HNK Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin result

Full-time · HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin

HNL · · Stadion Poljud

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: HNK Hajduk Split · NK Varazdin · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin — HNK Hajduk Split won this HNL match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.24 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

HNK Hajduk Split beat NK Varazdin 1–0 at Stadion Poljud in the HNL on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — HNK Hajduk Split: Mathieu Acapandié (86’, assisted by Abdoulie Sanyang).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mathieu Acapandié’s goal on 86 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: HNK Hajduk Split 1.42, NK Varazdin 0.91, from 17 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — HNK Hajduk Split: Dario Marešić (33’) and Adrion Pajaziti (90’); NK Varazdin: Tomislav Duvnjak (58’) and Aleksa Latkovic (63’).

What it changes

HNK Hajduk Split stay first after this result (10 league matches played).

NK Varazdin stay second after this result (10 league matches played).

HNK Hajduk Split have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Khalil Fayad (HNK Hajduk Split) 8.5, Mathieu Acapandié (HNK Hajduk Split) 7.0 and Josip Silic (NK Varazdin) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

HNK Hajduk Split next travel to FC Thun on 22 October 2026.

NK Varazdin next host NK Slaven Belupo on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for HNK Hajduk Split: FC Thun v HNK Hajduk Split, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for NK Varazdin: NK Varazdin v NK Slaven Belupo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin · HNL
  • Venue: Stadion Poljud · Split
  • Referee: Dario Bel
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): HNK Hajduk Split 1 · draws 3 · NK Varazdin 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split 4W 0D 1L · NK Varazdin 2W 3D 0L

HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin (HNL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.13
Corners
against 2.88 / 4.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHNK Hajduk Split for / againstLineNK Varazdin for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 14.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Pukštas n 863.1
3.47/7
1.85/3
—
Carlos Martín n 823.1
2.93/1
0.51/0
—
M. Livaja n 832.8
2.74/3
1.43/1
Aleksa Latkovic
Dali n 879.3
2.67/5
2.16/5
—
A. Pajaziti n 873.8
26/4
1.45/2
—
HNK Hajduk Split — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Livaja n 832.8
4.17/3
2.15/1
Dali n 879.3
2.66/4
1.65/2
A. Sutalo n 745.3
2.66/2
25/1
R. Pukštas n 863.1
2.56/3
1.45/2
Carlos Martín n 823.1
2.44/1
0.51/0
HNK Hajduk Split — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Šotiček n 869.4
0.53/0
0.53/0
M. Livaja n 832.8
13/0
00/0
A. Guram n 832.6
0.31/0
0.72/0
M. Šego n 877.8
0.63/1
0.32/0
Dali n 879.3
0.11/0
0.63/1
HNK Hajduk Split — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Brruti n 345.7
4.63/3
M. Acapandié n 877.8
3.87/6
A. Guram n 832.6
3.15/2
K. Fayad n 856.6
36/4
D. Melnjak n 827.1
2.96/1
HNK Hajduk Split — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Silić n 893.8
26/3
NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Emma Uchegbu n 621
3.62/2
2.93/1
—
M. Marina n 878.4
2.67/7
0.11/0
—
T. Duvnjak n 819.3
2.33/1
1.22/0
—
L. Posinkovic n 49.8
2.31/0
00/0
—
Aleksa Latkovic n 865.4
1.97/4
1.25/1
M. Livaja
NK Varazdin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Emma Uchegbu n 621
4.34/2
2.13/0
I. Mamut n 772.6
2.77/5
1.23/3
L. Mamic n 882.6
2.57/5
1.56/2
L. Mamić n 884.8
2.36/5
1.15/2
P. Bočkaj n 830.8
2.26/0
1.54/0
NK Varazdin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Vuk n 848.1
0.21/0
0.73/0
I. Mamut n 772.6
0.41/1
0.42/0
P. Bočkaj n 830.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
S. Jurić n 835
0.31/0
0.31/0
I. Canjuga n 886.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
NK Varazdin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Puclin n 843.3
3.66/4
T. Duvnjak n 819.3
2.93/2
N. Tepsic n 884.3
2.76/5
M. Marina n 878.4
2.78/6
F. Maglica n 885.4
2.46/5
NK Varazdin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Silic n 890
3.68/5

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
64%Possession36%
1.42Expected goals (xG)0.91
17Shots6
6Shots on target1
4Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box4
6Corners3
17Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves5
517Passes291

HNK Hajduk Split player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Silić8900000006.9
M. Acapandié8910110407.9
D. Hadžikadunić8900000007.6
D. Marešić89002201Y7.2
K. Fayad8900311607.2
Dali8900412106.7
M. Šotiček7400205107.1
Alberto del Moral6600100206.6
M. Livaja6600101006.4
D. Melnjak6500111207
A. Sutalo5800101006.9
A. Sanyang3101002107
Š. Hrgović2400000107.3
M. Šego2300000006.5
A. Pajaziti23001000Y6.8
A. Guram1500000006.8

NK Varazdin player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Silic8900000007.6
L. Posinkovic8900000006.3
Mario Mladenovski8900000106.9
N. Tepsic8900000207.2
I. Canjuga8900110106.2
Iuri Tavares8900100206.1
L. Mamić7600002106.3
Aleksa Latkovic76001000Y6
G. Sikošek6600000306.7
P. Bočkaj6300200406.2
T. Duvnjak63000001Y6.4
Emma Uchegbu2600000106.5
D. Puclin2600000106.5
E. Duraković2300000006.6
I. Posavec1300000306.6
L. Škaričić1300000106.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind HNK Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HNK Hajduk SplitWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
NK VarazdinWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
HNK Hajduk Split 1 · 3 draws · NK Varazdin 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-08-02 NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2026-05-03 HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 NK Varazdin
  • 2026-02-28 NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2025-11-29 HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Varazdin
  • 2025-09-13 NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2025-04-18 NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split
League standing · 2026/27
HNK Hajduk Split#1 pos22 pts10 pl+10 GD
NK Varazdin#2 pos18 pts10 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
HNK Hajduk Split scored1.9
NK Varazdin scored1.4
HNK Hajduk Split conceded0.9
NK Varazdin conceded0.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for HNK Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for HNK Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin was Home or Draw (best price 1.24 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin?
In their last 6 meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 1, NK Varazdin won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of HNK Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin?
Recent form — HNK Hajduk Split 4W 0D 1L; NK Varazdin 2W 3D 0L.

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