Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka prediction
Team pages: Machida Zelvia · Avispa Fukuoka
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home saves over 1.5 the free pick for Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka, J1 League on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 08:00 BST.
The match
Machida Zelvia host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 08:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Machida Zelvia saves over 1.5, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Machida Zelvia are unbeaten in their last 11 matches. Machida Zelvia have scored in six consecutive matches. Three of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (20%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in five of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Machida Zelvia have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.13. Machida Zelvia have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Machida Zelvia have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Six of Avispa Fukuoka’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Avispa Fukuoka’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Avispa Fukuoka have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Avispa Fukuoka have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Avispa Fukuoka have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Machida Zelvia (third) and Avispa Fukuoka (17th) are 13 points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Machida Zelvia the stronger side, 281 rating points above Avispa Fukuoka (Machida Zelvia 1733, Avispa Fukuoka 1452, after at least 96 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Machida Zelvia are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Avispa Fukuoka, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 18 October 2025, finished Machida Zelvia 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · J1 League · Machida GION Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Machida Zelvia 1 · draws 3 · Avispa Fukuoka 0 · 1.75 goals/game
- Recent form: Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L · Avispa Fukuoka 1W 3D 1L
Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Machida Zelvia for / against | Line | Avispa Fukuoka for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.29 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.29 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.86 for · 9.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.75 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.29 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Machida Zelvia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuwayama n 8 | 22 | 3.1 | 0.5 | — |
| Mitchell Duke n 8 | 74.3 | 3 | 1.4 | — |
| Keiya Sento n 8 | 39.4 | 2.3 | 2 | — |
| Kotaro Hayashi n 8 | 60.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Shota Fujio n 8 | 46.5 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tete Yengi n 8 | 54.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| T. Nishimura n 8 | 49.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Shota Fujio n 8 | 46.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Mitchell Duke n 8 | 74.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Keiya Sento n 8 | 39.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuwayama n 8 | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke n 8 | 74.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Hokuto Shimoda n 8 | 58.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Sang-Ho Na n 8 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Tete Yengi n 8 | 54.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Neta Lavi n 8 | 69.1 | 3.7 |
| Henry Heroki Mochizuki n 8 | 25.8 | 2.2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki n 8 | 59.4 | 2.1 |
| Gen Shoji n 8 | 83.8 | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Mae n 8 | 82.6 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kosei Tani n 8 | 93.8 | 3.7 |
| Tatsuya Morita n 3 | 90 | 0.7 |
Avispa Fukuoka
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdel Hanan Sani Brown n 8 | 18.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | — |
| Keiya Shiihashi n 8 | 58.3 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| Daiki Miya n 8 | 42.4 | 2.1 | 0 | — |
| Nara Tatsuki n 8 | 78 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| Kohei Okuno n 8 | 40.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sato n 8 | 28.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Abdel Hanan Sani Brown n 8 | 18.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| Shosei Usui n 8 | 81 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Tomoya Miki n 8 | 84.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Shintaro Nago n 8 | 69 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shosei Usui n 8 | 81 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Yu Hashimoto n 8 | 64.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Abdel Hanan Sani Brown n 8 | 18.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Tomoya Miki n 8 | 84.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| K. Maeda n 4 | 59.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Maeda n 4 | 59.8 | 3.4 |
| Tomoya Miki n 8 | 84.1 | 2.3 |
| Maejima Yota n 8 | 84 | 1.6 |
| Nara Tatsuki n 8 | 78 | 1.6 |
| Keiya Shiihashi n 8 | 58.3 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kazuki Fujita n 8 | 90 | 1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-18 Machida Zelvia 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka
- 2025-03-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Machida Zelvia
- 2024-09-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Machida Zelvia
- 2024-06-22 Machida Zelvia 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka is Home saves over 1.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka?
- In their last 4 meetings, Machida Zelvia won 1, Avispa Fukuoka won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka?
- Recent form — Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L; Avispa Fukuoka 1W 3D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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