St. Truiden v RAAL La Louvière result

Full-time · St. Truiden 4–0 RAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro League · Sat, 05 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Daio Wasabi Stayen

Updated 23 Oct 2026, 23:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: St. Truiden · RAAL La Louvière

The model’s pre-match pick

St. Truiden 4–0 RAAL La Louvière — St. Truiden won this Jupiler Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.84 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

St. Truiden beat RAAL La Louvière 4–0 at Daio Wasabi Stayen in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 5 September. RAAL La Louvière are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

St. Truiden led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — St. Truiden: Ryan Merlen (41’, assisted by Kaito Matsuzawa), Robert-Jan Vanwesemael (54’, assisted by Ryan Merlen) and Samed Baždar (73’, assisted by Abdoulaye Sissako; 78’, assisted by Kaito Matsuzawa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Merlen’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: St. Truiden 2.40, RAAL La Louvière 0.44, from 23 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

B. Verbeke showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — St. Truiden: Ilias Sebaoui (13’); RAAL La Louvière: Mustapha Isah (9’) and S. Delos (61’).

What it changes

St. Truiden move up from 10th to seventh (five league matches played). St. Truiden have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). St. Truiden have conceded 21 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

RAAL La Louvière move down from 15th to 16th (five league matches played). RAAL La Louvière have scored 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). RAAL La Louvière have conceded 23 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Abdoulaye Sissako (St. Truiden) 11.1, Ryan Merlen (St. Truiden) 11.0 and Samed Baždar (St. Truiden) 9.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

St. Truiden next host Zulte Waregem on 8 November 2026.

RAAL La Louvière next host Cercle Brugge on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for St. Truiden: St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for RAAL La Louvière: RAAL La Louvière v Cercle Brugge, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: St. Truiden 4–0 RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League
Venue: Daio Wasabi Stayen · Sint-Truiden
Referee: B. Verbeke
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): St. Truiden 2 · draws 0 · RAAL La Louvière 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: St. Truiden 2W 1D 2L · RAAL La Louvière 1W 1D 3L

St. Truiden 4–0 RAAL La Louvière (Jupiler Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.88 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.13

Corners

against 4.38 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2

Cards

against 1.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.33 yellows

Referee · B. Verbeke

22.24 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 21 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	St. Truiden for / against	Line	RAAL La Louvière for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.63 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: B. Verbeke — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.24 red cards, 22.24 fouls over 21 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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St. Truiden

St. Truiden Goalkeeper

St. Truiden — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Kokubo	4	90360 min	174.3 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90

St. Truiden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Kokubo n 8	90	3.1 4/4

St. Truiden Defensive

St. Truiden — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
V. Musliu	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	112.8 /90	20.5 /90	246 /90	41 /90	00 /90
R. Vanwesemael	4	86342 min	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
T. Hata	4	72288 min	72.2 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	113.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Pupe	3	90269 min	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	124 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
L. Mbe Soh	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	42 /90	21 /90	84 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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St. Truiden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Sebaoui n 8	82	1.5 7/3	1 4/3	—
V. Musliu n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
A. Sissako n 8	89	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
L. Kokubo n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
R. Vanwesemael n 8	87.4	0.5 3/1	0.6 3/1	—
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St. Truiden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Sissako n 8	89	2.7 7/7
I. Sebaoui n 8	82	1.1 5/3
V. Musliu n 8	90	1 5/1
R. Vanwesemael n 8	87.4	1.3 6/3
T. Hata n 8	77.3	2.6 6/6
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St. Truiden Attacking

St. Truiden — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Matsuzawa	3	2162 min	11.5 /90	00 /90	22.9 /90	11.5 /90	11.5 /90	22.9 /90
Frederic Soelle Soelle	2	82163 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90
Oumar Diouf	2	59118 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90
Samed Baždar	2	3162 min	22.9 /90	00 /90	34.4 /90	34.4 /90	34.4 /90	00 /90
A. Sissako	4	90360 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	41 /90	61.5 /90
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St. Truiden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Sebaoui n 8	82	2.3 6/4	0.7 4/1
A. Sissako n 8	89	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0
V. Musliu n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Kokubo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Vanwesemael n 8	87.4	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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St. Truiden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Sebaoui n 8	82	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
A. Sissako n 8	89	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
V. Musliu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Kokubo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Vanwesemael n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière Goalkeeper

RAAL La Louvière — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Marcos Hernán Peano	4	90360 min	133.3 /90	82 /90	00 /90

RAAL La Louvière — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Marcos Hernán Peano n 8	90	3 6/4

RAAL La Louvière Defensive

RAAL La Louvière — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Delos	4	90360 min	82 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	184.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
Wagane Faye	4	86343 min	123.1 /90	92.4 /90	10.3 /90	256.6 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
Thierry Lutonda	4	77306 min	82.4 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90	102.9 /90	61.8 /90	00 /90
Djibril Lamego	4	53210 min	41.7 /90	52.1 /90	10.4 /90	104.3 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
P. Nkoa	3	90270 min	62 /90	72.3 /90	72.3 /90	134.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
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RAAL La Louvière — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Delos n 4	90	1 3/1	0.8 3/0	—
Marcos Hernán Peano n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
I. Coulibaly n 4	89.8	1 3/1	0.3 1/0	—
Wagane Faye n 8	87.5	1.2 5/4	0.8 4/2	—
Mustapha Isah n 4	82.8	0.8 3/0	1.9 3/3	—
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RAAL La Louvière — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Delos n 4	90	2 3/3
I. Coulibaly n 4	89.8	2.8 4/3
Wagane Faye n 8	87.5	3 8/6
Mustapha Isah n 4	82.8	0.8 2/1
Thierry Lutonda n 8	62.1	2 6/4
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RAAL La Louvière Attacking

RAAL La Louvière — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mustapha Isah	4	83331 min	30.8 /90	00 /90	113 /90	92.4 /90	20.5 /90	61.6 /90
E. Filet	4	74296 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	41.2 /90
Z. Gruber	3	45135 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	32 /90	00 /90	42.7 /90	42.7 /90
Mustapha Isah	2	90179 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	63 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90
I. Coulibaly	4	90359 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90
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RAAL La Louvière — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Delos n 4	90	0.8 2/1	0.3 1/0
Marcos Hernán Peano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Coulibaly n 4	89.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Wagane Faye n 8	87.5	0.9 5/2	0.1 1/0
Mustapha Isah n 4	82.8	3 4/4	2.4 4/3
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RAAL La Louvière — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RAAL La Louvière before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Marcos Hernán Peano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Delos n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Coulibaly n 4	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wagane Faye n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Mustapha Isah n 4	82.8	0.8 3/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
St. Truiden		RAAL La Louvière
73%	Possession	27%
2.40	Expected goals (xG)	0.44
23	Shots	9
7	Shots on target	1
9	Shots off target	5
7	Blocked shots	3
20	Shots inside the box	3
12	Corners	5
0	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	11
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
693	Passes	255
89%	Pass accuracy	71%

St. Truiden Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Kokubo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
V. Musliu	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
T. Hata	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7.2
A. Sissako	90	0	2	1	0	4	2	0	8.2
R. Merlen	90	1	1	2	1	3	3	0	10
K. Matsuzawa	90	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	7.7
Samed Baždar	84	2	0	5	2	2	0	0	8
I. Sebaoui	80	0	0	2	0	1	3	Y	7.3
R. Vanwesemael	74	1	0	3	2	0	1	0	7.9
Ryotaro Araki	74	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	7.7
S. Taniguchi	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
W. Janssens sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.6
J. Pupe sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Nelson Ishiwatari sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
N. Mbuku sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Oumar Diouf sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

RAAL La Louvière Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Marcos Hernán Peano	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Yllan Okou	90	0	0	0	1	0	6
P. Nkoa	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Mehdi Boukamir	90	1	0	0	3	0	6.3
M. Courcoul	90	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
I. Coulibaly	90	2	1	1	1	0	6.3
Z. Gruber	90	2	0	1	0	0	6.3
S. Delos	74	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Mustapha Isah	74	0	0	2	1	Y	6.3
E. Filet	60	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Thierry Lutonda	59	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Nolan Gillot sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
A. Tajaouart sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Mátyás Kovács sub	16	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Léandro Rousseau sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind St. Truiden v RAAL La Louvière — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

St. TruidenDWLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

RAAL La LouvièreWLLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

St. Truiden 2 · 0 draws · RAAL La Louvière 0 · 3 goals/game

2026-01-24 RAAL La Louvière 1–2 St. Truiden
2025-08-17 St. Truiden 2–1 RAAL La Louvière

League standing · 2026/27

St. Truiden#15 pos8 pts10 pl-3 GD

RAAL La Louvière#16 pos7 pts10 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

St. Truiden scored1.8

RAAL La Louvière scored1.3

St. Truiden conceded2.1

RAAL La Louvière conceded2.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for St. Truiden v RAAL La Louvière?: TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Truiden v RAAL La Louvière was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.84 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière?: In their last 2 meetings, St. Truiden won 2, RAAL La Louvière won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière?: Recent form — St. Truiden 2W 1D 2L; RAAL La Louvière 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 23 Oct 2026, 23:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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