EcuadorBolivia

Ecuador v Bolivia prediction

Friendlies ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Ecuador v Bolivia, Friendlies on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 23:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ecuador host Bolivia in Friendlies on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 23:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Ecuador to win.

The key numbers

12 of Bolivia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Ecuador are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bolivia, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Five of Ecuador’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Ecuador’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Ecuador have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.00.

Both teams scored in five of Bolivia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Bolivia have no wins, no draws and seven defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.29 and conceding 3.14.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ecuador the stronger side, 430 rating points above Bolivia (Ecuador 1712, Bolivia 1282, after at least 47 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 June 2024, finished Ecuador 3–1 Bolivia.

Team news

Predicted Ecuador XI (4-2-3-1): H. Galindez, W. Pacho, P. Hincapié, J. Ordoñez, A. Franco, P. Vite, M. Caicedo, J. Yeboah, N. Angulo, J. Alcivar, G. Plata — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Angulo (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals) and P. Vite (3.5 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Ecuador’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ecuador (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Angulo averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1293 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. P. Vite averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 2378 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bolivia XI (3-5-2): C. Lampe, L. Haquín, E. Morales, D. Medina, G. Villamil, R. Matheus, E. Vaca Moreno, R. Fernández, E. Monteiro, Miguelito, M. Paniagua — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Miguelito (4.3 per match over four appearances, one goal) and R. Fernández (3.5 per match over four appearances) have been Bolivia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bolivia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Miguelito averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1182 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. R. Fernández averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 353 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Friendlies
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ecuador 6 · draws 0 · Bolivia 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ecuador 2W 1D 2L · Bolivia 2W 0D 3L

Ecuador v Bolivia (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ecuador v Bolivia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EcuadorWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BoliviaLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ecuador 6 · 0 draws · Bolivia 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2024-06-13 Ecuador 3–1 Bolivia
  • 2023-06-17 Ecuador 1–0 Bolivia
  • 2021-10-08 Ecuador 3–0 Bolivia
  • 2021-03-29 Ecuador 2–1 Bolivia
  • 2020-11-12 Bolivia 2–3 Ecuador
  • 2019-09-11 Ecuador 3–0 Bolivia
Goals per game
Ecuador scored0.6
Bolivia scored1
Ecuador conceded0.8
Bolivia conceded1.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ecuador v Bolivia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ecuador v Bolivia is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Ecuador and Bolivia?
In their last 6 meetings, Ecuador won 6, Bolivia won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ecuador and Bolivia?
Recent form — Ecuador 2W 1D 2L; Bolivia 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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