Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière, Jupiler Pro League on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 158 of 237 times (66.7%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Charleroi host RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 18:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Charleroi to win.

The key numbers

12 of RAAL La Louvière’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Five of Charleroi’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Charleroi’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Charleroi have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14. Charleroi have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Charleroi have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in six of RAAL La Louvière’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, RAAL La Louvière have no wins, no draws and seven defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.29 and conceding 2.71. RAAL La Louvière have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). RAAL La Louvière have conceded 18 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Charleroi (fourth) and RAAL La Louvière (14th) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Charleroi the stronger side, 250 rating points above RAAL La Louvière (Charleroi 1706, RAAL La Louvière 1456, after at least 44 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 November 2025, finished Charleroi 0–0 RAAL La Louvière.

Team news

Predicted Charleroi XI (4-2-3-1): M. Koné, C. Keita, M. Nzita, K. Van Den Kerkhof, A. Ousou, J. Romsaas, Y. Khalifi, P. Pflücke, A. Boukamir, F. Situmona Mbemba, A. Scheidler — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (5.4 per match over nine appearances, one goal and three assists) and Kevin Van Den Kerkhof (5.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Charleroi’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Charleroi (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jakob Napoleon Romsaas averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances. Kevin Van Den Kerkhof averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 786 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted RAAL La Louvière XI (3-5-1-1): M. Peano, W. Faye, D. Lamego, Y. Okou, I. Coulibaly, M. Courcoul, M. Wade, S. Delos, A. Tajaouart, J. Ito, M. Isah — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mustapha Isah (5.6 per match over four appearances, three goals) and Nolan Gillot (4.7 per match over five appearances, three goals) have been RAAL La Louvière’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RAAL La Louvière (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mustapha Isah averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1257 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Charleroi 0 · draws 1 · RAAL La Louvière 1 · 0.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Charleroi 4W 0D 1L · RAAL La Louvière 3W 0D 2L

Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière (Jupiler Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.57 / 3.43
Corners
against 5.14 / 5.14 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.29 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 5.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 3
Cards
against 1.43 / 1.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCharleroi for / againstLineRAAL La Louvière for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 5.14 against n 7
9.5standard
3.43 for · 5.14 against n 7
Shots
15.71 for · 11.43 against n 7
19.5standard
13.14 for · 15.14 against n 7
Shots on target
5.29 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.29 for · 5.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.29 for · 15 against n 7
21.5standard
13.71 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
3 for · 1.57 against n 7

Charleroi

Charleroi Goalkeeper

Charleroi — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Mohamed Koné890720 min202.5 /90101.3 /9000 /90
Charleroi — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charleroi before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mohamed Koné n 890
2.56/3

Charleroi Defensive

Charleroi — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Mardochee Nzita988788 min252.9 /90121.4 /9010.1 /90465.3 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof987786 min232.6 /90101.1 /9020.2 /90445 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
Aiham Ousou890720 min202.5 /90131.6 /9070.9 /90405 /9091.1 /9030.4 /90
Cheick Keita890720 min172.1 /9060.8 /9091.1 /90435.4 /9060.8 /9000 /90
Triston Rowe32265 min22.8 /9011.4 /9000 /9068.3 /9011.4 /9000 /90
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Charleroi — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charleroi before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mardochee Nzita n 887.3
0.94/2
1.77/4
—
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof n 887
0.42/1
0.95/2
—
Yassine Khalifi n 884.6
0.43/0
2.18/6
—
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas n 889.5
1.37/3
15/2
—
Patrick Pflücke n 868.6
0.21/0
0.84/1
—
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Charleroi — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charleroi before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mardochee Nzita n 887.3
3.16/5
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof n 887
2.66/6
Yassine Khalifi n 884.6
1.65/3
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas n 889.5
27/5
Patrick Pflücke n 868.6
14/1
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Charleroi Attacking

Charleroi — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Aurélien Scheidler881648 min30.4 /9010.1 /90182.5 /9091.3 /9071 /9000 /90
A. Bojang529145 min00 /9000 /9042.5 /9000 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
Antoine Colassin425101 min10.9 /9010.9 /9032.7 /9032.7 /9032.7 /9032.7 /90
Yassine Khalifi985767 min00 /9000 /9030.4 /9000 /9091.1 /9030.4 /90
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas981732 min10.1 /9030.4 /90151.8 /9070.9 /90192.3 /90101.2 /90
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Charleroi — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charleroi before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mardochee Nzita n 887.3
1.27/2
0.11/0
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof n 887
1.46/2
0.62/1
Yassine Khalifi n 884.6
0.32/0
00/0
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas n 889.5
1.66/5
0.95/2
Patrick Pflücke n 868.6
2.56/4
15/1
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Charleroi — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charleroi before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mardochee Nzita n 887.3
00/0
00/0
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof n 887
0.11/0
0.32/0
Yassine Khalifi n 884.6
00/0
00/0
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas n 889.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
Patrick Pflücke n 868.6
0.21/0
0.53/0
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RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière Goalkeeper

RAAL La Louvière — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Marcos Hernán Peano989802 min293.3 /90171.9 /9000 /90
RAAL La Louvière — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marcos Hernán Peano n 889
37/4

RAAL La Louvière Defensive

RAAL La Louvière — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Delos888704 min212.7 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90486.1 /90101.3 /9020.3 /90
Thierry Lutonda868545 min142.3 /9061 /9010.2 /90254.1 /9091.5 /9000 /90
P. Nkoa788615 min142 /90101.5 /90121.8 /90284.1 /9071 /9010.1 /90
Yllan Okou787612 min50.7 /9060.9 /9060.9 /90233.4 /9060.9 /9030.4 /90
Wagane Faye784589 min162.4 /90101.5 /9040.6 /90436.6 /90132 /9010.2 /90
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RAAL La Louvière — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marcos Hernán Peano n 889
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
I. Coulibaly n 880.5
1.15/2
0.32/0
—
S. Delos n 888
1.36/3
0.85/1
—
Thierry Lutonda n 868.1
1.55/4
0.21/0
—
Z. Gruber n 855.5
0.83/1
1.66/2
—
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RAAL La Louvière — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Coulibaly n 880.5
2.28/5
S. Delos n 888
2.76/6
Thierry Lutonda n 868.1
2.37/5
Z. Gruber n 855.5
1.25/1
E. Filet n 855
0.63/0
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RAAL La Louvière Attacking

RAAL La Louvière — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Z. Gruber856444 min00 /9020.4 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90102 /9081.6 /90
E. Filet855440 min20.4 /9000 /9081.6 /9051 /9030.6 /9051 /90
Mustapha Isah781568 min30.5 /9000 /90101.6 /9081.3 /9071.1 /9091.4 /90
Mustapha Isah483331 min30.8 /9000 /90113 /9092.4 /9020.5 /9061.6 /90
Léandro Rousseau31958 min11.6 /9000 /9023.1 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /90
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RAAL La Louvière — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marcos Hernán Peano n 889
00/0
00/0
I. Coulibaly n 880.5
14/2
0.32/0
S. Delos n 888
0.83/2
0.11/0
Thierry Lutonda n 868.1
16/0
0.21/0
Z. Gruber n 855.5
1.87/2
0.21/0
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RAAL La Louvière — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marcos Hernán Peano n 889
00/0
0.11/0
I. Coulibaly n 880.5
00/0
00/0
S. Delos n 888
00/0
0.11/0
Thierry Lutonda n 868.1
00/0
00/0
Z. Gruber n 855.5
00/0
0.42/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CharleroiWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
RAAL La LouvièreWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Charleroi 0 · 1 draw · RAAL La Louvière 1 · 0.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Charleroi 0–0 RAAL La Louvière
  • 2025-08-10 RAAL La Louvière 1–0 Charleroi
League standing · 2026/27
Charleroi#4 pos21 pts9 pl+6 GD
RAAL La Louvière#14 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Charleroi scored1.78
RAAL La Louvière scored1.22
Charleroi conceded1.11
RAAL La Louvière conceded2

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière?
In their last 2 meetings, Charleroi won 0, RAAL La Louvière won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière?
Recent form — Charleroi 4W 0D 1L; RAAL La Louvière 3W 0D 2L.

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