HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin prediction

HNL · · Stadion HNK Rijeka

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home offsides under 2.5 the free pick for HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin, HNL on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home offsides under 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Predicted on 24 October 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

HNK Rijeka host NK Varazdin in the HNL on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is HNK Rijeka offsides under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

NK Varazdin have conceded 10 goals, the fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far).

HNK Rijeka have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, HNK Rijeka have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.33. HNK Rijeka have scored 17 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). HNK Rijeka have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 10 clubs.

Six of NK Varazdin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of NK Varazdin’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, NK Varazdin have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. NK Varazdin have scored 15 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far).

HNK Rijeka (fifth) and NK Varazdin (third) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have HNK Rijeka the stronger side, 12 rating points above NK Varazdin (HNK Rijeka 1651, NK Varazdin 1638, after at least 227 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka.

Team news

Predicted HNK Rijeka XI (4-2-3-1): I. Vekič, A. Majstorović, A. Oreč, A. Husic, J. Lasickas, T. Dantas, S. Vignato, T. Fruk, B. Pavić, I. Ćubelić, D. Adu-Adjei — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Toni Fruk (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and four assists) and B. Pavic (3.9 per match over six appearances) have been HNK Rijeka’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Rijeka (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Toni Fruk averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 903 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. B. Pavic averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 473 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances.

Predicted NK Varazdin XI (4-2-3-1): J. Silic, M. Mladenovski, N. Tepsic, G. Sikošek, F. Maglica, I. Canjuga, L. Mamić, I. Tavares, T. Duvnjak, M. Marina, A. Latkovic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ivan Canjuga (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Ivan Mamut (4.3 per match over five appearances, two goals and two assists) have been NK Varazdin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NK Varazdin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ivan Canjuga averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 944 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ivan Mamut averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 404 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · HNL · Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): HNK Rijeka 2 · draws 0 · NK Varazdin 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: HNK Rijeka 2W 1D 2L · NK Varazdin 1W 2D 2L

HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin (HNL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHNK Rijeka for / againstLineNK Varazdin for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 14.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 3 against n 8

HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka Goalkeeper

HNK Rijeka — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Vekič790630 min192.7 /9030.4 /9000 /90
A. Todorović590450 min173.4 /90112.2 /9000 /90
HNK Rijeka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Vekič n 790
2.76/2
A. Todorović n 790.4
2.85/2

HNK Rijeka Defensive

HNK Rijeka — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Majstorović12901080 min161.3 /90191.6 /9050.4 /90574.8 /90181.5 /9030.3 /90
A. Oreč1184923 min323.1 /90111.1 /9000 /90525.1 /90202 /9000 /90
A. Husic988792 min161.8 /90131.5 /9020.2 /90263 /90111.3 /9010.1 /90
J. Lasickas982737 min121.5 /9060.7 /9000 /90374.5 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90
M. Devetak770488 min81.5 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90163 /9081.5 /9000 /90
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HNK Rijeka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Majstorović n 890
1.97/4
16/2
—
Tiago Dantas n 886
0.11/0
0.96/1
—
D. Adu-Adjei n 873.1
0.84/1
1.77/3
—
A. Oreč n 890
2.17/6
1.45/4
—
T. Fruk n 878
13/2
1.76/4
—
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HNK Rijeka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Majstorović n 890
15/2
Tiago Dantas n 886
0.74/1
D. Adu-Adjei n 873.1
1.16/1
A. Oreč n 890
3.17/7
T. Fruk n 878
14/2
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HNK Rijeka Attacking

HNK Rijeka — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Adu-Adjei1269829 min50.5 /9030.3 /90151.6 /90111.2 /90121.3 /9020.2 /90
J. Puljić741284 min10.3 /9000 /9061.9 /9041.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Y. Kabadayı427109 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9032.5 /90
Tiago Dantas1282980 min30.3 /9020.2 /90111 /9060.6 /90232.1 /9050.5 /90
T. Fruk1181889 min30.3 /9040.4 /90303 /90101 /90232.3 /90151.5 /90
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HNK Rijeka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Majstorović n 890
0.93/3
0.42/1
Tiago Dantas n 886
1.45/4
0.84/2
D. Adu-Adjei n 873.1
1.77/1
1.13/1
A. Oreč n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Fruk n 878
3.38/7
14/2
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HNK Rijeka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Majstorović n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Dantas n 886
0.43/0
00/0
D. Adu-Adjei n 873.1
0.63/1
0.52/1
A. Oreč n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Fruk n 878
0.32/0
0.42/1
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NK Varazdin

NK Varazdin Goalkeeper

NK Varazdin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Silic1190990 min393.5 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
NK Varazdin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Varazdin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Silic n 890
3.47/4

NK Varazdin Defensive

NK Varazdin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Mario Mladenovski1185939 min131.2 /90141.3 /9080.8 /90424 /9080.8 /9000 /90
N. Tepsic1179873 min222.3 /90131.3 /9070.7 /90434.4 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
G. Sikošek1075754 min172 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90425 /9081 /9030.4 /90
F. Maglica986773 min192.2 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90435 /90101.2 /9030.3 /90
E. Duraković451203 min31.3 /9031.3 /9000 /902310.2 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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NK Varazdin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Varazdin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Silic n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
I. Canjuga n 884.3
1.34/3
2.78/6
—
Mario Mladenovski n 889.3
0.96/1
0.31/1
—
N. Tepsic n 889.3
0.54/0
1.15/3
—
Aleksa Latkovic n 880.8
1.57/4
1.57/2
—
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NK Varazdin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Varazdin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Canjuga n 884.3
0.95/2
Mario Mladenovski n 889.3
1.36/3
N. Tepsic n 889.3
2.36/5
Aleksa Latkovic n 880.8
0.75/0
G. Sikošek n 874.9
2.36/4
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NK Varazdin Attacking

NK Varazdin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Vuk626154 min00 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9052.9 /9042.3 /90
I. Mamut581404 min20.4 /9020.4 /9092 /9040.9 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90
Emma Uchegbu527134 min00 /9000 /9053.4 /9021.3 /9000 /9042.7 /90
S. Jurić362187 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.4 /9000 /90
V. Akrap32369 min11.3 /9000 /9045.2 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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NK Varazdin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Varazdin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Silic n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Canjuga n 884.3
1.27/1
0.32/0
Mario Mladenovski n 889.3
0.64/1
0.32/0
N. Tepsic n 889.3
0.32/0
00/0
Aleksa Latkovic n 880.8
1.86/4
0.84/2
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NK Varazdin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Varazdin before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Silic n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Canjuga n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Mario Mladenovski n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
N. Tepsic n 889.3
00/0
00/0
Aleksa Latkovic n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HNK RijekaDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
NK VarazdinDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
HNK Rijeka 2 · 0 draws · NK Varazdin 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-16 NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2026-04-22 NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2026-02-14 HNK Rijeka 3–1 NK Varazdin
  • 2025-11-09 NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2025-08-24 HNK Rijeka 1–2 NK Varazdin
  • 2025-04-13 HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin
League standing · 2026/27
HNK Rijeka#5 pos17 pts10 pl+3 GD
NK Varazdin#3 pos18 pts11 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
HNK Rijeka scored1.7
NK Varazdin scored1.36
HNK Rijeka conceded1.4
NK Varazdin conceded0.91

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for HNK Rijeka v NK Varazdin is Home offsides under 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin?
In their last 6 meetings, HNK Rijeka won 2, NK Varazdin won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin?
Recent form — HNK Rijeka 2W 1D 2L; NK Varazdin 1W 2D 2L.

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