UruguayDominican Republic

Uruguay v Dominican Republic prediction

Friendlies ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Uruguay v Dominican Republic, Friendlies on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 23:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Uruguay host Dominican Republic in Friendlies on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 23:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Uruguay to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Uruguay are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Dominican Republic are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Uruguay’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Uruguay’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Uruguay have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.63.

Six of Dominican Republic’s last 9 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in four of Dominican Republic’s last 9 results in all competitions (44%). Away from home, Dominican Republic have one win, no draws and four defeats in their last 5 away matches in all competitions — 0.60 points per game, scoring 1.80 and conceding 2.20.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Uruguay the stronger side, 582 rating points above Dominican Republic (Uruguay 1905, Dominican Republic 1323, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2025, finished Uruguay 1–0 Dominican Republic.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, M. Araújo (6.0 per match over eight appearances, five goals and two assists) and G. de Arrascaeta (4.1 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Uruguay’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Uruguay (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Araújo averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1858 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. G. de Arrascaeta averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 2368 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Friendlies
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Uruguay 1 · draws 0 · Dominican Republic 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Uruguay 1W 3D 1L · Dominican Republic 0W 2D 3L

Uruguay v Dominican Republic (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Uruguay v Dominican Republic — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UruguayWDDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Dominican RepublicDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Uruguay 1 · 0 draws · Dominican Republic 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-10-10 Uruguay 1–0 Dominican Republic
Goals per game
Uruguay scored1.2
Dominican Republic scored0.8
Uruguay conceded0.8
Dominican Republic conceded1.8

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Uruguay v Dominican Republic?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Uruguay v Dominican Republic is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Uruguay and Dominican Republic?
In their last 1 meetings, Uruguay won 1, Dominican Republic won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Uruguay and Dominican Republic?
Recent form — Uruguay 1W 3D 1L; Dominican Republic 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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