Twente v Utrecht result

Full-time · Twente 1–2 Utrecht

Eredivisie · · De Grolsch Veste

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Twente · Utrecht · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Twente 1–2 Utrecht — Utrecht won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.36 at Betvictor
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 402 of 612 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Utrecht won 2–1 at De Grolsch Veste in the Eredivisie on Sunday 18 October. Twente have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Utrecht came from behind: Twente led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Twente: Daouda Weidmann (28’, assisted by Aske Adelgaard); Utrecht: Ángel Alarcón (47’, assisted by Arthur Zagré; 63’, assisted by Arthur Zagré).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ángel Alarcón’s goal on 63 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Twente 1.36, Utrecht 1.25, from 24 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Utrecht: Siebe Horemans (57’) and Davy van den Berg (66’).

What it changes

Twente move down from fourth to fifth (nine league matches played).

Utrecht move up from 12th to 11th (nine league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ángel Alarcón (Utrecht) 9.3, Arthur Zagré (Utrecht) 8.4 and Daouda Weidmann (Twente) 6.8 led the match.

Next up

Twente next travel to Lincoln Red Imps FC on 22 October 2026.

Utrecht next host PEC Zwolle on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Twente: Lincoln Red Imps FC v Twente, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Twente 1–2 Utrecht · Eredivisie
  • Venue: De Grolsch Veste · Enschede
  • Referee: Allard Lindhout
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Twente 2 · draws 1 · Utrecht 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Twente 4W 1D 0L · Utrecht 1W 2D 2L

Twente 1–2 Utrecht (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7.5 / 3.75
Corners
against 3.13 / 6.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.63 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3 / 7.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTwente for / againstLineUtrecht for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5our book
1.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
21.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 17.38 against n 8
Shots on target
7.63 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
17 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: Allard Lindhout.

Twente
Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guilherme Martinho Peixoto n 418.3
6.24/1
1.21/0
—
D. Rots n 859
2.15/3
1.15/1
—
M. Kjølø n 839.8
25/1
0.83/0
—
W. Weghorst n 890.6
1.66/4
26/4
—
A. Adelgaard n 877.4
1.56/4
0.73/1
M. Didden
Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Thorvaldsen n 825.3
4.56/2
2.73/2
Filip Thorvaldsen n 847.1
3.67/4
2.46/3
W. Weghorst n 890.6
2.98/8
2.18/5
Y. Taha n 885.4
2.48/6
0.96/1
S. Ørjasæter n 874.6
2.37/6
1.15/1
Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pjaca n 843.1
0.83/0
0.31/0
W. Weghorst n 890.6
0.65/0
0.43/0
Y. Taha n 885.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
Filip Thorvaldsen n 847.1
0.51/1
0.21/0
D. Weidmann n 879.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. van den Belt n 819.4
2.93/1
A. Adelgaard n 877.4
2.37/4
R. Zerrouki n 893.8
2.26/4
D. Rots n 859
2.16/2
M. Kjølø n 839.8
24/2
Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Drommel n 890
3.15/4
L. Unnerstall n 893.8
2.37/3
Utrecht
Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Min n 831.3
46/4
1.43/1
—
A. Blake n 832.8
2.75/2
3.86/5
—
S. van Duijn n 843.3
2.66/2
0.82/1
—
M. Didden n 874.4
2.17/4
0.31/1
A. Adelgaard
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/2
2.86/2
—
Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Blake n 832.8
3.14/3
1.74/1
Ángel Alarcón n 864.5
2.15/4
14/2
Y. Cathline n 861
1.86/2
0.41/1
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
1.76/3
0.85/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
1.46/2
0.85/0
Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Blake n 832.8
0.72/0
0.31/0
Y. Cathline n 861
0.41/1
0.42/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
0.64/0
00/0
M. Didden n 874.4
0.53/0
00/0
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
0.53/0
00/0
Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. van den Berg n 855
2.56/4
A. Zagré n 881.5
2.37/6
J. van Overeem n 876
2.27/5
Y. Cathline n 861
26/2
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/3
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 893.8
4.37/6
M. Brouwer n 890
3.67/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TwenteUtrecht
63%Possession37%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.25
24Shots16
5Shots on target5
13Shots off target7
6Blocked shots4
14Shots inside the box10
5Corners4
11Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves4
620Passes364

Twente player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Drommel9000000006.2
R. Nijstad9000101106.7
S. Ørjasæter9000221006.6
B. van Rooij9000002106.8
W. Weghorst9000312006.4
D. Weidmann9010413008.2
R. Zerrouki9000102107.2
A. Adelgaard7301203206.8
K. Hlynsson6200300006.3
R. Pröpper6200200206.9
D. Rots4600101106
M. Pjaca4400101006.5
T. van den Belt2800311206.5
Y. Taha2800001106.3
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink1700100006.3

Utrecht player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Padt9000000107.5
A. Zagré9002002207.6
N. Vesterlund9000110306.3
J. van Overeem9000001106.2
N. Panagiotou9000100006.7
M. Didden9000000106.6
D. de Wit9000112306.6
Y. Cathline7200400106.1
Ángel Alarcón7220430108.9
O. Agougil6400101006.4
S. Horemans64000012Y6.3
D. van den Berg26000000Y6.1
N. Amrabat2600300206.8
A. Blake1800101006.8
S. van Duijn1800001006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Twente v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TwenteWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
UtrechtDLDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 3.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Twente 2 · 1 draw · Utrecht 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-15 Twente 0–2 Utrecht
  • 2026-01-13 Utrecht 1–2 Twente
  • 2025-12-07 Utrecht 1–1 Twente
  • 2025-05-11 Twente 2–0 Utrecht
  • 2024-09-01 Utrecht 2–1 Twente
  • 2024-02-18 Twente 0–1 Utrecht
League standing · 2026/27
Twente#5 pos17 pts9 pl+7 GD
Utrecht#11 pos11 pts9 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Twente scored1.89
Utrecht scored1.78
Twente conceded1.11
Utrecht conceded2.89

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Twente v Utrecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Twente v Utrecht was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.36 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Twente and Utrecht?
In their last 6 meetings, Twente won 2, Utrecht won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Twente and Utrecht?
Recent form — Twente 4W 1D 0L; Utrecht 1W 2D 2L.

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