Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Jan Breydel Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Club Brugge KV · St. Truiden · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden, Jupiler Pro League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 214 landed (95% range 72–83.1%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 141 of 207 times (68.1%), against an average rating of 68.3%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Club Brugge KV host St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Club Brugge KV to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Club Brugge KV have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Club Brugge KV have won their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Club Brugge KV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in six of Club Brugge KV’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Club Brugge KV have eight wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 2.78 and conceding 0.44. Club Brugge KV have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Club Brugge KV have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of St. Truiden’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of St. Truiden’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, St. Truiden have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 2.83. St. Truiden have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). St. Truiden have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Club Brugge KV (second) and St. Truiden (12th) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Club Brugge KV the stronger side, 511 rating points above St. Truiden (Club Brugge KV 1993, St. Truiden 1482, after at least 314 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Club Brugge KV 2–0 St. Truiden.

Team news

Predicted Club Brugge KV XI (4-2-3-1): Y. Sommer, B. Mechele, J. Seys, L. Han-Beom, K. Sabbe, F. Potts, H. Vetlesen, H. Vanaken, C. Forbs, M. Diakhon, N. Tresoldi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carlos Forbs (5.7 per match over nine appearances, two goals and five assists) and Nicolò Tresoldi (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, eight goals) have been Club Brugge KV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Club Brugge KV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carlos Forbs averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 751 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances. Nicolò Tresoldi averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 784 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted St. Truiden XI (4-4-2): L. Kokubo, T. Hata, V. Musliu, R. Vanwesemael, S. Taniguchi, I. Sebaoui, A. Sissako, R. Merlen, R. Araki, S. Baždar, N. Mbuku — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Sebaoui (5.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals and three assists) and Ryan Merlen (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been St. Truiden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for St. Truiden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Sebaoui averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 798 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Ryan Merlen averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 704 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.

The referee

N. Verboomen takes charge; across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 4.1 yellow cards a game and 0.36 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Jan Breydel Stadion
  • Referee: N. Verboomen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Club Brugge KV 4 · draws 1 · St. Truiden 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Club Brugge KV 5W 0D 0L · St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L

Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
6 / 5.43
Corners
against 3.57 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.29 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 5.86 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.57 / 1.86
Cards
against 2.86 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.14 yellows
Referee · N. Verboomen
1.71 home / 2.43 away
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameClub Brugge KV for / againstLineSt. Truiden for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.75our book
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
17.29 for · 17.71 against n 7
19.5standard
16.14 for · 11.57 against n 7
Shots on target
6.29 for · 5.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.43 for · 4.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 11.14 against n 7
21.5standard
12.57 for · 10.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.57 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: N. Verboomen — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 21.5 fouls over 14 matches (1.71 to the home side, 2.43 to the away side).

Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Tsawa n 836.8
2.44/1
1.83/2
—
J. Spileers n 833.8
2.34/3
00/0
—
F. Lemaréchal n 825.6
1.83/1
0.41/0
—
R. Vermant n 827.1
1.74/0
2.94/2
—
F. Potts n 889
1.36/2
1.16/3
—
Club Brugge KV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Vermant n 827.1
56/3
2.95/2
N. Tresoldi n 877
2.97/6
1.24/2
Jan Virgili n 862.5
2.27/3
1.14/2
Carlos Forbs n 882.6
1.97/5
16/1
A. Vasovic n 867.4
1.85/3
0.51/1
Club Brugge KV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Tresoldi n 877
0.94/1
00/0
R. Vermant n 827.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
Carlos Forbs n 882.6
0.11/0
0.74/1
Jan Virgili n 862.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
H. Vetlesen n 875.3
0.63/1
00/0
Club Brugge KV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Lemaréchal n 825.6
3.54/1
K. Sabbe n 873.9
2.47/5
C. Tsawa n 836.8
2.45/3
J. Seys n 887.3
2.28/6
B. Mechele n 890
1.96/4
Club Brugge KV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Sommer n 890
4.38/5
St. Truiden
St. Truiden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
3.36/5
1.75/2
—
N. Mbuku n 843.3
2.34/2
2.96/3
—
Samed Baždar n 860.5
26/4
0.94/1
—
S. Taniguchi n 869.4
1.56/2
0.32/0
—
K. Matsuzawa n 843.9
1.54/2
1.33/1
—
St. Truiden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Samed Baždar n 860.5
3.37/6
1.35/2
N. Mbuku n 843.3
3.15/3
1.35/0
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
2.58/6
0.64/1
Oumar Diouf n 824.4
2.34/1
0.92/0
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 862.3
1.86/3
0.94/1
St. Truiden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Samed Baždar n 860.5
0.93/2
0.21/0
R. Merlen n 879.5
0.42/1
0.63/1
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
0.32/0
0.42/1
Frederic Soelle Soelle n 862.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
K. Matsuzawa n 843.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
St. Truiden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nelson Ishiwatari n 851.9
5.68/5
W. Janssens n 831.1
3.37/2
N. Mbuku n 843.3
2.65/3
V. Musliu n 881.1
2.57/6
K. Takai n 853.6
2.37/3
St. Truiden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Kokubo n 884.4
3.14/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Club Brugge KVWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 1 conceded per game
St. TruidenLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Club Brugge KV 4 · 1 draw · St. Truiden 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Club Brugge KV 2–0 St. Truiden
  • 2026-04-11 St. Truiden 1–2 Club Brugge KV
  • 2025-12-06 St. Truiden 3–2 Club Brugge KV
  • 2025-09-21 Club Brugge KV 2–0 St. Truiden
  • 2025-02-15 St. Truiden 2–2 Club Brugge KV
  • 2024-11-23 Club Brugge KV 7–0 St. Truiden
League standing · 2026/27
Club Brugge KV#2 pos21 pts8 pl+15 GD
St. Truiden#12 pos8 pts8 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Club Brugge KV scored2.38
St. Truiden scored1.88
Club Brugge KV conceded0.5
St. Truiden conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Club Brugge KV v St. Truiden is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden?
In their last 6 meetings, Club Brugge KV won 4, St. Truiden won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Club Brugge KV and St. Truiden?
Recent form — Club Brugge KV 5W 0D 0L; St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L.

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