Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse prediction
Team pages: Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Shimizu S-pulse · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse, J1 League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 06:00 BST.
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 06:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win.
The key numbers
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 0.88. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).
Eight of Shimizu S-pulse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Shimizu S-pulse’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Shimizu S-pulse have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.43. Shimizu S-pulse have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Shimizu S-pulse have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Sanfrecce Hiroshima (second) and Shimizu S-pulse (10th) are seven points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sanfrecce Hiroshima the stronger side, 308 rating points above Shimizu S-pulse (Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1761, Shimizu S-pulse 1453, after at least 268 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Shimizu S-pulse are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · J1 League · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 · draws 4 · Shimizu S-pulse 1 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5W 0D 0L · Shimizu S-pulse 1W 2D 2L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sanfrecce Hiroshima for / against | Line | Shimizu S-pulse for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.63 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kinoshita Kosuke n 8 | 34.8 | 3.6 | 1.6 | — |
| D. Suga n 8 | 37.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | — |
| Ryo Germain n 8 | 38.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| A. Suzuki n 8 | 65.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Kim Ju-Sung n 8 | 54.5 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ayukawa n 8 | 47.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| M. Kato n 8 | 35.1 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Y. Chajima n 8 | 26.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Kinoshita Kosuke n 8 | 34.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| A. Suzuki n 8 | 65.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Suzuki n 8 | 65.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| M. Kato n 8 | 35.1 | 1 | 0 |
| S. Higashi n 8 | 82.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
| Y. Chajima n 8 | 26.1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Mutsuki Kato n 8 | 53.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Nakajima n 8 | 42.5 | 2.6 |
| N. Maeda n 8 | 26.3 | 2.6 |
| H. Kawabe n 8 | 88.4 | 2 |
| S. Sasaki n 8 | 82.1 | 1.9 |
| M. Kato n 8 | 35.1 | 1.9 |
Shimizu S-pulse
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryo Germain n 8 | 38.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Kazuki Kozuka n 8 | 42.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 | — |
| K. Inoue n 8 | 61.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Se-hun Oh n 8 | 52.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi n 8 | 76 | 1.6 | 0.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kitagawa n 8 | 65.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Se-hun Oh n 8 | 52.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Capixaba n 8 | 57.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Kanta Chiba n 8 | 31.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| K. Matsuzaki n 8 | 59 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Masaki Yumiba n 8 | 68.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Yutaka Yoshida n 8 | 68.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| K. Kitagawa n 8 | 65.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| K. Matsuzaki n 8 | 59 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Se-hun Oh n 8 | 52.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Zento Uno n 8 | 63.4 | 3.9 |
| Mateus Brunetti n 8 | 86.4 | 3.3 |
| Masaki Yumiba n 8 | 68.4 | 2.3 |
| Ryo Germain n 8 | 38.5 | 1.8 |
| Kanta Chiba n 8 | 31.5 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Togo Umeda n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse
- 2026-03-22 Shimizu S-pulse 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- 2025-08-10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Shimizu S-pulse
- 2025-02-26 Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- 2022-09-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shimizu S-pulse
- 2022-04-29 Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-pulse?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1, Shimizu S-pulse won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-pulse?
- Recent form — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5W 0D 0L; Shimizu S-pulse 1W 2D 2L.
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