Urawa v V-varen Nagasaki prediction
Team pages: Urawa · V-varen Nagasaki
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home offsides under 2.5 the free pick for Urawa v V-varen Nagasaki, J1 League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 06:00 GMT.
The match
Urawa host V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 06:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Urawa offsides under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Urawa have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).
Form and the table
Five of Urawa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Urawa’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Urawa have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.25. Urawa have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far).
Seven of V-varen Nagasaki’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of V-varen Nagasaki’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, V-varen Nagasaki have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.38. V-varen Nagasaki have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). V-varen Nagasaki have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Urawa (11th) and V-varen Nagasaki (14th) are three points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Urawa the stronger side, 141 rating points above V-varen Nagasaki (Urawa 1604, V-varen Nagasaki 1463, after at least 57 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 5 August 2018, finished Urawa 0–0 V-varen Nagasaki.
Team news
Predicted Urawa XI (4-4-2): S. Nishikawa, D. Boza, K. Kudo, Y. Miyamoto, K. Nemoto, T. Seko, K. Yasui, Y. Naganuma, M. Yamane, H. Komori, T. Kaneko — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Predicted V-varen Nagasaki XI (3-4-2-1): G. Masaaki, A. Ikki, K. Doi, T. Ominami, Y. Hotaru, S. Yoneda, A. Masuyama, M. Hasegawa, K. Yasuda, O. Hijiri, M. Jesus — derived from the last 3 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Matheus Jesus (7.1 per match over three appearances, one goal and two assists) and Goto Masaaki (3.4 per match over three appearances) have been V-varen Nagasaki’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for V-varen Nagasaki (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Matheus Jesus averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 270 minutes. Goto Masaaki averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · J1 League · Saitama Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Urawa 0 · draws 2 · V-varen Nagasaki 0 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Urawa 2W 1D 2L · V-varen Nagasaki 3W 1D 1L
Urawa v V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Urawa for / against | Line | V-varen Nagasaki for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.75 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.63 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.75 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 7 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Urawa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takahiro Sekine n 8 | 46.9 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| Kaito Yasui n 8 | 82.8 | 2 | 1.1 | — |
| Kotaro Hayashi n 8 | 58.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| T. Seko n 8 | 76.8 | 1.3 | 2.9 | — |
| J. Hayakawa n 8 | 29.3 | 1.2 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Sávio n 8 | 62.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Shoya Nakajima n 8 | 50.8 | 2 | 0.9 |
| Ado Onaiwu n 8 | 37.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Hiiro Komori n 8 | 50.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Renji Hidano n 8 | 44.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hayakawa n 8 | 29.3 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Takuro Kaneko n 8 | 66.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Shoya Nakajima n 8 | 50.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Kenta Nemoto n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Kaito Yasui n 8 | 82.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Takahiro Sekine n 8 | 46.9 | 2.9 |
| Ueki Hayate n 6 | 47 | 2.6 |
| J. Hayakawa n 8 | 29.3 | 1.9 |
| Miki Yamane n 8 | 70.6 | 1.6 |
| Matheus Sávio n 8 | 62.5 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Shusaku Nishikawa n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
V-varen Nagasaki
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yamasaki Ryogo n 8 | 24.3 | 2.8 | 1.4 | — |
| Jonathan n 7 | 64.9 | 2.6 | 2.8 | — |
| Riku Yamada n 8 | 60.9 | 2.2 | 0.2 | — |
| K. Doi n 8 | 77.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Y. Egawa n 8 | 69.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yasuda n 8 | 43.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| Matheus Jesus n 8 | 81.9 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Thiago Santana n 8 | 63.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Yamasaki Ryogo n 8 | 24.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Tsubasa Kasayanagi n 8 | 74.3 | 2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yasuda n 8 | 43.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Matheus Jesus n 8 | 81.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Tsubasa Kasayanagi n 8 | 74.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Thiago Santana n 8 | 63.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Yamasaki Ryogo n 8 | 24.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Takuma Ominami n 8 | 68.4 | 2.6 |
| Onaga Hijiri n 8 | 77.6 | 2.2 |
| Masahiro Sekiguchi n 8 | 86.9 | 2.1 |
| Asahi Masuyama n 8 | 58.1 | 1.9 |
| S. Yoneda n 3 | 85.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Goto Masaaki n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Urawa v V-varen Nagasaki — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2018-08-05 Urawa 0–0 V-varen Nagasaki
- 2018-03-10 V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Urawa
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Urawa v V-varen Nagasaki?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Urawa v V-varen Nagasaki is Home offsides under 2.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Urawa and V-varen Nagasaki?
- In their last 2 meetings, Urawa won 0, V-varen Nagasaki won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Urawa and V-varen Nagasaki?
- Recent form — Urawa 2W 1D 2L; V-varen Nagasaki 3W 1D 1L.
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