Istra 1961HNK Rijeka

Istra 1961 v HNK Rijeka prediction

HNL · · Stadion Aldo Drosina

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Istra 1961 v HNK Rijeka, HNL on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Istra 1961 host HNK Rijeka in the HNL on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Istra 1961 or HNK Rijeka (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

HNK Rijeka have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Istra 1961’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Istra 1961’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Istra 1961 have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Istra 1961 have scored 21 goals, the fourth-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Istra 1961 have conceded 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs.

Eight of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of HNK Rijeka’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, HNK Rijeka have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.63. HNK Rijeka have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). HNK Rijeka have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 10 clubs.

Istra 1961 (sixth) and HNK Rijeka (fifth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Istra 1961 the stronger side, 1 rating points above HNK Rijeka (Istra 1961 1643, HNK Rijeka 1642, after at least 335 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished HNK Rijeka 3–2 Istra 1961.

Team news

Predicted Istra 1961 XI (4-2-3-1): F. Kolić, R. Hrvatin, N. Šepić, M. Nasraoui, R. Kumar, E. Frederiksen, G. Albarracín, D. Ahmeti, D. Hodžić, N. Skafar Zuzic, H. Jaganjac — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Frederiksen (6.8 per match over 12 appearances, eight goals and five assists) and H. Jaganjac (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Istra 1961’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Istra 1961 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Frederiksen averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1041 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. H. Jaganjac averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 791 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted HNK Rijeka XI (4-2-3-1): I. Vekič, A. Majstorović, A. Oreč, A. Husic, M. Devetak, T. Dantas, S. Vignato, T. Fruk, B. Pavić, I. Ćubelić, D. Adu-Adjei — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Toni Fruk (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Branko Pavić (4.0 per match over eight appearances) have been HNK Rijeka’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Rijeka (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Toni Fruk averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 993 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Branko Pavić averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 702 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · HNL · Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Istra 1961 2 · draws 2 · HNK Rijeka 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Istra 1961 2W 1D 2L · HNK Rijeka 2W 1D 2L

Istra 1961 v HNK Rijeka (HNL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.88 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIstra 1961 for / againstLineHNK Rijeka for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 8.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8

Istra 1961

Istra 1961 Goalkeeper

Istra 1961 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Kolić12901080 min433.6 /90151.3 /9010.1 /90
Istra 1961 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Kolić n 890
3.27/7

Istra 1961 Defensive

Istra 1961 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Hrvatin1279949 min242.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90474.5 /90161.5 /9020.2 /90
M. Nasraoui990809 min151.7 /90161.8 /9060.7 /90404.4 /9080.9 /9000 /90
Niko Šepić987781 min172 /90182.1 /9020.2 /90374.3 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
R. Kumar890720 min91.1 /90111.4 /90101.3 /90263.3 /9020.3 /9000 /90
S. Miettinen690539 min91.5 /90193.2 /9050.8 /90325.3 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
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Istra 1961 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kolić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
E. Frederiksen n 885.1
0.84/2
0.95/2
—
R. Hrvatin n 887.6
1.46/4
0.86/0
—
N. Skafar Zuzic n 854.6
0.83/1
3.97/6
—
G. Albarracín n 870.9
2.16/4
2.17/4
—
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Istra 1961 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Frederiksen n 885.1
0.95/2
R. Hrvatin n 887.6
2.38/7
N. Skafar Zuzic n 854.6
2.78/3
G. Albarracín n 870.9
2.76/4
D. Ahmeti n 869.1
1.35/3
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Istra 1961 Attacking

Istra 1961 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Jaganjac1079791 min50.6 /9010.1 /90171.9 /9080.9 /90141.6 /90161.8 /90
Isaac757400 min10.2 /9000 /90122.7 /9051.1 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
V. Rozić741290 min00 /9000 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9051.6 /90
S. Goričan21938 min00 /9000 /9024.7 /9024.7 /9012.4 /9000 /90
D. Celija12929 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.1 /90
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Istra 1961 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kolić n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Frederiksen n 885.1
1.95/5
0.94/2
R. Hrvatin n 887.6
0.53/1
00/0
N. Skafar Zuzic n 854.6
1.24/2
0.83/1
G. Albarracín n 870.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Istra 1961 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kolić n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Frederiksen n 885.1
0.52/1
0.54/0
R. Hrvatin n 887.6
00/0
00/0
N. Skafar Zuzic n 854.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Albarracín n 870.9
00/0
00/0
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HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka Goalkeeper

HNK Rijeka — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Vekič890720 min202.5 /9030.4 /9000 /90
A. Todorović590450 min173.4 /90112.2 /9000 /90
HNK Rijeka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Vekič n 890
2.56/2
A. Todorović n 790.4
2.85/2

HNK Rijeka Defensive

HNK Rijeka — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Majstorović13901170 min171.3 /90201.5 /9050.4 /90624.8 /90191.5 /9030.2 /90
A. Oreč12841013 min353.1 /90121.1 /9000 /90575.1 /90232 /9010.1 /90
A. Husic1088882 min181.8 /90151.5 /9020.2 /90282.9 /90121.2 /9020.2 /90
J. Lasickas982737 min121.5 /9060.7 /9000 /90374.5 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90
M. Devetak871568 min91.4 /9040.6 /9010.2 /90203.2 /9091.4 /9000 /90
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HNK Rijeka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Majstorović n 890
1.67/3
1.16/2
—
Tiago Dantas n 886
0.11/0
0.85/1
—
D. Adu-Adjei n 875.1
0.74/1
1.57/2
—
A. Oreč n 890
2.47/7
1.15/3
—
T. Fruk n 878.9
0.62/1
1.96/5
—
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HNK Rijeka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Majstorović n 890
0.85/1
Tiago Dantas n 886
0.43/0
D. Adu-Adjei n 875.1
1.37/2
A. Oreč n 890
3.17/7
T. Fruk n 878.9
1.15/2
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HNK Rijeka Attacking

HNK Rijeka — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Adu-Adjei1370909 min50.5 /9030.3 /90171.7 /90111.1 /90131.3 /9020.2 /90
J. Puljić741284 min10.3 /9000 /9061.9 /9041.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Y. Kabadayı427109 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9032.5 /90
Tiago Dantas13821070 min30.3 /9020.2 /90110.9 /9060.5 /90242 /9060.5 /90
T. Fruk1282979 min40.4 /9040.4 /90383.5 /90121.1 /90262.4 /90161.5 /90
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HNK Rijeka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Majstorović n 890
0.62/2
0.11/0
Tiago Dantas n 886
1.45/4
0.84/2
D. Adu-Adjei n 875.1
1.87/2
0.92/1
A. Oreč n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Fruk n 878.9
4.18/7
1.35/3
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HNK Rijeka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Rijeka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Majstorović n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Dantas n 886
0.43/0
00/0
D. Adu-Adjei n 875.1
0.42/1
0.42/1
A. Oreč n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Fruk n 878.9
0.43/0
0.42/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Istra 1961 v HNK Rijeka — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Istra 1961LWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
HNK RijekaWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Istra 1961 2 · 2 draws · HNK Rijeka 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-23 HNK Rijeka 3–2 Istra 1961
  • 2026-05-17 Istra 1961 0–0 HNK Rijeka
  • 2026-03-15 HNK Rijeka 0–2 Istra 1961
  • 2026-01-20 Istra 1961 1–2 HNK Rijeka
  • 2025-09-27 HNK Rijeka 0–0 Istra 1961
  • 2025-04-19 Istra 1961 2–0 HNK Rijeka
League standing · 2026/27
Istra 1961#6 pos16 pts12 pl+3 GD
HNK Rijeka#5 pos18 pts11 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Istra 1961 scored1.75
HNK Rijeka scored1.64
Istra 1961 conceded1.5
HNK Rijeka conceded1.36

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Istra 1961 v HNK Rijeka?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Istra 1961 v HNK Rijeka is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and HNK Rijeka?
In their last 6 meetings, Istra 1961 won 2, HNK Rijeka won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Istra 1961 and HNK Rijeka?
Recent form — Istra 1961 2W 1D 2L; HNK Rijeka 2W 1D 2L.

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