Qatar v South Korea prediction

Friendlies · Tue, 17 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Qatar · South Korea

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Qatar v South Korea, Friendlies on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Away win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Qatar host South Korea in Friendlies on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is South Korea to win.

Form and the table

Eight of Qatar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Qatar’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Qatar have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.71.

Eight of South Korea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of South Korea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, South Korea have one win, three draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.44.

Qatar are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have South Korea the stronger side, 484 rating points above Qatar (South Korea 1771, Qatar 1287, after at least 58 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 November 2020, finished South Korea 2–1 Qatar.

Team news

Predicted Qatar XI (4-4-2): M. Abunada, P. Miguel, B. Khoukhi, S. Al Braik, A. Al Oui, A. Madibo, K. Boudiaf, A. Fathi, I. Laye, A. Afif, E. Junior — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pedro Miguel (3.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal) and Boualem Khoukhi (3.6 per match over seven appearances, two goals) have been Qatar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Qatar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pedro Miguel averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 989 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Boualem Khoukhi averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 905 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted South Korea XI (3-4-2-1): K. Seung-Gyu, L. Han-Beom, L. Gi-Hyuk, K. Min-Jae, H. In-Beom, S. Young-Woo, P. Seung-Ho, L. Tae-seok, K. Moon-Hwan, K. Jin-Gyu, L. Kang-In — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Son Heung-Min (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Hwang In-Beom (3.2 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been South Korea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for South Korea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Son Heung-Min averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 4071 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Hwang In-Beom averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 907 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 17 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Friendlies · Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Qatar 2 · draws 0 · South Korea 2 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Qatar 1W 2D 2L · South Korea 2W 0D 3L

Qatar v South Korea (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3 / 4

Corners

against 7.6 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 3 matches

2.4 / 3.67

Shots on target

against 5.4 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2.2 / 1.33

Cards

against 1.6 / 0.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 June 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Qatar for / against	Line	South Korea for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 7.6 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	7.6 for · 18.6 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	10.67 for · 9.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	2.4 for · 5.4 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	3.67 for · 4 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.4 for · 11.4 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	8.33 for · 10.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2.2 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.33 for · 0.33 against n 3 Last 5

Qatar

Qatar Goalkeeper

Qatar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Mahmud Abunada	5	90450 min	163.2 /90	112.2 /90	00 /90

Qatar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	3.2 4/4

Qatar Defensive

Qatar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pedro Miguel	5	90450 min	81.6 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90	234.6 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
Boualem Khoukhi	5	79396 min	51.1 /90	61.4 /90	81.8 /90	153.4 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Sultan Al Braik	4	79316 min	113.1 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	154.3 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
Ayoub Al Oui	4	75299 min	10.3 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	72.1 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
Homam Ahmed	3	48143 min	21.3 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90	31.9 /90	42.5 /90	00 /90
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Qatar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	0.4 2/0	1.6 4/3	—
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0	—
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	0.2 1/0	1.9 7/4	—
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	0.3 1/1	0.8 4/1	—
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	1.2 3/1	3 4/2	—
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Qatar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	1.6 5/1
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	0.3 2/0
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	1.1 6/1
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	1.2 4/1
Sultan Al Braik n 5	81.2	2.9 5/3
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Qatar Attacking

Qatar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Akram Afif	5	81407 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90	102.2 /90	30.7 /90
Edmilson Junior	5	77387 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	30.7 /90	61.4 /90	40.9 /90
Mohamed Al Manai	3	60180 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Ahmed Al Ganehi	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	21.6 /90
Almoez Ali	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Qatar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	1 3/1	0.4 2/0
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	1.2 4/2	0.5 1/1
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	1.4 4/2	0.7 2/1
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Qatar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Qatar before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pedro Miguel n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Mahmud Abunada n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Akram Afif n 7	75.3	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
Boualem Khoukhi n 7	82.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Edmilson Junior n 5	77.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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South Korea

South Korea Goalkeeper

South Korea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kim Seung-Gyu	3	90270 min	93 /90	31 /90	00 /90

South Korea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	2.1 5/4

South Korea Defensive

South Korea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lee Gi-Hyuk	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90	175.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
Lee Han-Beom	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	175.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90
Kim Min-Jae	3	82245 min	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	114 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Hwang In-Beom	3	88264 min	31 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Seol Young-Woo	3	84251 min	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	51.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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South Korea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	2.3 3/2	0.7 1/1	—
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0.3 1/0	—
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	0.3 1/0	2.3 3/2	—
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	1.8 4/3	1 4/2	—
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South Korea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	1.3 3/1
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	1.3 2/2
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	0.7 2/0
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	1.2 4/2
Seol Young-Woo n 3	83.7	0.7 2/0
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South Korea Attacking

South Korea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lee Kang-In	3	90270 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	113.7 /90
Son Heung-Min	3	57171 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	31.6 /90
Oh Hyeon-Gyu	3	43128 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	42.8 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
Hwang Hee-Chan	3	35106 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	32.5 /90
Lee Jae-Sung	2	60119 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	32.3 /90	00 /90
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South Korea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	1 3/0	0.3 1/0
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	1 3/2	0.5 2/1
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South Korea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 25 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Qatar v South Korea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

QatarDWDLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

South KoreaWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Qatar 2 · 0 draws · South Korea 2 · 3.5 goals/game

2020-11-17 South Korea 2–1 Qatar
2019-01-25 South Korea 0–1 Qatar
2017-06-13 Qatar 3–2 South Korea
2016-10-06 South Korea 3–2 Qatar

Goals per game

Qatar scored0.8

South Korea scored0.8

Qatar conceded2.2

South Korea conceded1.2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Qatar v South Korea?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Qatar v South Korea is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Qatar and South Korea?: In their last 4 meetings, Qatar won 2, South Korea won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Qatar and South Korea?: Recent form — Qatar 1W 2D 2L; South Korea 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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