Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC prediction

K League 1 · · Gwangju Football Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gwangju FC · Gimcheon Sangmu FC · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC, K League 1 on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 07:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.78 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 466 of 713 times (65.4%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gwangju FC host Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1 on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 07:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Gwangju FC have conceded 69 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026 so far).

Gwangju FC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Gwangju FC are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Gimcheon Sangmu FC, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Gwangju FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Gwangju FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Gwangju FC have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.00. Gwangju FC have scored 30 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026 so far).

Six of Gimcheon Sangmu FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Gimcheon Sangmu FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Gimcheon Sangmu FC have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.88. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have scored 33 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026 so far). Gimcheon Sangmu FC have conceded 41 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Gwangju FC (12th) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC (10th) are 13 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gimcheon Sangmu FC the stronger side, 52 rating points above Gwangju FC (Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1538, Gwangju FC 1486, after at least 217 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Gwangju FC.

Team news

Predicted Gwangju FC XI (4-4-2): D. Kim, K. Sung-Yun, M. Sang-Gi, T. van Grunsven, J. Pedro, C. Kyoung-Rok, S. Chang-Moo, H. Seung-Un, Y. Je-Ho, J. Iredale, A. Ba Loua — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Iredale (6.4 per match over eight appearances, eight goals) and A. Ba Loua (5.5 per match over eight appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Gwangju FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gwangju FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Iredale averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 658 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. A. Ba Loua averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 665 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Gimcheon Sangmu FC XI (4-4-2): P. Man-Ho, K. Min-kyu, B. Jun-soo, P. Jin-Seong, P. Cheol-woo, H. Yun-Sang, L. Kang-Hyeon, T. Park, J. Go, L. Sangheon, K. Lee — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Park Man-Ho (4.3 per match over five appearances) and Jae-hyeon Go (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Gimcheon Sangmu FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gimcheon Sangmu FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Park Man-Ho averages 4.4 saves per 90 over 450 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last five appearances. Jae-hyeon Go averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1086 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · K League 1 · Gwangju Football Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gwangju FC 1 · draws 5 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gwangju FC 2W 2D 1L · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1W 2D 2L

Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
2.25 / 5
Corners
against 5.38 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 7.13 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1
Cards
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGwangju FC for / againstLineGimcheon Sangmu FC for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 19.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.88 for · 8.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 7.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
8.14 for · 7 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 0.88 against n 8

Gwangju FC

Gwangju FC Goalkeeper

Gwangju FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Dong-hwa Kim890720 min313.9 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Kim Kyeong-Min490360 min143.5 /90112.8 /9000 /90
Gwangju FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gwangju FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dong-hwa Kim n 890
3.98/7
Kim Kyeong-Min n 890
2.65/4

Gwangju FC Defensive

Gwangju FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kwon Sung-Yun1074743 min101.2 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90293.5 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90
Min Sang-Gi783578 min30.5 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90203.1 /9040.6 /9000 /90
Min-ki Lee769486 min132.4 /9071.3 /9000 /90285.2 /90112 /9010.2 /90
Ahn Young-Kyu765455 min10.2 /9081.6 /9040.8 /90163.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
João Pedro678468 min61.2 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90122.3 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
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Gwangju FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gwangju FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ha Seung-Un n 879.4
1.17/1
0.32/0
—
Shin Chang-Moo n 882.3
1.24/3
0.84/2
—
Kwon Sung-Yun n 881.6
15/2
1.16/2
—
Yu Je-Ho n 866.5
1.45/2
15/1
—
Choi Kyoung-Rok n 877.5
0.64/0
1.56/4
—
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Gwangju FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gwangju FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ha Seung-Un n 879.4
13/2
Shin Chang-Moo n 882.3
1.15/2
Kwon Sung-Yun n 881.6
1.27/2
Yu Je-Ho n 866.5
0.32/0
Choi Kyoung-Rok n 877.5
3.28/6
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Gwangju FC Attacking

Gwangju FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ba Loua883665 min30.4 /9040.5 /90152 /9081.1 /90202.7 /9050.7 /90
J. Iredale882658 min81.1 /9000 /90263.6 /90172.3 /9071 /9030.4 /90
H. Friðjónsson845358 min10.3 /9020.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
Ha Seung-Un1283995 min00 /9010.1 /9090.8 /9010.1 /90121.1 /9060.5 /90
Shin Chang-Moo1084838 min10.1 /9010.1 /90181.9 /9060.6 /9091 /90101.1 /90
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Gwangju FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gwangju FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ha Seung-Un n 879.4
1.35/4
0.11/0
Shin Chang-Moo n 882.3
2.57/5
0.85/1
Kwon Sung-Yun n 881.6
0.32/0
00/0
Yu Je-Ho n 866.5
0.21/0
00/0
Choi Kyoung-Rok n 877.5
15/1
0.11/0
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Gwangju FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gwangju FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ha Seung-Un n 879.4
00/0
0.11/0
Shin Chang-Moo n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Kwon Sung-Yun n 881.6
00/0
00/0
Yu Je-Ho n 866.5
00/0
00/0
Choi Kyoung-Rok n 877.5
00/0
00/0
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Goalkeeper

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jong-beom Baek1190990 min201.8 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Park Man-Ho590450 min224.4 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Jun-su Ahn290180 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gimcheon Sangmu FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jong-beom Baek n 890
1.95/4
Park Man-Ho n 590
4.45/4

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Defensive

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Tae-hwan Kim15811219 min251.8 /90151.1 /9040.3 /90654.8 /90191.4 /9020.1 /90
Jung-taek Lee14871219 min131 /90120.9 /9070.5 /90433.2 /90131 /9020.1 /90
Park Cheol-woo14871215 min272 /9080.6 /9050.4 /90533.9 /90161.2 /9030.2 /90
Byeon Jun-soo1083825 min40.4 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90222.4 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90
Kim Min-kyu881649 min40.6 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90182.5 /9081.1 /9030.4 /90
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gimcheon Sangmu FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tae-hwan Kim n 873.6
0.53/0
1.44/4
—
Hong Yun-Sang n 879.8
1.85/4
1.35/4
—
Jae-hyeon Go n 872.9
0.32/0
0.63/1
—
Jung-taek Lee n 884.9
0.31/1
0.11/0
—
Park Cheol-woo n 887.9
0.95/2
0.96/1
—
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gimcheon Sangmu FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tae-hwan Kim n 873.6
1.14/3
Hong Yun-Sang n 879.8
1.75/5
Jae-hyeon Go n 872.9
1.14/3
Jung-taek Lee n 884.9
0.53/1
Park Cheol-woo n 887.9
2.25/5
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC Attacking

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kun-hee Lee13801037 min30.3 /9010.1 /90252.2 /9060.5 /9080.7 /9060.5 /90
Lee Sangheon1355712 min10.1 /9000 /9081 /9030.4 /90151.9 /9020.3 /90
In-kyun Kim1028283 min10.3 /9000 /9082.5 /9031 /9041.3 /9031 /90
Jeong Jae-Min750352 min10.3 /9010.3 /9082 /9061.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
M. Kang365195 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gimcheon Sangmu FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tae-hwan Kim n 873.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Hong Yun-Sang n 879.8
1.35/3
0.11/0
Jae-hyeon Go n 872.9
3.15/4
1.14/3
Jung-taek Lee n 884.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Park Cheol-woo n 887.9
0.54/0
0.11/0
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gimcheon Sangmu FC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tae-hwan Kim n 873.6
00/0
00/0
Hong Yun-Sang n 879.8
00/0
0.11/0
Jae-hyeon Go n 872.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
Jung-taek Lee n 884.9
0.11/0
00/0
Park Cheol-woo n 887.9
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Gwangju FCDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gwangju FC 1 · 5 draws · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-06 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Gwangju FC
  • 2026-07-22 Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
  • 2026-03-17 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Gwangju FC
  • 2025-07-22 Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
  • 2025-05-05 Gwangju FC 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
  • 2025-03-16 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–0 Gwangju FC
League standing · 2026
Gwangju FC#12 pos21 pts33 pl-39 GD
Gimcheon Sangmu FC#10 pos34 pts33 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Gwangju FC scored0.91
Gimcheon Sangmu FC scored1
Gwangju FC conceded2.09
Gimcheon Sangmu FC conceded1.24

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gwangju FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.78 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Gwangju FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Gwangju FC won 1, Gimcheon Sangmu FC won 0 and there were 5 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gwangju FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Recent form — Gwangju FC 2W 2D 1L; Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1W 2D 2L.

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