Everton W v Aston Villa W prediction

FA WSL · · Goodison Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Everton W v Aston Villa W, FA WSL on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Everton W host Aston Villa W in the FA WSL on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Everton W or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Everton W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Everton W’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Everton W have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. Everton W have scored five goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Everton W have conceded six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs.

10 of Aston Villa W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Aston Villa W’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Aston Villa W have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.38. Aston Villa W have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aston Villa W have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Everton W (sixth) and Aston Villa W (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Everton W the stronger side, 42 rating points above Aston Villa W (Everton W 1527, Aston Villa W 1484, after at least 138 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Everton W are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Aston Villa W. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished Everton W 2–1 Aston Villa W.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, R. Mace (6.6 per match over five appearances, two goals) and Ornella Vignola (4.8 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Everton W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Everton W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Mace averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 450 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances. Ornella Vignola averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 424 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Akane Okuma (4.7 per match over six appearances, one assist) and A. Vangsgaard (3.2 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Aston Villa W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aston Villa W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Akane Okuma averages 6.3 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last six appearances. A. Vangsgaard averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 503 minutes, with a shot in five of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA WSL · Goodison Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Everton W 3 · draws 2 · Aston Villa W 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Everton W 3W 0D 2L · Aston Villa W 1W 2D 2L

Everton W v Aston Villa W (FA WSL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 2.5
Corners
against 4.33 / 8.33 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.83 / 2.83
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 8 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1 / 1
Cards
against 0.83 / 0.67 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameEverton W for / againstLineAston Villa W for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.33 against n 6
9.5standard
2.5 for · 8.33 against n 6
Shots
10.5 for · 11.67 against n 6
19.5standard
7.17 for · 25.33 against n 6
Shots on target
2.83 for · 3.33 against n 6
8.5standard
2.83 for · 8 against n 6
Fouls committed
9.67 for · 9.5 against n 6
21.5standard
6.83 for · 7.17 against n 6
Cards shown
1 for · 0.83 against n 6
3.5standard
1 for · 0.67 against n 6
Everton W
Everton W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. van Gool n 560
2.74/2
0.31/0
—
Z. Kramzar n 864.8
1.98/2
1.64/3
—
H. Silcock n 475.3
1.84/1
0.31/0
—
R. Mace n 890
1.68/5
1.16/3
—
K. Gago n 872.4
1.14/2
0.63/1
—
Everton W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. McNamara n 566.8
1.94/2
0.31/0
Z. Kramzar n 864.8
1.75/3
0.73/1
K. Gago n 872.4
1.65/2
0.83/1
H. Kitagawa n 756.7
1.64/2
0.72/1
Yuka Momiki n 852.1
1.54/3
0.62/1
Everton W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Snoeijs n 853.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
Z. Kramzar n 864.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Galli n 856.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Yuka Momiki n 852.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Mace n 890
0.31/1
00/0
Everton W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Kitagawa n 756.7
3.65/4
C. Wheeler n 864.5
3.58/7
M. Pacheco n 866.1
2.75/5
Ornella Vignola n 876.8
2.67/4
R. Mace n 890
2.47/6
Everton W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brosnan n 890
2.46/5
Aston Villa W
Aston Villa W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Deslandes n 749.7
1.65/1
14/0
—
O. Jean-François n 858.1
1.44/3
0.62/1
—
Rachel Maltby n 324.3
1.21/0
00/0
—
N. Maritz n 886.5
15/3
1.35/3
—
L. Kendall n 580.6
0.92/1
00/0
—
Aston Villa W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. McAulay n 447.8
1.92/1
0.92/0
A. Vangsgaard n 877
1.87/4
0.95/1
L. Kendall n 580.6
1.11/1
0.21/0
M. Taylor n 853
1.13/1
0.62/1
G. Mullet n 617
0.91/0
00/0
Aston Villa W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Vangsgaard n 877
0.32/0
00/0
Akane Okuma n 690
00/0
0.21/0
L. Wilms n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Maritz n 886.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
O. Jean-François n 858.1
0.21/0
00/0
Aston Villa W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Taylor n 853
3.47/4
L. Parker n 878.8
2.75/4
M. Hijikata n 758.3
2.45/4
O. Jean-François n 858.1
2.35/5
O. Deslandes n 749.7
1.64/2
Aston Villa W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Akane Okuma n 690
6.36/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Everton W v Aston Villa W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Everton WWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Aston Villa WLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Everton W 3 · 2 draws · Aston Villa W 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-01 Everton W 2–1 Aston Villa W
  • 2025-11-02 Aston Villa W 3–3 Everton W
  • 2025-03-02 Aston Villa W 0–2 Everton W
  • 2025-01-18 Everton W 1–1 Aston Villa W
  • 2024-03-16 Everton W 1–2 Aston Villa W
  • 2023-11-26 Aston Villa W 1–2 Everton W
League standing · 2026/27
Everton W#6 pos9 pts6 pl-1 GD
Aston Villa W#10 pos6 pts6 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Everton W scored0.83
Aston Villa W scored1
Everton W conceded1
Aston Villa W conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Everton W v Aston Villa W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton W v Aston Villa W is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Everton W and Aston Villa W?
In their last 6 meetings, Everton W won 3, Aston Villa W won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton W and Aston Villa W?
Recent form — Everton W 3W 0D 2L; Aston Villa W 1W 2D 2L.

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