UtrechtNEC Nijmegen

Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen prediction

Eredivisie · · Stadion Galgenwaard

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Utrecht · NEC Nijmegen · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Eredivisie on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.47 at Betvictor
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Utrecht host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

11 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Utrecht have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 2.67. Utrecht have scored 19 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Utrecht have conceded 31 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, NEC Nijmegen have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29. NEC Nijmegen have scored 17 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 19 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Utrecht (12th) and NEC Nijmegen (13th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Utrecht the stronger side, 35 rating points above NEC Nijmegen (Utrecht 1568, NEC Nijmegen 1533, after at least 186 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 February 2026, finished NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Utrecht.

Team news

Predicted Utrecht XI (3-4-3): S. Padt, N. Panagiotou, M. Didden, A. Zagré, J. van Overeem, Y. Cathline, O. Agougil, N. Vesterlund, D. de Wit, A. Stepanov, S. van Duijn — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Stepanov (4.6 per match over three appearances, three goals) and Yoann Cathline (3.8 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Utrecht’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Utrecht (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Yoann Cathline averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 818 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted NEC Nijmegen XI (3-4-2-1): G. Crettaz, A. Kaplan, P. Schuurs, G. Brás, D. Nejašmić, C. Bischoff, N. Lebreton, J. Monteiro, K. Kers, W. Willumsson, B. Linssen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darko Nejašmić (4.6 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Tjaronn Chery (4.3 per match over 17 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been NEC Nijmegen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEC Nijmegen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darko Nejašmić averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1445 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Tjaronn Chery averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 1809 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Utrecht 4 · draws 0 · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Utrecht 2W 1D 2L · NEC Nijmegen 2W 2D 1L

Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5 / 6.63
Corners
against 5.75 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 7.13 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.13
Cards
against 1 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUtrecht for / againstLineNEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 17.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 7.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Utrecht

Utrecht Goalkeeper

Utrecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Barkas690540 min284.7 /90172.8 /9000 /90
S. Padt490360 min143.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
M. Brouwer19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 890
4.18/6
S. Padt n 490
3.54/4

Utrecht Defensive

Utrecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Zagré1181891 min191.9 /90121.2 /9070.7 /90383.8 /90111.1 /9020.2 /90
S. Horemans1076755 min172 /90131.5 /9040.5 /90435.1 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
M. Didden983744 min81 /9040.5 /9091.1 /90475.7 /90172.1 /9000 /90
N. Panagiotou790627 min111.6 /9050.7 /9050.7 /90243.4 /9091.3 /9010.1 /90
P. Kloosterboer335105 min10.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9032.6 /9021.7 /9010.9 /90
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Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. de Wit n 890
2.36/4
1.36/3
—
A. Zagré n 878.9
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
Ángel Alarcón n 865.3
0.92/1
0.74/0
—
Y. Cathline n 866.5
0.84/1
2.45/4
—
N. Vesterlund n 880
15/2
0.42/1
—
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Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. de Wit n 890
1.15/2
A. Zagré n 878.9
1.66/3
Ángel Alarcón n 865.3
1.25/2
Y. Cathline n 866.5
0.74/0
N. Vesterlund n 880
1.44/2
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Utrecht Attacking

Utrecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Cathline1166729 min10.1 /9020.2 /90141.7 /9020.2 /90131.6 /90141.7 /90
A. Blake933298 min20.6 /9000 /90144.2 /9061.8 /9010.3 /90103 /90
Artem Stepanov752363 min30.7 /9000 /9061.5 /9041 /9010.2 /9030.7 /90
M. Broholm541205 min00 /9010.4 /9041.8 /9020.9 /9031.3 /9073.1 /90
S. van Duijn536179 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. de Wit n 890
1.47/3
15/2
A. Zagré n 878.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Ángel Alarcón n 865.3
2.65/5
14/1
Y. Cathline n 866.5
1.95/4
0.32/0
N. Vesterlund n 880
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. de Wit n 890
0.32/0
00/0
A. Zagré n 878.9
00/0
0.31/1
Ángel Alarcón n 865.3
0.52/1
00/0
Y. Cathline n 866.5
0.21/0
00/0
N. Vesterlund n 880
00/0
0.32/0
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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz13871125 min302.4 /90110.9 /9000 /90
N. Polster580400 min184.1 /9081.8 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 884.4
2.74/3
N. Polster n 580
4.14/3

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Storm14841178 min251.9 /90100.8 /9030.2 /90655 /90191.5 /9030.2 /90
Deveron Fonville1078777 min192.2 /90161.9 /9030.3 /90576.6 /90101.2 /9000 /90
P. Schuurs953474 min112.1 /90112.1 /9020.4 /90163 /9050.9 /9000 /90
A. Kaplan764449 min112.2 /9071.4 /9030.6 /90367.2 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Gabriel Brás677464 min132.5 /9071.4 /9000 /90285.4 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Lebreton n 884.1
0.84/2
26/6
—
B. Linssen n 887.3
1.86/5
0.32/0
—
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.53/1
16/2
—
T. Chery n 886.3
0.11/0
0.73/1
—
T. Storm n 882.3
1.26/2
0.54/0
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 884.1
2.46/3
B. Linssen n 887.3
0.42/1
D. Nejašmić n 890
2.47/5
T. Chery n 886.3
0.53/1
T. Storm n 882.3
1.87/4
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Linssen16761209 min30.2 /9010.1 /90261.9 /90100.7 /90110.8 /9020.1 /90
T. Chery15831241 min60.4 /9020.1 /90362.6 /90191.4 /90342.5 /9060.4 /90
Dušan Tadić1274893 min00 /9030.3 /90111.1 /9050.5 /90202 /9040.4 /90
Adam Tahaui745316 min10.3 /9000 /9041.1 /9010.3 /9072 /9030.9 /90
K. Sierhuis744307 min10.3 /9000 /90144.1 /9030.9 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 884.1
2.77/5
0.74/1
B. Linssen n 887.3
2.27/5
0.95/1
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
T. Chery n 886.3
38/7
1.37/2
T. Storm n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 884.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Linssen n 887.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
D. Nejašmić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Chery n 886.3
0.53/1
0.32/0
T. Storm n 882.3
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UtrechtLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
NEC NijmegenDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Utrecht 4 · 0 draws · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-11 NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Utrecht
  • 2025-11-02 Utrecht 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2025-03-15 Utrecht 0–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2024-11-24 NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Utrecht
  • 2024-03-17 Utrecht 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2023-09-23 NEC Nijmegen 3–0 Utrecht
League standing · 2026/27
Utrecht#12 pos12 pts11 pl-12 GD
NEC Nijmegen#13 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Utrecht scored1.73
NEC Nijmegen scored1.55
Utrecht conceded2.82
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.73

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen?
In their last 6 meetings, Utrecht won 4, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen?
Recent form — Utrecht 2W 1D 2L; NEC Nijmegen 2W 2D 1L.

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