Qatar v Australia prediction

Friendlies · Fri, 13 Nov 2026 14:45 GMT · Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 05:44 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Qatar · Australia

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Qatar v Australia, Friendlies on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 14:45 GMT.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Qatar host Australia in Friendlies on Friday 13 November (kick-off 14:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Eight of Qatar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Qatar’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Qatar have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.71.

Five of Australia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Australia’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Australia have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29.

Qatar are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Australia are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Australia the stronger side, 416 rating points above Qatar (Australia 1703, Qatar 1287, after at least 30 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Qatar XI (4-4-2): M. Abunada, P. Miguel, B. Khoukhi, S. Al Braik, A. Al Oui, A. Madibo, K. Boudiaf, A. Fathi, I. Laye, A. Afif, E. Junior — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pedro Miguel (3.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal) and Boualem Khoukhi (3.6 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Qatar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Qatar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pedro Miguel averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 989 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Boualem Khoukhi averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 905 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Australia XI (3-4-2-1): P. Beach, H. Souttar, A. Circati, L. Herrington, A. O'Neill, J. Irvine, A. Behich, J. Bos, P. Okon-Engstler, A. Hrustić, N. Irankunda — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alessandro Circati (4.2 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and C. Metcalfe (3.2 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Australia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Australia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alessandro Circati averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 1260 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. C. Metcalfe averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1201 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 14:45 GMT · Friendlies · Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Qatar 1W 2D 2L · Australia 1W 2D 2L

Qatar v Australia (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3 / 4.25

Corners

against 7.6 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 4 matches

2.4 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 5.4 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 4 matches

2.2 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.6 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 4 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Qatar for / against	Line	Australia for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 7.6 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 4.25 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	7.6 for · 18.6 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	8.25 for · 13 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	2.4 for · 5.4 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 3.25 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.4 for · 11.4 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 9 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	2.2 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 4 Last 5

Qatar

Qatar Goalkeeper

Qatar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Mahmud Abunada	5	90450 min	163.2 /90	112.2 /90	00 /90

Qatar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	3.2 4/4

Qatar Defensive

Qatar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pedro Miguel	5	90450 min	81.6 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90	234.6 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
Boualem Khoukhi	5	79396 min	51.1 /90	61.4 /90	81.8 /90	153.4 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Sultan Al Braik	4	79316 min	113.1 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	154.3 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
Ayoub Al Oui	4	75299 min	10.3 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	72.1 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
Homam Ahmed	3	48143 min	21.3 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90	31.9 /90	42.5 /90	00 /90
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Qatar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	0.4 2/0	1.6 4/3	—
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0	—
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	0.2 1/0	1.9 7/4	—
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	0.3 1/1	0.8 4/1	—
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	1.2 3/1	3 4/2	—
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Qatar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	1.6 5/1
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	0.3 2/0
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	1.1 6/1
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	1.2 4/1
Sultan Al Braik n 5	81.2	2.9 5/3
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Qatar Attacking

Qatar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Akram Afif	5	81407 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90	102.2 /90	30.7 /90
Edmilson Junior	5	77387 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	30.7 /90	61.4 /90	40.9 /90
Mohamed Al Manai	3	60180 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Ahmed Al Ganehi	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	21.6 /90
Almoez Ali	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Qatar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	1 3/1	0.4 2/0
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	1.2 4/2	0.5 1/1
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	1.4 4/2	0.7 2/1
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Qatar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Australia

Australia Goalkeeper

Australia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Beach	3	92277 min	113.6 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90

Australia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Australia before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Beach n 3	92.3	3.6 2/1

Australia Defensive

Australia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Circati	3	92277 min	82.6 /90	20.6 /90	61.9 /90	247.8 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
H. Souttar	3	92277 min	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	41.3 /90	154.9 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
J. Bos	3	88264 min	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	227.5 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
Jacob Italiano	2	82164 min	42.2 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	84.4 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
C. Burgess	2	71142 min	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	42.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Australia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Australia before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Circati n 3	92.3	1.3 3/1	0.6 2/0	—
H. Souttar n 5	91.4	1 3/1	0.4 2/0	—
Aiden O'Neill n 3	92.3	0.3 1/0	1.9 3/1	—
P. Beach n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. Bos n 4	87.8	0.8 2/1	1.3 3/1	—
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Australia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Australia before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Circati n 3	92.3	2.6 3/3
Aiden O'Neill n 3	92.3	1.6 2/1
H. Souttar n 5	91.4	1 3/2
J. Bos n 4	87.8	2.1 3/2
C. Metcalfe n 4	65.3	1.7 3/1
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Australia Attacking

Australia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Irankunda	3	63190 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
M. Touré	2	60119 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	21.5 /90
C. Volpato	2	4487 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	11 /90	44.1 /90	88.3 /90
Aiden O'Neill	3	92277 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	31 /90	20.6 /90
C. Metcalfe	3	77232 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
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Australia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Australia before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Souttar n 5	91.4	1 3/2	0.6 3/0
A. Circati n 3	92.3	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
Aiden O'Neill n 3	92.3	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
P. Beach n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bos n 4	87.8	1 2/1	0.5 1/1
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Australia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Australia before kick-off, to 3 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Souttar n 5	91.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Aiden O'Neill n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Circati n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Beach n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bos n 4	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Qatar v Australia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

QatarDWDLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

AustraliaLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Goals per game

Qatar scored0.8

Australia scored0.8

Qatar conceded2.2

Australia conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Qatar v Australia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Qatar v Australia is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Qatar and Australia?: Recent form — Qatar 1W 2D 2L; Australia 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:44 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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