Japan v Brazil prediction

Friendlies · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 10:15 GMT · National Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:33 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Japan · Brazil

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Japan v Brazil, Friendlies on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 10:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Japan host Brazil in Friendlies on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 10:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Japan or Brazil (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Japan’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Japan have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Brazil have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Japan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). At home, Japan have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.14.

Seven of Brazil’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Brazil’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Brazil have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.67.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brazil the stronger side, 26 rating points above Japan (Brazil 2020, Japan 1994, after at least 47 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 June 2026, finished Brazil 2–1 Japan.

Team news

Predicted Japan XI (3-4-2-1): Z. Suzuki, H. Ito, S. Taniguchi, T. Tomiyasu, K. Nakamura, D. Kamada, K. Sano, R. Dōan, A. Tanaka, Y. Sugawara, A. Ueda — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ayase Ueda (3.7 per match over nine appearances, five goals and two assists) and Keito Nakamura (3.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Japan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Japan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ayase Ueda averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1223 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Keito Nakamura averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 1083 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brazil XI (4-3-3): A. Becker, Marquinhos, G. Magalhães, D. Santos, Danilo, B. Guimarães, Casemiro, L. Paquetá, V. Júnior, M. Cunha, Rayan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Vinícius Júnior (6.0 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and two assists) and Bruno Guimarães (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Brazil’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brazil (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Vinícius Júnior averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1608 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Bruno Guimarães averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1570 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 10:15 GMT · Friendlies · National Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Japan 1 · draws 0 · Brazil 3 · 3.25 goals/game
Recent form: Japan 1W 2D 2L · Brazil 3W 1D 1L

Japan v Brazil (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.38 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4.86

Corners

against 5.5 / 3.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 4 matches

3.25 / 5.57

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 3.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 4 matches

1 / 1.57

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 4 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Japan for / against	Line	Brazil for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.25 for · 5.5 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	4.86 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	8.5 for · 10.5 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	15.14 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 4.5 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	5.57 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.75 for · 7.5 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	10.43 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5

Japan

Japan Goalkeeper

Japan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Z. Suzuki	4	90360 min	123 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90

Japan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Japan before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 4	90	3 3/3

Japan Defensive

Japan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Ito	4	90360 min	41 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	112.8 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90
Y. Sugawara	4	36145 min	31.9 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	106.2 /90	31.9 /90	00 /90
S. Taniguchi	3	77231 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
T. Tomiyasu	3	61184 min	21 /90	21 /90	21 /90	104.9 /90	52.4 /90	00 /90
K. Itakura	2	65129 min	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	64.2 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Japan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Japan before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Ito n 4	90	1.8 3/2	0 0/0	—
Z. Suzuki n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
D. Kamada n 5	80.8	0.7 3/0	1.8 3/2	—
A. Ueda n 4	81	1.7 4/2	1.1 3/1	—
Keito Nakamura n 4	77.5	0.9 2/1	0.3 1/0	—
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Japan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Japan before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Ito n 4	90	1 2/1
D. Kamada n 5	80.8	1.3 3/2
A. Ueda n 4	81	0.3 1/0
Keito Nakamura n 4	77.5	1.2 3/1
R. Dōan n 4	70.5	1.3 3/1
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Japan Attacking

Japan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Ueda	4	81324 min	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	71.9 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90
Junya Ito	4	54215 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	52.1 /90	10.4 /90
D. Maeda	3	82245 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Koki Ogawa	2	2039 min	00 /90	12.3 /90	24.6 /90	00 /90	12.3 /90	00 /90
T. Kubo	1	7575 min	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
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Japan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Japan before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Ito n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Z. Suzuki n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Kamada n 5	80.8	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
A. Ueda n 4	81	1.9 3/2	1.1 2/1
Keito Nakamura n 4	77.5	1.2 2/1	0.6 2/0
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Japan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Japan before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Ito n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Z. Suzuki n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Kamada n 5	80.8	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
A. Ueda n 4	81	0.6 1/1	0.3 1/0
Keito Nakamura n 4	77.5	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
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Brazil

Brazil Goalkeeper

Brazil — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alisson Becker	7	90633 min	223.1 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90

Brazil — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brazil before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 8	90.4	3.4 5/5

Brazil Defensive

Brazil — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Marquinhos	7	82572 min	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	162.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Gabriel Magalhães	6	91543 min	61 /90	40.7 /90	20.3 /90	264.3 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
Douglas Santos	6	89535 min	193.2 /90	81.3 /90	00 /90	233.9 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
Danilo	5	82408 min	71.5 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90	143.1 /90	71.5 /90	20.4 /90
Alexsandro Ribeiro	1	9090 min	22 /90	22 /90	00 /90	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90
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Brazil — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brazil before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alisson Becker n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Bruno Guimarães n 8	83.9	1.3 6/2	1.9 7/5	—
Marquinhos n 8	82.8	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
Gabriel Magalhães n 6	90.5	0.7 2/1	0.5 2/1	—
Douglas Santos n 6	89.2	0.8 3/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Brazil — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brazil before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bruno Guimarães n 8	83.9	2.7 7/7
Marquinhos n 8	82.8	1.1 5/3
Gabriel Magalhães n 6	90.5	1 4/2
Douglas Santos n 6	89.2	3.2 6/4
Casemiro n 8	77.1	2.6 7/4
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Brazil Attacking

Brazil — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior	5	89444 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	142.8 /90	112.2 /90	91.8 /90	163.2 /90
Matheus Cunha	5	59296 min	30.9 /90	00 /90	103 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
Gabriel Martinelli	5	42212 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	52.1 /90	31.3 /90
Rayan	4	72289 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	103.1 /90	51.6 /90
Raphinha	4	60241 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.5 /90	41.5 /90	83 /90	62.2 /90
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Brazil — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brazil before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alisson Becker n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Guimarães n 8	83.9	0.9 6/1	0.5 4/0
Marquinhos n 8	82.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 6	90.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Douglas Santos n 6	89.2	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
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Brazil — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brazil before kick-off, to 5 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alisson Becker n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Guimarães n 8	83.9	0.1 1/0	0.5 3/1
Marquinhos n 8	82.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 6	90.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Douglas Santos n 6	89.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Japan v Brazil — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

JapanLDWDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

BrazilDWWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Japan 1 · 0 draws · Brazil 3 · 3.25 goals/game

2026-06-29 Brazil 2–1 Japan
2025-10-14 Japan 3–2 Brazil
2022-06-06 Japan 0–1 Brazil
2017-11-10 Japan 1–3 Brazil

Goals per game

Japan scored1.8

Brazil scored2

Japan conceded1.4

Brazil conceded0.8

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Japan v Brazil?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Japan v Brazil is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Japan and Brazil?: In their last 4 meetings, Japan won 1, Brazil won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Japan and Brazil?: Recent form — Japan 1W 2D 2L; Brazil 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 02:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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