NK Slaven Belupo v Istra 1961 prediction

HNL · Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT · Gradski Stadion

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 03:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: NK Slaven Belupo · Istra 1961 · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for NK Slaven Belupo v Istra 1961, HNL on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.60 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

NK Slaven Belupo host Istra 1961 in the HNL on Friday 30 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

10 of NK Slaven Belupo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of NK Slaven Belupo’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, NK Slaven Belupo have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 2.14. NK Slaven Belupo have scored 14 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). NK Slaven Belupo have conceded 23 goals, the second-most of the 10 clubs.

Nine of Istra 1961’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Istra 1961’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Istra 1961 have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.43. Istra 1961 have scored 19 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Istra 1961 have conceded 18 goals, the third-most of the 10 clubs.

NK Slaven Belupo (seventh) and Istra 1961 (sixth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have NK Slaven Belupo the stronger side, 15 rating points above Istra 1961 (NK Slaven Belupo 1579, Istra 1961 1564, after at least 335 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Istra 1961 3–0 NK Slaven Belupo.

Team news

Predicted NK Slaven Belupo XI (4-2-3-1): K. Sentić, D. Kovačić, F. Krušelj, J. Mersinaj, I. Urata, J. Mitrović, A. Adeshina, L. Banovec, L. Bošnjak, L. Crepulja, I. Nestorovski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Mitrović (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and two assists) and I. Nestorovski (4.6 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been NK Slaven Belupo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NK Slaven Belupo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Mitrović averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 932 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. I. Nestorovski averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 823 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Istra 1961 XI (4-2-3-1): F. Kolić, R. Kumar, R. Hrvatin, N. Šepić, M. Nasraoui, E. Frederiksen, G. AlbarracÃn, D. Ahmeti, D. Doumbia, D. Hodžić, Isaac — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Frederiksen (6.9 per match over 11 appearances, eight goals and four assists) and H. Jaganjac (5.0 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Istra 1961’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Istra 1961 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Frederiksen averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 952 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. H. Jaganjac averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 719 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT · HNL · Gradski Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): NK Slaven Belupo 2 · draws 2 · Istra 1961 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: NK Slaven Belupo 2W 1D 2L · Istra 1961 2W 1D 2L

NK Slaven Belupo v Istra 1961 (HNL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.13 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	NK Slaven Belupo for / against	Line	Istra 1961 for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

NK Slaven Belupo

NK Slaven Belupo Goalkeeper

NK Slaven Belupo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Sentić	8	90720 min	222.8 /90	141.8 /90	00 /90
I. Čović	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90

NK Slaven Belupo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Slaven Belupo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Sentić n 8	90	2.8 7/5
I. Čović n 6	90.7	3.5 5/4

NK Slaven Belupo Defensive

NK Slaven Belupo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Kovačić	11	86946 min	191.8 /90	101 /90	90.9 /90	343.2 /90	121.1 /90	20.2 /90
F. Krušelj	8	90720 min	141.8 /90	101.3 /90	40.5 /90	253.1 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
I. Cvetko	5	90450 min	112.2 /90	61.2 /90	122.4 /90	183.6 /90	91.8 /90	00 /90
I. Urata	5	87434 min	51 /90	30.6 /90	51 /90	142.9 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
K. Išasegi	5	68342 min	82.1 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90	164.2 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90
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NK Slaven Belupo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Slaven Belupo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Kovačić n 8	87.3	1.2 4/3	0.4 3/0	—
J. Mitrović n 8	87.4	0.4 3/0	3.1 7/7	—
I. Nestorovski n 8	74.9	1.8 6/3	2.3 6/4	—
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina n 8	73.4	1.7 6/4	1.5 5/3	—
L. Banovec n 8	67.8	2.2 6/4	1.7 6/3	—
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NK Slaven Belupo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Slaven Belupo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Kovačić n 8	87.3	1.5 6/4
J. Mitrović n 8	87.4	1.4 8/2
I. Nestorovski n 8	74.9	0.3 2/0
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina n 8	73.4	3.1 6/4
L. Banovec n 8	67.8	1.2 4/3
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NK Slaven Belupo Attacking

NK Slaven Belupo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Nestorovski	11	75823 min	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	242.6 /90	101.1 /90	131.4 /90	70.8 /90
M. Dabro	9	62560 min	00 /90	30.5 /90	172.7 /90	91.4 /90	101.6 /90	50.8 /90
A. Grgić	5	56280 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	20.6 /90
L. Zahora	1	3030 min	00 /90	00 /90	13 /90	13 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Mitrović	11	85932 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	171.6 /90	90.9 /90	252.4 /90	171.6 /90
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NK Slaven Belupo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Slaven Belupo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Kovačić n 8	87.3	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
J. Mitrović n 8	87.4	1.8 8/5	0.8 5/1
I. Nestorovski n 8	74.9	3.2 7/6	1.4 5/4
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina n 8	73.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Banovec n 8	67.8	2.5 7/5	0.8 4/1
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NK Slaven Belupo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NK Slaven Belupo before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Kovačić n 8	87.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Mitrović n 8	87.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
I. Nestorovski n 8	74.9	0.9 4/2	0.3 1/1
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Banovec n 8	67.8	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Istra 1961

Istra 1961 Goalkeeper

Istra 1961 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Kolić	11	90990 min	393.5 /90	151.4 /90	10.1 /90

Istra 1961 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Kolić n 8	90	3.5 7/7

Istra 1961 Defensive

Istra 1961 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Hrvatin	11	78859 min	212.2 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90	434.5 /90	141.5 /90	10.1 /90
R. Kumar	8	90720 min	91.1 /90	111.4 /90	101.3 /90	263.3 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
M. Nasraoui	8	90719 min	131.6 /90	141.8 /90	60.8 /90	354.4 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
Niko Šepić	8	86691 min	172.2 /90	162.1 /90	10.1 /90	354.6 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
S. Miettinen	6	90539 min	91.5 /90	193.2 /90	50.8 /90	325.3 /90	101.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Istra 1961 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Kolić n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Frederiksen n 8	85.3	0.5 3/1	1.2 6/3	—
R. Hrvatin n 8	80	1.3 5/3	0.7 5/0	—
N. Skafar Zuzic n 8	53.3	0.8 3/1	3 6/5	—
G. AlbarracÃn n 8	65.3	2.1 5/4	2.2 7/4	—
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Istra 1961 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Frederiksen n 8	85.3	0.8 5/1
R. Hrvatin n 8	80	2.3 8/6
N. Skafar Zuzic n 8	53.3	2.7 8/3
G. AlbarracÃn n 8	65.3	2.9 6/4
D. Ahmeti n 8	60.4	1.3 4/3
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Istra 1961 Attacking

Istra 1961 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Jaganjac	9	80719 min	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	162 /90	81 /90	141.8 /90	141.8 /90
Isaac	6	64382 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.4 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90
S. Goričan	2	1938 min	00 /90	00 /90	24.7 /90	24.7 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
D. Celija	1	2929 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.1 /90
E. Frederiksen	11	87952 min	80.8 /90	40.4 /90	262.5 /90	141.3 /90	292.7 /90	70.7 /90
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Istra 1961 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kolić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Frederiksen n 8	85.3	2.2 6/6	1.2 5/3
R. Hrvatin n 8	80	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
N. Skafar Zuzic n 8	53.3	1.1 4/1	0.6 2/1
G. AlbarracÃn n 8	65.3	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Istra 1961 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Istra 1961 before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Kolić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Frederiksen n 8	85.3	0.7 3/1	0.4 3/0
R. Hrvatin n 8	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Skafar Zuzic n 8	53.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
G. AlbarracÃn n 8	65.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind NK Slaven Belupo v Istra 1961 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NK Slaven BelupoLDWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

Istra 1961WLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

NK Slaven Belupo 2 · 2 draws · Istra 1961 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-08-15 Istra 1961 3–0 NK Slaven Belupo
2026-05-04 Istra 1961 3–1 NK Slaven Belupo
2026-02-27 NK Slaven Belupo 1–0 Istra 1961
2025-11-29 Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo
2025-09-12 NK Slaven Belupo 2–1 Istra 1961
2025-04-28 Istra 1961 1–1 NK Slaven Belupo

League standing · 2026/27

NK Slaven Belupo#7 pos13 pts11 pl-9 GD

Istra 1961#6 pos13 pts11 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

NK Slaven Belupo scored1.27

Istra 1961 scored1.73

NK Slaven Belupo conceded2.09

Istra 1961 conceded1.64

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win NK Slaven Belupo v Istra 1961?: TACTIX’s free model pick for NK Slaven Belupo v Istra 1961 is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961?: In their last 6 meetings, NK Slaven Belupo won 2, Istra 1961 won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961?: Recent form — NK Slaven Belupo 2W 1D 2L; Istra 1961 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 03:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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