Manchester United W v Manchester City W prediction

FA WSL · · Leigh Sports Village

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Manchester United W v Manchester City W, FA WSL on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.4% of 103 landed (95% range 77.4–91%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Manchester United W host Manchester City W in the FA WSL on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Manchester City W to win.

The key numbers

Manchester City W have scored 19 goals, the most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Manchester City W have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Manchester United W are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Manchester City W are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Manchester United W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Manchester United W’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Manchester United W have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.75. Manchester United W have scored eight goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Manchester United W have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs.

11 of Manchester City W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Manchester City W’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Manchester City W have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.00. Manchester City W have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Manchester United W (fifth) and Manchester City W (first) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester City W the stronger side, 349 rating points above Manchester United W (Manchester City W 2070, Manchester United W 1721, after at least 152 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Manchester City W are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Manchester United W. The most recent meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Manchester United W 0–3 Manchester City W.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Andrea Medina (6.3 per match over six appearances, two goals) and J. Olme (4.5 per match over six appearances, three goals) have been Manchester United W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Andrea Medina averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 447 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. J. Olme averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 471 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last six appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, L. Hemp (9.5 per match over five appearances, four goals and four assists) and K. Shaw (8.2 per match over six appearances, seven goals and one assist) have been Manchester City W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Hemp averages 3.8 key passes per 90 over 450 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last five appearances. K. Shaw averages 6.8 shots per 90 over 480 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA WSL · Leigh Sports Village
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester United W 1 · draws 1 · Manchester City W 4 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester United W 3W 1D 1L · Manchester City W 3W 2D 0L

Manchester United W v Manchester City W (FA WSL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.83 / 7.13
Corners
against 6.67 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.17 / 6
Shots on target
against 5.67 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.33 / 0.38
Cards
against 1.17 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameManchester United W for / againstLineManchester City W for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
2.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.83 for · 6.67 against n 6
9.5standard
7.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
8.67 for · 13.33 against n 6
19.5standard
17.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.17 for · 5.67 against n 6
8.5standard
6 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.33 for · 10 against n 6
21.5standard
7.75 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.33 for · 1.17 against n 6
3.5standard
0.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Manchester United W
Manchester United W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Olme n 882
1.88/5
1.26/3
—
A. Sandberg n 866.5
1.24/3
00/0
—
L. Schüller n 821.4
1.12/0
1.11/1
—
M. Le Tissier n 890.6
16/2
1.78/3
—
D. Janssen n 890
16/2
0.32/0
—
Manchester United W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Terland n 859.4
1.75/2
1.14/2
E. Toone n 857.9
1.75/1
0.63/0
J. Olme n 882
1.45/3
0.54/0
M. Jusu Bah n 853.1
1.34/2
0.21/0
L. Schüller n 821.4
1.12/0
00/0
Manchester United W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Terland n 859.4
0.63/0
00/0
J. Olme n 882
0.43/0
00/0
Andrea Medina n 875.3
0.32/0
00/0
J. Park n 888.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Sandberg n 866.5
00/0
0.21/0
Manchester United W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Lundkvist n 876.9
3.28/8
Andrea Medina n 875.3
37/5
H. Miyazawa n 890.6
2.98/7
J. Olme n 882
2.58/6
Rebeca Bernal n 844.9
2.37/2
Manchester United W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Tullis-Joyce n 890.6
3.85/5
Manchester City W
Manchester City W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Beney n 825.8
3.16/1
0.41/0
—
K. Casparij n 863.3
1.87/2
0.21/0
—
B. Mead n 851.4
1.86/2
1.14/1
—
S. Coffey n 862.6
1.44/3
0.74/0
—
K. Shaw n 882.5
1.16/1
1.45/3
—
Manchester City W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Shaw n 882.5
5.98/8
2.37/4
M. Fowler n 849.4
3.65/4
0.93/1
B. Mead n 851.4
3.17/3
0.42/0
L. Hemp n 889.5
2.87/6
1.46/2
A. Fujino n 873.8
2.38/5
0.64/0
Manchester City W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Hemp n 889.5
0.52/2
0.85/1
K. Shaw n 882.5
1.16/2
0.11/0
K. Casparij n 863.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
M. Fowler n 849.4
0.52/0
00/0
I. Beney n 825.8
00/0
0.41/0
Manchester City W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Beney n 825.8
3.55/1
S. Coffey n 862.6
3.26/4
A. Fujino n 873.8
2.97/4
B. Mead n 851.4
25/2
C. Wamser n 744.3
1.74/1
Manchester City W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Yamashita n 890
2.97/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Manchester United W v Manchester City W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester United WLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Manchester City WDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester United W 1 · 1 draw · Manchester City W 4 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-03-28 Manchester United W 0–3 Manchester City W
  • 2025-11-15 Manchester City W 3–0 Manchester United W
  • 2025-05-04 Manchester United W 2–2 Manchester City W
  • 2025-01-19 Manchester City W 2–4 Manchester United W
  • 2024-03-23 Manchester City W 3–1 Manchester United W
  • 2023-11-19 Manchester United W 1–3 Manchester City W
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester United W#5 pos10 pts6 pl-2 GD
Manchester City W#1 pos18 pts6 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Manchester United W scored1.33
Manchester City W scored3.17
Manchester United W conceded1.67
Manchester City W conceded1.33

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Manchester United W v Manchester City W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United W v Manchester City W is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United W and Manchester City W?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester United W won 1, Manchester City W won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester United W and Manchester City W?
Recent form — Manchester United W 3W 1D 1L; Manchester City W 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →