Morocco v Ghana prediction

Friendlies ·

Cancelled — this match is not being played as listed.

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Morocco v Ghana, Friendlies, is cancelled — this match is not being played as listed. No free pick is offered while the fixture stands like this.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Morocco host Ghana in Friendlies on Sunday 4 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Morocco to win.

Form and the table

Four of Morocco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Morocco’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Morocco have four wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 2.60 points per game, scoring 1.80 and conceding 0.60.

Five of Ghana’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Ghana’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Ghana have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.89.

Ghana are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Morocco the stronger side, 463 rating points above Ghana (Morocco 1896, Ghana 1433, after at least 30 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 January 2022, finished Morocco 1–0 Ghana.

Team news

Predicted Morocco XI (4-2-3-1): Y. Bounou, I. Diop, A. Hakimi, C. Riad, N. Mazraoui, N. El Aynaoui, B. Díaz, A. Ounahi, A. Ezzalzouli, S. El Mourabet, I. Saibari — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Hakimi (5.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal and five assists) and Neil El Aynaoui (4.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals) have been Morocco’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Morocco (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Hakimi averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1353 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Neil El Aynaoui averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 1166 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Ghana XI (4-4-2): L. Zigi, J. Adjetey, A. Djiku, C. Yirenkyi, D. Köhn, T. Partey, A. Semenyo, K. Sibo, A. Fatawu, J. Ayew, P. Adu — derived from the last 4 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Senaya (3.4 per match over six appearances) and Derrick Luckassen (3.1 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Ghana’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ghana (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Senaya averages 4.7 tackles per 90 over 379 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Friendlies
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Morocco 2 · draws 0 · Ghana 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Morocco 3W 1D 1L · Ghana 2W 1D 2L

Morocco v Ghana (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 2.75
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 1.75
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMorocco for / againstLineGhana for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
6.63 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
1.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Morocco
Morocco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Saibari n 850.9
2.25/2
0.73/0
—
Gessime Yassine n 863.9
2.17/4
3.28/5
—
S. Rahimi n 837.9
2.14/3
2.45/3
—
A. Amaimouni n 825.3
1.84/0
2.24/1
—
R. Halhal n 870.9
1.76/4
1.14/2
—
Morocco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. El Kaabi n 870
2.77/5
1.86/3
S. Rahimi n 837.9
2.44/2
1.84/2
A. Ezzalzouli n 861.6
2.27/4
1.37/0
A. Ounahi n 857.8
2.16/4
14/1
I. Saibari n 850.9
25/2
0.92/1
Morocco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Rahimi n 837.9
0.93/0
0.62/0
Gessime Yassine n 863.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
A. Ezzalzouli n 861.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
I. Saibari n 850.9
0.21/0
0.41/1
A. Ounahi n 857.8
0.62/1
00/0
Morocco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. El Khannouss n 852.6
37/5
N. Mazraoui n 872.3
2.87/3
A. Amaimouni n 825.3
2.74/1
Gessime Yassine n 863.9
2.57/4
M. Saâdane n 858.5
2.35/5
Morocco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mohamedi n 890
3.96/6
Y. Bounou n 879.6
2.45/4
Ghana
Ghana — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 862.4
3.27/4
1.15/1
—
K. Sibo n 855.4
2.66/3
0.21/0
—
P. Adu n 845.9
2.56/2
1.54/1
—
A. Fatawu n 856.8
2.26/2
2.47/4
—
M. Senaya n 855.1
2.27/3
13/2
—
Ghana — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ernest Nuamah n 866.9
2.57/4
1.24/1
P. Adu n 845.9
24/2
0.52/0
I. Williams n 865
1.96/4
0.93/2
B. Thomas-Asante n 837.4
1.83/2
0.92/1
D. Köhn n 846
1.75/2
0.52/0
Ghana — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ernest Nuamah n 866.9
0.73/1
0.21/0
A. Semenyo n 886.5
0.31/1
0.43/0
I. Williams n 865
0.21/0
0.32/0
D. Köhn n 846
00/0
0.52/0
D. Luckassen n 883
0.32/0
00/0
Ghana — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Senaya n 855.1
4.76/5
A. Djiku n 856.8
2.47/3
A. Fatawu n 856.8
25/3
G. Mensah n 884.9
1.77/3
E. Owusu n 871.1
1.66/3
Ghana — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Benjamin Asare n 775.1
3.66/5
L. Zigi n 890
36/4

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Morocco v Ghana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MoroccoWWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
GhanaWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Morocco 2 · 0 draws · Ghana 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2022-01-10 Morocco 1–0 Ghana
  • 2021-06-08 Morocco 1–0 Ghana
Goals per game
Morocco scored1.8
Ghana scored0.6
Morocco conceded1
Ghana conceded0.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Morocco v Ghana?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Morocco v Ghana is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Morocco and Ghana?
In their last 2 meetings, Morocco won 2, Ghana won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Morocco and Ghana?
Recent form — Morocco 3W 1D 1L; Ghana 2W 1D 2L.

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