Malta v Eswatini prediction

Friendlies · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 17:01 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Malta · Eswatini

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Malta v Eswatini, Friendlies on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Malta host Eswatini in Friendlies on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Five of Malta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Malta’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Malta have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.56 and conceding 1.22.

Eight of Eswatini’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Eswatini’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Eswatini have no wins, one draw and seven defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.13 points per game, scoring 0.25 and conceding 2.38.

Malta are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Eswatini are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Ilyas Chouaref (7.1 per match over three appearances, two assists) and T. Teuma (5.4 per match over three appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Malta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Malta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilyas Chouaref averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 1387 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT · Friendlies
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Malta 2W 1D 2L · Eswatini 0W 2D 3L

Malta v Eswatini (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 0

Corners

against 4.71 / 0 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 3 matches

5.14 / 0

Shots on target

against 4.29 / 0 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2 / 1.67

Cards

against 2 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Malta for / against	Line	Eswatini for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	11.29 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	5.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.71 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.67 for · 1 against n 3 Last 5

Malta

Malta Goalkeeper

Malta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
H. Bonello	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90

Malta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malta before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
H. Bonello n 8	90	3.5 5/5

Malta Defensive

Malta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Camenzuli	3	90270 min	93 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	196.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
K. Shaw	3	89268 min	20.7 /90	31 /90	51.7 /90	113.7 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
E. Pepe	3	75225 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	124.8 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Juan Corbalan	3	68205 min	83.5 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	114.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Z. Muscat	2	3263 min	00 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90
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Malta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malta before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Camenzuli n 8	73.3	1.7 5/3	0.8 3/1	—
H. Bonello n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1	—
I. Cardona n 7	87.9	0 0/0	1.2 5/2	—
K. Shaw n 8	89.8	0.9 4/2	0.8 4/1	—
I. Chouaref n 7	88.1	1 5/2	3.4 6/6	—
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Malta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malta before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Camenzuli n 8	73.3	2.2 5/4
I. Cardona n 7	87.9	0.3 1/1
K. Shaw n 8	89.8	1.3 6/4
I. Chouaref n 7	88.1	1.8 7/3
Alexander Satariano n 8	80.1	1.7 6/3
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Malta Attacking

Malta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Cardona	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	62 /90	51.7 /90
P. Mbong	3	42126 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.1 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90
K. Ewurum	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90	16 /90	00 /90	00 /90
I. Chouaref	3	88265 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	82.7 /90	72.4 /90
Alexander Satariano	3	79238 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	31.1 /90
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Malta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malta before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Cardona n 7	87.9	1.5 5/4	0.6 2/2
R. Camenzuli n 8	73.3	0.5 1/1	0.3 1/1
H. Bonello n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Shaw n 8	89.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
I. Chouaref n 7	88.1	1.5 6/4	1 5/2
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Malta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malta before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Cardona n 7	87.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
H. Bonello n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Camenzuli n 8	73.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Shaw n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Chouaref n 7	88.1	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Malta v Eswatini — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MaltaLLWDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

EswatiniDLLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Goals per game

Malta scored0.8

Eswatini scored1

Malta conceded1.4

Eswatini conceded2.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Malta v Eswatini?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Malta v Eswatini is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Malta and Eswatini?: Recent form — Malta 2W 1D 2L; Eswatini 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 17:01 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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