HNK Rijeka v Dinamo Zagreb prediction

The match

HNK Rijeka host Dinamo Zagreb in the HNL on Thursday 3 December (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is HNK Rijeka or Dinamo Zagreb (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Dinamo Zagreb have scored 25 goals, the most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

HNK Rijeka have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in the last six meetings with HNK Rijeka, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, HNK Rijeka have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.29. HNK Rijeka have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). HNK Rijeka have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 10 clubs.

10 of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Dinamo Zagreb’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Dinamo Zagreb have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.63. Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 14 goals, the third-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

HNK Rijeka (fifth) and Dinamo Zagreb (second) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dinamo Zagreb the stronger side, 155 rating points above HNK Rijeka (Dinamo Zagreb 1797, HNK Rijeka 1642, after at least 335 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 October 2026, finished Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka.

Team news

Predicted HNK Rijeka XI (4-2-3-1): I. Vekič, A. Majstorović, A. Oreč, A. Husic, M. Devetak, T. Dantas, S. Vignato, T. Fruk, B. Pavić, I. Ćubelić, D. Adu-Adjei — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Toni Fruk (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Branko Pavić (4.0 per match over eight appearances) have been HNK Rijeka’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Rijeka (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Toni Fruk averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 993 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Branko Pavić averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 702 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Dinamo Zagreb XI (4-3-3): D. Kotarski, N. Galesic, S. Domínguez, M. Valincic, O. Vinlöf, J. Misic, L. Stojkovic, A. Hoxha, D. Beljo, S. Prevljak, L. Kačavenda — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Dion Drena Beljo (7.6 per match over 17 appearances, 18 goals and six assists) and Luka Stojkovic (3.9 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Dinamo Zagreb’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dinamo Zagreb (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dion Drena Beljo averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1568 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Luka Stojkovic averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1026 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.