This Matchweek

Willem IICambuur

Willem II v Cambuur result

Full-time · Willem II 1–6 Cambuur

Eredivisie · · Koning Willem II Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Willem II 1–6 Cambuur — Cambuur won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.55 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 834 of 1,292 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cambuur won 6–1 at Koning Willem II Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October. Cambuur have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cambuur led 3–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Cambuur: Nicolas Binder (9’, assisted by Morgan Costarelli; 58’, assisted by Ilyes Hamache), Ilyes Hamache (13’, assisted by Morgan Costarelli), Rafik El Arguioui (62’) and Jason Çeka (89’, assisted by Wiebe Kooistra); Willem II: an own goal by Nathan Tjoe-A-On (18’) and Anass Zarrouk (82’, assisted by Devin Haen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Willem II 1.08, Cambuur 1.94, from 11 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Willem II: Jaden Slory (45+2’) and Hidde ter Avest (53’).

What it changes

Willem II stay 18th after this result (10 league matches played). Willem II have scored 10 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Willem II have conceded 32 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

Cambuur move up from 13th to 10th (10 league matches played). Cambuur have scored 19 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Cambuur have conceded 22 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Cambuur’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 10, across nine matches. Cambuur are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Morgan Costarelli (Cambuur) 9.7, Ilyes Hamache (Cambuur) 9.6 and Nicolas Binder (Cambuur) 9.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Cambuur, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Willem II next travel to Twente on 22 November 2026.

Cambuur next host PSV Eindhoven on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Willem II: Twente v Willem II, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Cambuur: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Willem II 1–6 Cambuur · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion · Tilburg
  • Referee: Dennis Higler
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Willem II 0 · draws 1 · Cambuur 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cambuur 2W 3D 0L

Willem II 1–6 Cambuur (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Willem IICambuur
52%Possession48%
1.08Expected goals (xG)1.94
11Shots19
2Shots on target10
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box11
13Corners4
17Fouls10
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
5Saves1
371Passes371

Willem II Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thomas Didillon9000000006.9
Uriel van Aalst9000201106.4
Calvin Twigt9000101406.4
Nathan Tjoe-A-On9000001204.7
H. ter Avest90002031Y5.1
Finn Stam9000000305.9
Devin Haen9001101006.5
J. Slory68001113Y5.8
M. Dekker4500100005.6
T. Vilhena4500000105.9
V. van Crooij4500101106
Anass Zarrouk4510110206.6
Thomas Verheydt4500100106.5
Armin Culum4500001306.7
M. Lemmens2200000105.6

Cambuur Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Souren9000111106.2
I. Hamache9011321008.3
R. El Arguioui9010532108
J. Çeka9010320107.9
I. Baouf9000100106.6
T. Jansen9000000006.2
N. Binder7720322009.1
R. Mulders7200001206.4
B. van Duijl6500000106.3
Mathieu Maertens6500300006.1
M. Costarelli6502004308.3
L. Jetten2500002006.8
Iwan Henstra2500000106.4
J. Berkhout2500000006.3
W. Kooistra1801001006.6
S. Vink1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Willem II v Cambuur — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Willem II
CambuurDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Willem II 0 · 1 draw · Cambuur 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2022-05-11 Cambuur 1–1 Willem II
  • 2021-12-10 Willem II 1–3 Cambuur
League standing · 2026/27
Willem II#18 pos3 pts12 pl-29 GD
Cambuur#9 pos15 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Willem II scored0.92
Cambuur scored2.09
Willem II conceded3.33
Cambuur conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Willem II v Cambuur?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Willem II v Cambuur was Draw or Away (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Willem II and Cambuur?
In their last 2 meetings, Willem II won 0, Cambuur won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Willem II and Cambuur?
Recent form — Cambuur 2W 3D 0L.

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