Saudi Arabia v South Korea prediction

Friendlies · Fri, 13 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 09:43 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Saudi Arabia v South Korea, Friendlies on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Saudi Arabia host South Korea in Friendlies on Friday 13 November (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Saudi Arabia are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Saudi Arabia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in six of Saudi Arabia’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Saudi Arabia have one win, five draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 0.88.

Eight of South Korea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of South Korea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, South Korea have one win, three draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.44.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have South Korea the stronger side, 207 rating points above Saudi Arabia (South Korea 1771, Saudi Arabia 1564, after at least 56 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

South Korea are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Saudi Arabia, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 30 January 2024, finished Saudi Arabia 1–1 South Korea.

Team news

Predicted Saudi Arabia XI (4-4-2): M. Al Owais, S. Abdulhamid, H. Tambakti, A. Al Amri, M. Al Harbi, S. Al Dawsari, N. Al Dawsari, A. Al Khaibari, M. Al Juwayr, F. Al-Buraikan, A. Al Hamdan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mohammed Al Owais (3.1 per match over five appearances) and Salem Al Dawsari (3.0 per match over six appearances) have been Saudi Arabia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Saudi Arabia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohammed Al Owais averages 4.4 saves per 90 over 630 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last seven appearances. Salem Al Dawsari averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 599 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted South Korea XI (3-4-2-1): K. Seung-Gyu, L. Han-Beom, L. Gi-Hyuk, K. Min-Jae, H. In-Beom, S. Young-Woo, P. Seung-Ho, L. Tae-seok, K. Moon-Hwan, K. Jin-Gyu, L. Kang-In — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Son Heung-Min (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Hwang In-Beom (3.2 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been South Korea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for South Korea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Son Heung-Min averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 3981 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Hwang In-Beom averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 883 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · Friendlies
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Saudi Arabia 0 · draws 2 · South Korea 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Saudi Arabia 1W 3D 1L · South Korea 2W 0D 3L

Saudi Arabia v South Korea (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.4 / 4

Corners

against 5.6 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 3 matches

4.2 / 3.67

Shots on target

against 5.2 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2.8 / 1.33

Cards

against 1.2 / 0.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 June 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Saudi Arabia for / against	Line	South Korea for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.4 for · 5.6 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	9.8 for · 15.6 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	10.67 for · 9.33 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	4.2 for · 5.2 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	3.67 for · 4 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.2 for · 11.4 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	8.33 for · 10.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2.8 for · 1.2 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.33 for · 0.33 against n 3 Last 5

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia Goalkeeper

Saudi Arabia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Mohammed Al Owais	3	90270 min	165.3 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
Nawaf Al Aqidi	2	90180 min	42 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Saudi Arabia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saudi Arabia before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Mohammed Al Owais n 5	90	4.2 4/3

Saudi Arabia Defensive

Saudi Arabia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Hassan Tambakti	5	79393 min	81.8 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90	153.4 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90
Saud Abdulhamid	5	77383 min	143.3 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	296.8 /90	92.1 /90	20.5 /90
Moteb Al Harbi	3	82245 min	41.5 /90	51.8 /90	00 /90	145.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Abdulelah Al Amri	3	80240 min	31.1 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90	83 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
Nawaf Boushal	3	64191 min	41.9 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	146.6 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Saudi Arabia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saudi Arabia before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Salem Al Dawsari n 8	74.9	0.9 4/2	1.7 6/3	—
Firas Al-Buraikan n 8	72.8	1.2 6/1	1.9 7/2	—
Hassan Tambakti n 6	74.5	0.8 2/1	0.4 2/0	—
Nasser Al Dawsari n 5	76.8	1.9 3/2	0.5 2/0	—
Saud Abdulhamid n 7	72.6	1.6 3/3	1.9 6/4	—
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Saudi Arabia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saudi Arabia before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Salem Al Dawsari n 8	74.9	1.2 6/2
Firas Al-Buraikan n 8	72.8	0.8 5/0
Hassan Tambakti n 6	74.5	1.6 4/3
Nasser Al Dawsari n 5	76.8	2.1 5/3
Saud Abdulhamid n 7	72.6	3.4 6/5
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Saudi Arabia Attacking

Saudi Arabia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Firas Al-Buraikan	5	81404 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	40.9 /90	30.7 /90	61.3 /90	00 /90
Abdullah Al Hamdan	3	2988 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	22 /90	11 /90	11 /90
Salem Al Dawsari	5	85426 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.5 /90	40.8 /90	51.1 /90	112.3 /90
Nasser Al Dawsari	5	77384 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	61.4 /90
Abdullah Al Khaibari	5	72360 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90
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Saudi Arabia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saudi Arabia before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Salem Al Dawsari n 8	74.9	1.2 4/2	0.6 2/2
Firas Al-Buraikan n 8	72.8	0.9 3/1	0.6 2/1
Hassan Tambakti n 6	74.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nasser Al Dawsari n 5	76.8	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
Saud Abdulhamid n 7	72.6	0.7 4/0	0.4 2/0
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Saudi Arabia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Saudi Arabia before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Salem Al Dawsari n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Firas Al-Buraikan n 8	72.8	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
Hassan Tambakti n 6	74.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nasser Al Dawsari n 5	76.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Saud Abdulhamid n 7	72.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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South Korea

South Korea Goalkeeper

South Korea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kim Seung-Gyu	3	90270 min	93 /90	31 /90	00 /90

South Korea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	2.1 5/4

South Korea Defensive

South Korea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lee Gi-Hyuk	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90	175.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
Lee Han-Beom	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	175.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90
Kim Min-Jae	3	82245 min	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	114 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Hwang In-Beom	3	88264 min	31 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Seol Young-Woo	3	84251 min	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	51.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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South Korea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	2.3 3/2	0.7 1/1	—
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0.3 1/0	—
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	0.3 1/0	2.3 3/2	—
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	1.8 4/3	1 4/2	—
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South Korea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	1.3 3/1
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	1.3 2/2
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	0.7 2/0
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	1.2 4/2
Seol Young-Woo n 3	83.7	0.7 2/0
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South Korea Attacking

South Korea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lee Kang-In	3	90270 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	113.7 /90
Son Heung-Min	3	57171 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	31.6 /90
Oh Hyeon-Gyu	3	43128 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	42.8 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
Hwang Hee-Chan	3	35106 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	32.5 /90
Lee Jae-Sung	2	60119 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	32.3 /90	00 /90
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South Korea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	1 3/0	0.3 1/0
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	1 3/2	0.5 2/1
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South Korea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for South Korea before kick-off, to 27 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lee Kang-In n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Kim Seung-Gyu n 7	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lee Han-Beom n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lee Gi-Hyuk n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hwang In-Beom n 6	89.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Saudi Arabia v South Korea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Saudi ArabiaWDDLD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

South KoreaWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Saudi Arabia 0 · 2 draws · South Korea 1 · 1 goals/game

2024-01-30 Saudi Arabia 1–1 South Korea
2023-09-12 Saudi Arabia 0–1 South Korea
2018-12-31 South Korea 0–0 Saudi Arabia

Goals per game

Saudi Arabia scored0.8

South Korea scored0.8

Saudi Arabia conceded1.4

South Korea conceded1.2

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Saudi Arabia v South Korea?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Saudi Arabia v South Korea is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Saudi Arabia and South Korea?: In their last 3 meetings, Saudi Arabia won 0, South Korea won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Saudi Arabia and South Korea?: Recent form — Saudi Arabia 1W 3D 1L; South Korea 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 09:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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