Waalwijk v Roda result
The model’s pre-match pick
Waalwijk 1–1 Roda — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Waalwijk and Roda drew 1–1 at Mandemakers Stadion in the Eredivisie on Friday 1 May. Waalwijk have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Roda have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Roda: Anthony van den Hurk (52’, assisted by Joey Muller); Waalwijk: Jesper Uneken (90+7’, assisted by Michiel Kramer).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jesper Uneken’s goal on 90+7’.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Waalwijk 0.00, Roda 0.00, from 27 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Erwin Blank, Netherlands showed three yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Waalwijk: Jesper Uneken (74’); Roda: Anthony van den Hurk (30’) and Reda El Meliani (85’).
What it changes
Waalwijk sit sixth on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).
Roda sit sixth on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).
Waalwijk are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Roda are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Liam Van Gelderen (Waalwijk) 8.5, Jesper Uneken (Waalwijk) 7.2 and Loek Postma (Waalwijk) 5.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).
Next up
Waalwijk next travel to Willem II on 9 May 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Result: Waalwijk 1–1 Roda · Eredivisie
- Venue: Mandemakers Stadion · Waalwijk
- Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Waalwijk 0 · draws 1 · Roda 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Waalwijk 3W 1D 1L · Roda 1W 2D 2L
Waalwijk 1–1 Roda (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Waalwijk for / against | Line | Roda for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3 for · 7.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.88 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.75 for · 15.25 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 6.75 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 10.25 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 19.67 fouls over 6 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Waalwijk
Waalwijk Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrie Kuster n 4 | 85 | 0.5 | 2.1 | — |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 4 | 66.3 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Loek Postma n 3 | 91.3 | 3 | 0.7 | Joey Muller |
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | — |
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Harrie Kuster n 4 | 85 | 0.8 |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 4 | 66.3 | 0 |
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 2.1 |
| Loek Postma n 3 | 91.3 | 1 |
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Waalwijk Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrie Kuster n 4 | 85 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 4 | 66.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Loek Postma n 3 | 91.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrie Kuster n 4 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Van Kaam n 4 | 66.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Loek Postma n 3 | 91.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Spenkelink n 8 | 90.5 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Wouters n 8 | 74.1 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
Roda
Roda Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Beerten n 4 | 69.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | — |
| Joey Muller n 3 | 84.7 | 0.4 | 0 | Loek Postma |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Beerten n 4 | 69.3 | 2.6 |
| Joey Muller n 3 | 84.7 | 1.8 |
Roda Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Beerten n 4 | 69.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Joey Muller n 3 | 84.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Beerten n 4 | 69.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Muller n 3 | 84.7 | 0 | 0 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Waalwijk | Roda | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 27 | Shots | 6 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 9 |
| 699 | Passes | 551 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
Waalwijk Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanick van Osch | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.9 |
| Nazjir Held | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Roshon van Eijma | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Liam Van Gelderen | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Juan Familia-Castillo | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Loek Postma | 105 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jesper Uneken | 98 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | Y | 7.9 |
| Denilho Cleonise | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Ryan Fage | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Harrie Kuster | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jean-Paul Boëtius | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Richard van der Venne sub | 44 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Michiel Kramer sub | 44 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Yorem van der Veen sub | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Godfried Roemeratoe sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Tim van der Leij sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Rein van Hedel sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Daniel Van Kaam sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
Roda Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Treichel | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Jay Kruiver | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| Marco Tol | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Lucas Beerten | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Joshua Nisbet | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Koen Jansen | 105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Joey Muller | 84 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Michael Breij | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Iman Griffith | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Anthony van den Hurk | 67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.3 |
| Dario Van Den Buijs | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jerome Deom sub | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Jack Cooper Love sub | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Tomas Kalinauskas sub | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Reda El Meliani sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| Mitchell Paulissen sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 |
| Cain Seedorf sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Waalwijk v Roda — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-28 Roda 1–1 Waalwijk
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Waalwijk v Roda?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Waalwijk v Roda was Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Waalwijk and Roda?
- In their last 1 meetings, Waalwijk won 0, Roda won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Waalwijk and Roda?
- Recent form — Waalwijk 3W 1D 1L; Roda 1W 2D 2L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.