9020.2 /90
Caio Henrique760421 min71.5 /9040.9 /9000 /90153.2 /9061.3 /9000 /90
Lucas Rosa591453 min153 /9051 /9030.6 /90316.2 /9051 /9010.2 /90
Y. Baas581405 min30.7 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90194.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
O. Wijndal561306 min72.1 /9030.9 /9000 /90154.4 /9092.6 /9000 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bouwman n 890.9
0.95/2
0.22/0
—
Y. Regeer n 873.3
1.45/3
1.24/3
—
J. Mokio n 842.6
2.15/2
0.51/1
N. Rossen
D. Klaassen n 873
0.84/1
0.95/1
T. Owusu
S. Berghuis n 871.3
0.53/0
1.45/3
—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
1.56/2
Y. Regeer n 873.3
2.36/3
J. Mokio n 842.6
0.31/0
D. Klaassen n 873
1.56/3
S. Berghuis n 871.3
0.95/1
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Berghuis771499 min10.2 /9030.5 /90203.6 /9081.4 /90173.1 /9061.1 /90
Marcos Leonardo740280 min10.3 /9000 /90134.2 /9041.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
K. Dolberg565326 min10.3 /9000 /90133.6 /9082.2 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Mika Godts472288 min10.3 /9030.9 /90113.4 /9051.6 /90144.4 /90134.1 /90
O. Edvardsen449195 min10.5 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9062.8 /9010.5 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
0.42/1
0.22/0
Y. Regeer n 873.3
0.53/0
0.53/0
J. Mokio n 842.6
2.65/2
0.52/0
D. Klaassen n 873
1.46/3
0.95/1
S. Berghuis n 871.3
3.38/6
1.36/2
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
00/0
00/0
Y. Regeer n 873.3
00/0
0.21/0
J. Mokio n 842.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
D. Klaassen n 873
0.85/0
00/0
S. Berghuis n 871.3
0.21/0
0.52/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TelstarAjax
42%Possession58%
1.13Expected goals (xG)2.13
10Shots12
4Shots on target9
5Shots off target2
1Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box6
5Corners4
2Offsides2
11Fouls13
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
5Saves5
397Passes538
83%Pass accuracy89%

Telstar Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Koeman9000000005.7
S. Valk9000000106
A. Soualhia9000001206.5
N. Rossen9000002006.6
T. Owusu9000101306.9
P. Brouwer9000102007.3
M. Peersman7700110005.9
Gerald Alders7400111106.5
J. Hardeveld6500001006.2
Rui Mendes6500421006.6
Jelani Seedorf6500000006.5
P. Aning sub2500000006.5
F. Rust sub2500000006.3
F. Turay sub2500000006.2
G. Caschili sub1600000306.6
E. Demircan sub1300100006.7

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. ter Stegen9000000008.7
A. Gaaei9000000206.3
A. Bouwman9000001007.5
D. Janse9000100107.9
J. Mokio9000001306.2
T. Arokodare9010220008.3
Caio Henrique8200001307.5
S. Berghuis7312222109.3
O. Gloukh7301111007
J. Brandt6600001006.2
D. Klaassen6510210107.6
A. Ouazane sub2500110106.7
Y. Baas sub2400001006.9
O. Edvardsen sub1700001006.3
Marcos Leonardo sub1710220006.9
Jofre Torrents sub800000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Telstar v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TelstarDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
AjaxWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Telstar 0 · 0 draws · Ajax 4 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-01-11 Telstar 2–3 Ajax
  • 2025-08-10 Ajax 2–0 Telstar
  • 2024-12-19 Ajax 2–0 Telstar
  • 2019-12-18 Telstar 3–4 Ajax
League standing · 2026/27
Telstar#16 pos9 pts11 pl-7 GD
Ajax#2 pos24 pts11 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Telstar scored1.45
Ajax scored2.73
Telstar conceded2.09
Ajax conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Telstar v Ajax?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Telstar v Ajax was Home or Away (best price 1.17 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Telstar and Ajax?
In their last 4 meetings, Telstar won 0, Ajax won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Telstar and Ajax?
Recent form — Telstar 3W 1D 1L; Ajax 3W 2D 0L.

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