Utrecht v Excelsior result

Full-time · Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior

Eredivisie · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 13:30 BST · Stadion Galgenwaard

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Utrecht · Excelsior · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior — Utrecht won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Utrecht beat Excelsior 4–1 at Stadion Galgenwaard in the Eredivisie on Sunday 24 August. Utrecht have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Utrecht led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Utrecht: Miguel Rodríguez (27’, assisted by Souffian El Karouani), David Min (45’, assisted by Souffian El Karouani) and V. Jensen (58’, assisted by Souffian El Karouani; 67’, assisted by Adrian Blake); Excelsior: Yoon Do-Yong (83’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Miguel Rodríguez’s goal on 27 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Utrecht 1.78, Excelsior 1.31, from 16 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Kooij showed no yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Utrecht move up from sixth to third (three league matches played).

Excelsior stay 18th after this result (three league matches played).

Excelsior have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Souffian El Karouani (Utrecht) 11.0, V. Jensen (Utrecht) 10.0 and Miguel Rodríguez (Utrecht) 8.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Utrecht next host PEC Zwolle on 24 October 2026.

Excelsior next travel to Fortuna Sittard on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Excelsior: Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior · Eredivisie
Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard · Utrecht
Referee: J. Kooij
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Utrecht 2 · draws 4 · Excelsior 0 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Utrecht 4W 0D 1L · Excelsior 2W 0D 3L

Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 2.88

Goals

against 0.75 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 3.63

Corners

against 4 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4 / 6

Shots on target

against 2.33 / 6.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.17 / 1.25

Cards

against 2.83 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

2.25 yellows

Referee · J. Kooij

0.67 home / 1.58 away

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Utrecht for / against	Line	Excelsior for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.5 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.5 for · 8.17 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.5 for · 7.17 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.17 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: J. Kooij — 2.25 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 12 matches (0.67 to the home side, 1.58 to the away side).

Home 0.67Away 1.58

Utrecht

Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Min n 8	35.5	3.5 7/2	2.2 5/2	—
O. Fraulo n 8	67.9	2.2 6/3	0.8 5/0	—
P. Aaronson n 8	63.6	2.1 6/4	1.4 4/2	—
S. El Karouani n 8	89.9	1.8 7/5	1 6/2	—
D. Murkin n 8	60.6	1.7 5/2	1.3 5/2	—

Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. de Wit n 8	27.5	3.3 4/2	2 3/2
A. Blake n 8	32.6	2.8 5/3	0.7 2/0
N. Ohio n 8	21.4	2.6 3/1	1.6 2/1
Miguel Rodríguez n 8	71.1	2.2 6/4	1.3 5/3
D. van den Berg n 8	56.4	2.2 5/4	0.6 3/0

Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. de Wit n 8	27.5	0.8 2/0	0.4 1/0
Y. Cathline n 8	70.8	0.3 2/0	0.6 2/2
Miguel Rodríguez n 8	71.1	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
P. Aaronson n 8	63.6	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
D. Min n 8	35.5	0.6 2/0	0 0/0

Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 8	88.1	3.6 8/6
P. Aaronson n 8	63.6	3.4 5/5
Kolbeinn Finnsson n 8	44.8	2.8 7/2
S. El Karouani n 8	89.9	2.5 8/5
D. de Wit n 8	27.5	2.5 4/1

Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Brouwer n 8	90	3.6 8/7

Excelsior

Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Carlén n 8	53.4	2.7 6/5	2.5 5/3	—
M. van Duinen n 8	49.4	2.5 5/3	0.7 2/1	—
K. Goudmijn n 8	31.4	2.5 4/2	1.1 2/1	—
N. Naujoks n 8	54.6	1.9 7/2	1.4 5/1	—
Cedric Hatenboer n 3	90	1.7 3/1	0.3 1/0	—

Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Parrott n 8	63.8	4.1 8/5	3 8/4
C. Driouech n 8	26.1	3.9 5/3	1.7 3/1
Jerolldino Armantrading n 4	43.5	2.1 2/1	1 2/0
L. Lamprou n 8	78.4	2 6/4	0.9 4/1
Chadwick Zachary Booth n 8	60.6	1.9 4/3	1.3 4/1

Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Parrott n 8	63.8	1.8 7/3	0.2 1/0
L. Duijvestijn n 8	82.8	0.4 3/0	0.7 2/2
L. Lamprou n 8	78.4	0.4 2/1	0.4 3/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 8	59.3	0.2 1/0	0.6 3/0
Chadwick Zachary Booth n 8	60.6	0.4 1/1	0.2 1/0

Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Carlén n 8	53.4	3.4 5/4
M. Benita n 8	64.9	2.8 8/3
I. Bronkhorst n 8	72.8	2.5 6/4
A. Zagré n 8	90.1	2.4 8/6
S. Horemans n 8	90	2.3 7/5

Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Raatsie n 4	97.5	4.8 4/3
S. van Gassel n 8	82.5	4.1 7/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Utrecht		Excelsior
50%	Possession	50%
1.78	Expected goals (xG)	1.31
16	Shots	12
10	Shots on target	4
2	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	3
12	Shots inside the box	6
7	Corners	5
1	Offsides	1
6	Fouls	15
3	Saves	5
408	Passes	410
82%	Pass accuracy	82%

Utrecht player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
V. Barkas	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Horemans	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	7
M. Didden	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.9
S. El Karouani	90	0	3	1	0	5	1	9.9
V. Jensen	90	2	0	2	2	1	2	8.9
A. Blake	90	0	1	2	2	1	0	7.2
Miguel Rodríguez	79	1	0	3	3	1	1	7.5
G. Zechiël	68	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.6
D. Min	68	1	0	2	2	0	0	7.6
A. Engwanda	61	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
M. van der Hoorn	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.3
N. Viergever sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. van Ommeren sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
D. van den Berg sub	22	0	0	0	0	2	2	6.6
S. Haller sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Jonathans sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Excelsior player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
C. Raatsie	90	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
C. Widell	90	0	1	0	0	0	6.2
S. Henderikx	90	0	0	0	0	1	6.2
A. Zagré	90	0	0	0	2	3	6.2
A. Carlén	90	0	1	1	2	1	6.3
G. de Regt	90	0	1	1	3	0	5.9
D. Sanches Fernandes	76	0	0	0	0	2	6.2
N. Naujoks	71	0	0	0	0	3	6.9
Irakli Yegoian	71	0	2	0	0	0	6.3
N. Martens	61	0	0	0	0	1	5.9
M. van Duinen	60	0	1	0	0	0	6.2
S. Włodarczyk sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
I. Bronkhorst sub	29	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
R. Meissen sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Chadwick Zachary Booth sub	19	0	1	1	0	0	6.7
Yoon Do-Yong sub	14	1	2	1	0	1	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Utrecht v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

UtrechtWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

ExcelsiorWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Utrecht 2 · 4 draws · Excelsior 0 · 2.33 goals/game

2024-01-27 Excelsior 1–1 Utrecht
2023-11-12 Utrecht 2–2 Excelsior
2023-01-25 Utrecht 1–0 Excelsior
2022-10-02 Excelsior 0–1 Utrecht
2019-02-23 Utrecht 0–0 Excelsior
2018-11-30 Excelsior 3–3 Utrecht

League standing · 2025/26

Utrecht#6 pos53 pts34 pl+13 GD

Excelsior#13 pos38 pts34 pl-13 GD

Goals per game

Utrecht scored1.62

Excelsior scored1.26

Utrecht conceded1.24

Excelsior conceded1.65

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Utrecht v Excelsior?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Utrecht v Excelsior was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and Excelsior?: In their last 6 meetings, Utrecht won 2, Excelsior won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and Excelsior?: Recent form — Utrecht 4W 0D 1L; Excelsior 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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