Alaves v Celta Vigo prediction

La Liga · Sun, 07 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT · Estadio Mendizorrotza

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Alaves · Celta Vigo · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Alaves v Celta Vigo, La Liga on Sun, 07 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Alaves host Celta Vigo in La Liga on Sunday 7 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Alaves are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Celta Vigo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Alaves have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. Alaves have scored 15 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Alaves have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Celta Vigo have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 0.86. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Celta Vigo have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Alaves (10th) and Celta Vigo (12th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 18 rating points above Alaves (Celta Vigo 1501, Alaves 1482, after at least 316 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves.

Team news

Predicted Alaves XI (3-5-2): Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, N. Valentini, P. Ibáñez, A. Blanco, A. Pérez, Guevara, D. Suárez, L. Boyé, T. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Boyé (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Pablo Ibáñez (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Alaves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alaves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Boyé averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 887 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Pablo Ibáñez averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 975 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, J. Rodríguez, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, J. Rueda, A. Febas, I. Moriba, S. Carreira, H. Álvarez, F. Jutglà, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Javi Rodríguez (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Javi Rodríguez averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 884 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 07 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT · La Liga · Estadio Mendizorrotza
Head-to-head (last 6): Alaves 2 · draws 1 · Celta Vigo 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Alaves 0W 2D 3L · Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L

Alaves v Celta Vigo (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3.75

Corners

against 4.38 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Alaves for / against	Line	Celta Vigo for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.88 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.63 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.63 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.38 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sivera	12	901080 min	342.8 /90	110.9 /90	10.1 /90

Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sivera n 8	90	2.6 6/2

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Tenaglia	12	861035 min	272.3 /90	181.6 /90	30.3 /90	605.2 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90
V. Koski	12	83999 min	100.9 /90	121.1 /90	70.6 /90	292.6 /90	111 /90	00 /90
Jonny	9	84752 min	161.9 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	293.5 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
Yusi	9	40358 min	123 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	215.3 /90	82 /90	00 /90
N. Valentini	7	76531 min	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	50.8 /90	284.7 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.9 5/2	1.5 6/2	—
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1 5/2	0.4 3/0	—
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	1.8 6/4	2.6 8/6	—
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	1 5/1	1.3 4/3	—
See more players · Pro

Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	2.7 7/6
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1.1 6/2
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	2.8 5/4
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	2.3 6/4
M. Díaz n 8	38.4	0.6 2/0
See more players · Pro

Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Díaz	12	40475 min	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	112.1 /90	101.9 /90	50.9 /90	61.1 /90
L. Boyé	11	81887 min	50.5 /90	00 /90	212.1 /90	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	50.5 /90
Toni Martínez	11	56618 min	00 /90	00 /90	192.8 /90	40.6 /90	60.9 /90	10.1 /90
Aitor Mañas	4	32126 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Hugo Novoa	3	3089 min	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	33 /90	22 /90
See more players · Pro

Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	0.9 3/2	0 0/0
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
See more players · Pro

Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Radu	15	901350 min	503.3 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Radu n 8	90	3.9 7/5

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Yoel Lago	13	871125 min	191.5 /90	181.4 /90	90.7 /90	493.9 /90	221.8 /90	40.3 /90
Marcos Alonso	11	86951 min	161.5 /90	161.5 /90	30.3 /90	383.6 /90	121.1 /90	20.2 /90
Javi Rodríguez	10	86855 min	121.3 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90	313.3 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
Álvaro Núñez	5	86431 min	71.5 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	132.7 /90	51 /90	00 /90
S. Cáceres	5	82408 min	102.2 /90	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	235.1 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.9 5/0	1.3 5/2	—
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	1.7 6/3	1.2 5/2	—
W. Swedberg n 8	43.6	1.8 5/2	1.3 3/2	—
Yoel Lago n 8	90	1.9 6/4	1.6 7/5	—
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.8 2/2
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	0.5 2/1
W. Swedberg n 8	43.6	2.3 5/2
Yoel Lago n 8	90	2 6/5
I. Moriba n 8	69	3.3 7/4
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Swedberg	14	45629 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90
Hugo Álvarez	13	63820 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90	131.4 /90	70.8 /90
Ferran Jutglà	12	69833 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	192.1 /90	50.5 /90	91 /90	50.5 /90
Iago Aspas	11	36393 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	30.7 /90	112.5 /90	61.4 /90
Pablo Durán	10	58583 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	162.5 /90	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	81.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.9 4/1	0 0/0
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	43.6	1 2/1	0.3 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Javi Rueda n 8	73.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	43.6	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Alaves v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AlavesLLDLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Celta VigoWWDLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Alaves 2 · 1 draw · Celta Vigo 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-10-18 Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves
2026-03-22 Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves
2025-11-22 Alaves 0–1 Celta Vigo
2025-01-27 Alaves 1–1 Celta Vigo
2024-08-16 Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves
2024-04-27 Alaves 3–0 Celta Vigo

League standing · 2026/27

Alaves#10 pos13 pts12 pl-2 GD

Celta Vigo#12 pos12 pts11 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Alaves scored1.25

Celta Vigo scored0.91

Alaves conceded1.42

Celta Vigo conceded0.91

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Celta Vigo?: In their last 6 meetings, Alaves won 2, Celta Vigo won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alaves and Celta Vigo?: Recent form — Alaves 0W 2D 3L; Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.