ArgentinaUruguay

Argentina v Uruguay prediction

Friendlies · · Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Argentina · Uruguay · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Argentina v Uruguay, Friendlies on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Argentina host Uruguay in Friendlies on Friday 13 November (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Argentina to win.

The key numbers

Argentina are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Uruguay, every meeting checked. Uruguay are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Argentina’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Argentina’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Argentina have nine wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 10 home matches in all competitions — 2.80 points per game, scoring 2.30 and conceding 0.60.

Five of Uruguay’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Uruguay’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Uruguay have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.71.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Argentina the stronger side, 249 rating points above Uruguay (Argentina 2153, Uruguay 1905, after at least 40 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 November 2021, finished Uruguay 0–1 Argentina.

Team news

Predicted Argentina XI (4-4-2): E. Martínez, C. Romero, N. Tagliafico, L. Martínez, N. Molina, A. Mac Allister, E. Fernández, L. Paredes, R. de Paul, L. Messi, J. Alvarez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Messi (8.3 per match over 12 appearances, 11 goals and four assists) and N. Paz (4.6 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Argentina’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Argentina (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Messi averages 4.0 shots per 90 over 3767 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. N. Paz averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1327 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Uruguay XI (4-4-2): F. Muslera, S. Cáceres, G. Varela, M. Olivera, J. Sanabria, R. Bentancur, F. Valverde, M. Araújo, M. Ugarte, D. Núñez, B. Rodríguez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Araújo (6.0 per match over eight appearances, five goals and two assists) and G. de Arrascaeta (4.1 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Uruguay’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Uruguay (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Araújo averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1768 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. G. de Arrascaeta averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 2368 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Friendlies · Estadio Alberto J. Armando
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Argentina 4 · draws 2 · Uruguay 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Argentina 4W 0D 1L · Uruguay 1W 3D 1L

Argentina v Uruguay (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.2 / 7
Corners
against 1.8 / 4.6 · 0 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.4 / 4.6
Shots on target
against 1.2 / 2.8 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1 / 1.8
Cards
against 2 / 1.6 · 2 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArgentina for / againstLineUruguay for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.2 for · 1.8 against n 5
9.5standard
7 for · 4.6 against n 5
Shots
13.6 for · 5.6 against n 5
19.5standard
15.8 for · 10.4 against n 5
Shots on target
5.4 for · 1.2 against n 5
8.5standard
4.6 for · 2.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
12.2 for · 11.2 against n 5
21.5standard
10.6 for · 10.2 against n 5
Cards shown
1 for · 2 against n 5
3.5standard
1.8 for · 1.6 against n 5

Argentina

Argentina Goalkeeper

Argentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez790630 min50.7 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Argentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 890
0.81/1

Argentina Defensive

Argentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Nahuel Molina664383 min92.1 /9051.2 /9000 /90122.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
N. Tagliafico583417 min40.9 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90153.2 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
Cristian Romero581406 min112.4 /9092 /9020.4 /90245.3 /9081.8 /9020.4 /90
N. Otamendi552262 min10.3 /9072.4 /9010.3 /90103.4 /9041.4 /9000 /90
Lisandro Martínez486342 min71.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90153.9 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
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Argentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Martínez n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
1.14/1
0.73/1
—
A. Mac Allister n 876
1.35/3
1.87/3
—
L. Messi n 881.3
0.43/0
2.88/5
—
R. de Paul n 874.3
0.53/0
2.45/3
—
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Argentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
0.42/0
A. Mac Allister n 876
2.77/5
L. Messi n 881.3
15/2
R. de Paul n 874.3
1.76/3
Nahuel Molina n 870.4
2.17/4
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Argentina Attacking

Argentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Julián Alvarez760423 min00 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9051.1 /9051.1 /9040.9 /90
L. Messi678470 min91.7 /9030.6 /90234.4 /90152.9 /90214 /90203.8 /90
Lautaro Martínez647283 min20.6 /9010.3 /9092.9 /9031 /9020.6 /9000 /90
N. González638227 min00 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9052 /9020.8 /90
Franco Mastantuono24691 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9022 /90
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Argentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
1.66/2
1.16/0
A. Mac Allister n 876
14/3
0.43/0
L. Messi n 881.3
4.27/7
2.56/5
R. de Paul n 874.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Argentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Argentina before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
Julián Alvarez n 861.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Mac Allister n 876
00/0
00/0
L. Messi n 881.3
1.46/3
0.42/1
R. de Paul n 874.3
00/0
0.52/1
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Uruguay

Uruguay Goalkeeper

Uruguay — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Fernando Muslera375225 min41.6 /9041.6 /9000 /90
S. Rochet268135 min32 /9000 /9000 /90
Santiago Mele19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Uruguay — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fernando Muslera n 885.9
2.96/3
S. Rochet n 581
2.44/2

Uruguay Defensive

Uruguay — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Cáceres590450 min10.2 /9051 /9020.4 /90183.6 /9051 /9000 /90
G. Varela490360 min20.5 /9092.3 /9000 /90164 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
M. Olivera490360 min82 /9041 /9030.8 /90205 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
J. Sanabria368205 min73.1 /9010.4 /9000 /9083.5 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
M. Vina268135 min21.3 /9000 /9010.7 /9074.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Uruguay — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Bentancur n 887.1
2.27/6
15/3
—
S. Cáceres n 590
13/1
1.43/3
—
F. Valverde n 885.8
0.85/1
00/0
—
M. Ugarte n 747.6
1.64/1
1.43/1
—
G. Varela n 490
0.52/0
0.82/1
—
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Uruguay — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Bentancur n 887.1
2.26/5
S. Cáceres n 590
0.21/0
F. Valverde n 885.8
1.26/3
M. Ugarte n 747.6
1.43/1
M. Olivera n 690
2.35/3
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Uruguay Attacking

Uruguay — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Núñez459237 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
F. Viñas452208 min10.4 /9000 /9062.6 /9041.7 /9000 /9010.4 /90
B. Rodríguez360181 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9073.5 /9031.5 /90
Cristian Olivera19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /9011 /90
F. Pellistri17777 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033.5 /9000 /90
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Uruguay — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Bentancur n 887.1
0.85/1
0.11/0
S. Cáceres n 590
0.62/1
00/0
F. Valverde n 885.8
2.27/5
0.94/2
M. Ugarte n 747.6
1.13/1
0.52/0
G. Varela n 490
0.31/0
00/0
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Uruguay — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Uruguay before kick-off, to 19 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Cáceres n 590
00/0
00/0
R. Bentancur n 887.1
00/0
00/0
F. Valverde n 885.8
0.11/0
00/0
M. Ugarte n 747.6
00/0
00/0
G. Varela n 490
00/0
0.31/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Argentina v Uruguay — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ArgentinaWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
UruguayWDDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Argentina 4 · 2 draws · Uruguay 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2021-11-12 Uruguay 0–1 Argentina
  • 2021-10-10 Argentina 3–0 Uruguay
  • 2021-06-19 Argentina 1–0 Uruguay
  • 2019-11-18 Argentina 2–2 Uruguay
  • 2017-08-31 Uruguay 0–0 Argentina
  • 2016-09-01 Argentina 1–0 Uruguay
Goals per game
Argentina scored2.2
Uruguay scored1.2
Argentina conceded1.4
Uruguay conceded0.8

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Argentina v Uruguay?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Argentina v Uruguay is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Argentina and Uruguay?
In their last 6 meetings, Argentina won 4, Uruguay won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Argentina and Uruguay?
Recent form — Argentina 4W 0D 1L; Uruguay 1W 3D 1L.

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