Daejeon CitizenIncheon United

Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United prediction

K League 1 · · Daejeon World Cup Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home offsides over 0.5 the free pick for Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United, K League 1 on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home offsides over 0.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Daejeon Citizen host Incheon United in the K League 1 on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 05:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Daejeon Citizen offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Daejeon Citizen are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Incheon United.

Form and the table

Nine of Daejeon Citizen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Daejeon Citizen’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Daejeon Citizen have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.13. Daejeon Citizen have scored 53 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Daejeon Citizen have conceded 41 goals, the fifth-most of the 12 clubs.

Six of Incheon United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Incheon United’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Incheon United have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.13. Incheon United have scored 44 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Incheon United have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Daejeon Citizen are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Incheon United are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Daejeon Citizen have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Daejeon Citizen (third) and Incheon United (fourth) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Incheon United the stronger side, 11 rating points above Daejeon Citizen (Incheon United 1753, Daejeon Citizen 1742, after at least 152 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen.

Team news

Predicted Daejeon Citizen XI (4-2-3-1): L. Chang-Geun, A. Krivotsyuk, J. Seong-Kwon, L. Myung-Jae, K. Moon-Hwan, K. Bong-Soo, L. Soon-Min, G. Ludwigson, U. Won-Sang, J. Jae-Hee, D. de Oliveira — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lee Myung-Jae (3.5 per match over 16 appearances, one goal and five assists) and Diogo de Oliveira (3.4 per match over 20 appearances, six goals and two assists) have been Daejeon Citizen’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Daejeon Citizen (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Lee Myung-Jae averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 1395 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances. Diogo de Oliveira averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 935 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Incheon United XI (4-4-2): K. Dong-Heon, J. Lee, J. Ibiza, K. Myung-Sun, K. Gun-Hee, M. Lee, J. Seo, L. Ribeiro, S. Kim, S. Mugoša, C. Lee — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Stefan Mugoša (4.9 per match over 18 appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Ju-yong Lee (3.5 per match over 19 appearances, one assist) have been Incheon United’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Incheon United (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Stefan Mugoša averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1414 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ju-yong Lee averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 1665 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · K League 1 · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Daejeon Citizen 3 · draws 2 · Incheon United 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Daejeon Citizen 2W 1D 2L · Incheon United 3W 2D 0L

Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United (K League 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.75
Corners
against 3.75 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 0.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDaejeon Citizen for / againstLineIncheon United for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 7.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 1.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8

Daejeon Citizen

Daejeon Citizen Goalkeeper

Daejeon Citizen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lee Chang-Geun21901890 min623 /9080.4 /9000 /90
Lee Jun-Seo290180 min73.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Daejeon Citizen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Daejeon Citizen before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lee Chang-Geun n 890
2.97/4

Daejeon Citizen Defensive

Daejeon Citizen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jo Seong-Kwon18881592 min211.2 /90201.1 /90100.6 /90784.4 /90211.2 /9050.3 /90
Kang Yun-Sung17801358 min372.5 /90201.3 /9040.3 /90694.6 /90191.3 /9030.2 /90
Lee Myung-Jae16871395 min151 /9060.4 /9050.3 /90352.3 /9060.4 /9000 /90
A. Krivotsyuk16841336 min161.1 /90181.2 /9030.2 /90694.6 /90130.9 /9040.3 /90
Kim Moon-Hwan13851101 min100.8 /90231.9 /9040.3 /90231.9 /90100.8 /9030.2 /90
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Daejeon Citizen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Daejeon Citizen before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lee Chang-Geun n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Ludwigson n 852.1
1.55/2
0.41/1
—
Kim Bong-Soo n 884.4
0.94/3
0.84/2
—
Jo Seong-Kwon n 889.9
1.36/2
0.86/0
—
Seo Jin-Su n 850.1
0.73/0
2.98/4
—
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Daejeon Citizen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Daejeon Citizen before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Ludwigson n 852.1
34/4
Kim Bong-Soo n 884.4
2.17/5
Jo Seong-Kwon n 889.9
1.15/3
Seo Jin-Su n 850.1
1.14/1
Diogo de Oliveira n 847.1
0.52/0
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Daejeon Citizen Attacking

Daejeon Citizen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Seo Jin-Su18601079 min20.2 /9010.1 /90221.8 /9080.7 /90161.3 /90121 /90
Diogo de Oliveira1851922 min60.6 /9020.2 /90333.2 /90111.1 /90161.6 /9080.8 /90
Joo Min-Kyu1756953 min20.2 /9000 /90181.7 /9080.8 /9090.8 /9010.1 /90
Yu Kang-Hyun444174 min10.5 /9000 /9042.1 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
G. Ludwigson21651370 min20.1 /9010.1 /90251.6 /9080.5 /90110.7 /9090.6 /90
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Daejeon Citizen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Daejeon Citizen before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lee Chang-Geun n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Ludwigson n 852.1
36/2
1.33/1
Kim Bong-Soo n 884.4
0.43/0
00/0
Jo Seong-Kwon n 889.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
Seo Jin-Su n 850.1
2.26/3
0.72/1
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Daejeon Citizen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Daejeon Citizen before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lee Chang-Geun n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Ludwigson n 852.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Kim Bong-Soo n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Jo Seong-Kwon n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Seo Jin-Su n 850.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Incheon United

Incheon United Goalkeeper

Incheon United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Kim Dong-Heon16901440 min442.8 /9080.5 /9000 /90
Lee Tae Hui390270 min93 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Incheon United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kim Dong-Heon n 890
2.64/3
Lee Tae Hui n 890
2.86/5

Incheon United Defensive

Incheon United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Juan Ibiza19901710 min100.5 /90211.1 /9070.4 /90794.2 /90170.9 /9040.2 /90
Ju-yong Lee19881665 min382.1 /90241.3 /9040.2 /90834.5 /90201.1 /9010.1 /90
Kim Myung-Sun19851617 min331.8 /90120.7 /9000 /90593.3 /90241.3 /9010.1 /90
Kim Gun-Hee1090900 min111.1 /90181.8 /9020.2 /90505 /9020.2 /9000 /90
Park Kyung-Sub17979 min00 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Incheon United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Juan Ibiza n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
—
Ju-yong Lee n 890
1.46/3
0.63/2
—
Kim Myung-Sun n 888.4
16/1
0.53/1
—
Chung-yong Lee n 878.4
15/2
0.73/2
—
Jae-min Seo n 875.4
15/1
1.55/4
—
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Incheon United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juan Ibiza n 890
0.32/0
Ju-yong Lee n 890
2.17/5
Kim Myung-Sun n 888.4
0.94/2
Chung-yong Lee n 878.4
0.73/2
Jae-min Seo n 875.4
1.96/4
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Incheon United Attacking

Incheon United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Chung-yong Lee19681296 min30.2 /9010.1 /90191.3 /9080.6 /90181.3 /9060.4 /90
Stefan Mugoša17831411 min100.6 /9010.1 /90412.6 /90191.2 /90100.6 /9090.6 /90
Gerso Fernandes1751872 min20.2 /9000 /90171.8 /9080.8 /90131.3 /90101 /90
Morgan Ferrier1452726 min50.6 /9000 /90192.4 /9081 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90
Dong-ryul Lee1351661 min00 /9020.3 /90101.4 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90
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Incheon United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Juan Ibiza n 890
17/1
0.32/0
Ju-yong Lee n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Kim Myung-Sun n 888.4
0.42/1
0.32/0
Chung-yong Lee n 878.4
1.76/3
15/1
Jae-min Seo n 875.4
0.43/0
00/0
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Incheon United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Incheon United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Juan Ibiza n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Ju-yong Lee n 890
00/0
00/0
Kim Myung-Sun n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Chung-yong Lee n 878.4
0.32/0
00/0
Jae-min Seo n 875.4
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Daejeon CitizenWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Incheon UnitedDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Daejeon Citizen 3 · 2 draws · Incheon United 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-20 Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen
  • 2026-05-05 Daejeon Citizen 0–0 Incheon United
  • 2026-03-18 Incheon United 1–3 Daejeon Citizen
  • 2024-11-10 Incheon United 1–2 Daejeon Citizen
  • 2024-08-17 Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Incheon United
  • 2024-05-18 Daejeon Citizen 0–1 Incheon United
League standing · 2026
Daejeon Citizen#3 pos50 pts34 pl+12 GD
Incheon United#4 pos49 pts34 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Daejeon Citizen scored1.56
Incheon United scored1.29
Daejeon Citizen conceded1.21
Incheon United conceded1.03

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United is Home offsides over 0.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United?
In their last 6 meetings, Daejeon Citizen won 3, Incheon United won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United?
Recent form — Daejeon Citizen 2W 1D 2L; Incheon United 3W 2D 0L.

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