PeruBolivia

Peru v Bolivia prediction

Friendlies · · Estadio Monumental

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Peru v Bolivia, Friendlies on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 01:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Peru host Bolivia in Friendlies on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 01:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Peru or Bolivia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Three of Peru’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%).

Peru are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Peru have failed to score in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in two of Peru’s last 15 results in all competitions (13%). At home, Peru have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.43.

12 of Bolivia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in five of Bolivia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Bolivia have no wins, no draws and seven defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.29 and conceding 3.14.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Peru the stronger side, 261 rating points above Bolivia (Peru 1543, Bolivia 1282, after at least 47 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Peru are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bolivia. The most recent meeting, on 21 December 2025, finished Peru 2–0 Bolivia.

Team news

Predicted Peru XI (4-2-3-1): P. Gallese, M. López, L. Advíncula, R. Garcés, C. Zambrano, S. Peña, Y. Yotún, K. Cabrera, J. Grimaldo, R. Tapia, L. Ramos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Vélez (3.8 per match over seven appearances, four goals) and Yoshimar Yotún (2.7 per match over nine appearances, two assists) have been Peru’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Peru (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Vélez averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 773 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Yoshimar Yotún averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1785 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bolivia XI (3-5-2): C. Lampe, L. Haquín, E. Morales, D. Medina, G. Villamil, R. Matheus, E. Vaca Moreno, R. Fernández, E. Monteiro, Miguelito, M. Paniagua — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Miguelito (4.3 per match over four appearances, one goal) and R. Fernández (3.5 per match over four appearances) have been Bolivia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bolivia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Miguelito averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1182 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. R. Fernández averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 353 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Friendlies · Estadio Monumental
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Peru 5 · draws 0 · Bolivia 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Peru 0W 1D 4L · Bolivia 2W 0D 3L

Peru v Bolivia (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peru v Bolivia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PeruDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BoliviaLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Peru 5 · 0 draws · Bolivia 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-12-21 Peru 2–0 Bolivia
  • 2022-11-20 Peru 1–0 Bolivia
  • 2021-11-12 Peru 3–0 Bolivia
  • 2021-10-10 Bolivia 1–0 Peru
  • 2019-06-18 Bolivia 1–3 Peru
  • 2017-09-01 Peru 2–1 Bolivia
Goals per game
Peru scored0
Bolivia scored1
Peru conceded1.4
Bolivia conceded1.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Peru v Bolivia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Peru v Bolivia is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Peru and Bolivia?
In their last 6 meetings, Peru won 5, Bolivia won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peru and Bolivia?
Recent form — Peru 0W 1D 4L; Bolivia 2W 0D 3L.

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