Kortrijk v KV Mechelen prediction

Jupiler Pro League · · Guldensporen Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Kortrijk v KV Mechelen, Jupiler Pro League on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kortrijk host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Kortrijk or KV Mechelen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Kortrijk have scored two goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Nine of Kortrijk’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Kortrijk’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Kortrijk have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Kortrijk have conceded 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

10 of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, KV Mechelen have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 2.50. KV Mechelen have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). KV Mechelen have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Kortrijk (17th) and KV Mechelen (14th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have KV Mechelen the stronger side, 104 rating points above Kortrijk (KV Mechelen 1433, Kortrijk 1329, after at least 273 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 November 2024, finished Kortrijk 3–1 KV Mechelen.

Team news

Predicted Kortrijk XI (3-4-2-1): M. Ilić, G. Ruyssen, H. Murray-Campbell, J. Ndjeungoue, B. Dejaegere, S. Campbell, B. Lambert, J. Roche, N. Mehssatou, M. Anderson, T. Ambrose — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Dejaegere (3.7 per match over eight appearances) and Jamie Roche (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Kortrijk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kortrijk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Dejaegere averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 628 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Jamie Roche averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 624 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances.

Predicted KV Mechelen XI (3-4-2-1): N. Mirás, J. Marsà, L. Marijnissen, M. Eerdhuijzen, F. Hammar, T. Koudou, D. Praet, S. Michez, B. Bafdili, D. Salifou, M. van Brederode — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. van Brederode (4.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals) and F. Hammar (4.1 per match over eight appearances) have been KV Mechelen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for KV Mechelen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. van Brederode averages 0.6 shots per 90 over 720 minutes, with a shot in three of the last eight appearances. F. Hammar averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 672 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Jupiler Pro League · Guldensporen Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kortrijk 1 · draws 0 · KV Mechelen 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kortrijk 1W 1D 3L · KV Mechelen 1W 2D 2L

Kortrijk v KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.86 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.43 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.57 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 5 / 5 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.57 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.86 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKortrijk for / againstLineKV Mechelen for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.86 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
11.57 for · 13.86 against n 7
19.5standard
11.38 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.57 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 10.43 against n 7
21.5standard
12.25 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.57 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Kortrijk
Kortrijk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Anthony Philips n 430.5
2.23/0
1.52/0
—
B. Dejaegere n 878.5
2.16/3
2.67/6
—
B. Vroninks n 852.9
2.15/4
0.93/1
—
B. Adinany n 851.9
24/3
26/3
—
Jamie Roche n 878
1.96/6
1.34/2
—
Kortrijk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Koyalipou n 865.6
3.17/4
1.25/1
S. Campbell n 864.1
36/4
0.95/0
J. Van Landschoot n 835.1
2.65/1
0.62/0
B. Adinany n 851.9
1.53/2
0.73/0
R. Štorman n 347
1.32/0
0.61/0
Kortrijk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Adinany n 851.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Anderson n 885.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
S. Campbell n 864.1
0.21/0
00/0
B. Lambert n 863
0.21/0
00/0
S. Podgoreanu n 847.3
00/0
0.21/0
Kortrijk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Anderson n 885.4
3.68/7
B. Dejaegere n 878.5
3.37/6
B. Vroninks n 852.9
36/2
J. Ndjeungoue n 869.1
2.87/5
Jamie Roche n 878
2.57/4
Kortrijk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Ilić n 890
3.47/6
P. Gunnarsson n 881.6
2.84/4
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Hammar n 884
2.47/4
1.36/2
—
S. Michez n 847.1
2.13/2
2.65/4
—
Marco Decherf n 842.5
2.15/2
0.31/0
—
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi n 738.7
24/2
3.36/3
—
M. Zekri n 845.3
1.74/2
0.72/1
—
KV Mechelen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Adeshina Ayodele n 427.3
4.13/1
3.32/1
B. Antonio n 823.8
2.45/0
0.92/0
K. Van Rafelghem n 833.9
24/1
0.31/0
Marco Decherf n 842.5
1.63/2
0.83/0
B. Raman n 840.1
1.44/1
0.82/1
KV Mechelen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marco Decherf n 842.5
0.31/0
0.52/0
Adeshina Ayodele n 427.3
0.81/0
00/0
M. van Brederode n 890
0.42/1
00/0
B. Bafdili n 831.3
00/0
0.41/0
B. Raman n 840.1
0.31/0
00/0
KV Mechelen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Hammar n 884
4.67/7
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne n 843.9
3.35/3
Dennis Praet n 873.5
2.98/7
D. Salifou n 853.4
2.76/3
S. Michez n 847.1
2.65/3
KV Mechelen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nacho Mirás n 890
2.96/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kortrijk v KV Mechelen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
KortrijkLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
KV MechelenDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kortrijk 1 · 0 draws · KV Mechelen 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2024-11-29 Kortrijk 3–1 KV Mechelen
  • 2024-10-20 KV Mechelen 3–0 Kortrijk
  • 2024-02-24 KV Mechelen 3–0 Kortrijk
  • 2023-11-26 Kortrijk 0–3 KV Mechelen
  • 2023-01-21 KV Mechelen 3–2 Kortrijk
  • 2023-01-11 Kortrijk 0–1 KV Mechelen
League standing · 2026/27
Kortrijk#17 pos3 pts8 pl-16 GD
KV Mechelen#14 pos6 pts8 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Kortrijk scored0.25
KV Mechelen scored1.13
Kortrijk conceded2.25
KV Mechelen conceded2.13

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kortrijk v KV Mechelen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kortrijk v KV Mechelen is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kortrijk and KV Mechelen?
In their last 6 meetings, Kortrijk won 1, KV Mechelen won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kortrijk and KV Mechelen?
Recent form — Kortrijk 1W 1D 3L; KV Mechelen 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →