Alaves v Espanyol prediction

La Liga · · Estadio Mendizorrotza

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Alaves vs Espanyol, La Liga on Sun, 06 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Alaves host Espanyol in La Liga on Sunday 6 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Alaves are winless in their last four matches.

Espanyol have scored in 12 consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Eight of Alaves’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Alaves’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Alaves have five wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.33. Alaves have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Alaves have conceded eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Espanyol are winless in their last three matches. Seven of Espanyol’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Espanyol’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Espanyol have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.29. Espanyol have scored 11 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Espanyol have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Alaves (seventh) and Espanyol (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Alaves the stronger side, 122 rating points above Espanyol (Alaves 1548, Espanyol 1426, after at least 274 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 January 2026, finished Espanyol 1–2 Alaves.

Team news

Predicted Alaves XI (3-5-2): Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, Jonny, P. Ibáñez, A. Blanco, A. Rebbach, D. Suárez, C. Benavídez, L. Boyé, T. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Boyé (5.3 per match over seven appearances, five goals) and Sivera (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Alaves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alaves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Boyé averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 548 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Sivera averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 720 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Espanyol XI (4-2-3-1): Á. Fortuño, O. El Hilali, R. Hinojo, C. Riedel, L. Cabrera, E. Expósito, J. Hernandez, T. Dolan, U. González, Á. Calatrava, R. Fernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Roberto Fernández (4.4 per match over eight appearances, six goals) and Javier Hernandez (3.6 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Espanyol’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Espanyol (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Roberto Fernández averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 785 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. Javier Hernandez averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 618 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio Mendizorrotza
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Alaves 3 · draws 0 · Espanyol 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Alaves 1W 1D 3L · Espanyol 1W 2D 2L

As of 16 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Alaves v Espanyol across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 2.13
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAlaves for / againstLineEspanyol for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
2.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
16.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
Alaves
Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Boyé n 879
2.78/7
2.16/3
—
Aitor Mañas n 820.5
2.24/0
2.23/1
—
Miguel Rodríguez n 815.3
2.22/1
5.95/3
—
Pablo Ibáñez n 883.8
27/5
1.77/4
—
N. Valentini n 867
25/2
0.32/0
—
Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Miguel Rodríguez n 815.3
3.74/1
2.23/0
Toni Martínez n 862.9
2.35/4
0.52/1
M. Díaz n 843.6
2.35/3
2.14/3
L. Boyé n 879
1.97/4
1.15/2
Angel Pérez n 869.1
1.67/2
0.85/0
Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Díaz n 843.6
0.83/0
0.82/1
L. Boyé n 879
0.73/1
00/0
Angel Pérez n 869.1
00/0
0.52/1
Guevara n 823.9
00/0
0.51/0
Carles Aleñá n 825.9
00/0
0.41/0
Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yusi n 827
4.26/3
Mikel Rodriguez n 857.8
3.58/5
Guevara n 823.9
2.83/1
Antonio Blanco n 873.8
2.66/5
Carles Aleñá n 825.9
2.65/1
Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sivera n 890
3.58/4
Espanyol
Espanyol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. El Hilali n 878.3
2.76/5
0.73/1
—
Pol Lozano n 838
2.77/2
0.92/1
—
Javier Hernandez n 877.3
2.56/6
1.96/5
—
Rafel Bauzà n 857.9
2.56/4
2.17/2
—
Marcos Fernández n 839.3
24/2
0.31/0
—
Espanyol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marcos Fernández n 839.3
3.27/3
1.74/2
Álex Calatrava n 850.6
2.46/4
1.14/1
Jofre Carreras n 820.9
2.22/1
1.11/1
Roberto Fernández n 886.9
2.18/7
15/2
Bryan Zaragoza n 833.4
24/2
1.33/1
Espanyol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marcos Fernández n 839.3
0.62/0
0.31/0
Javier Hernandez n 877.3
00/0
0.75/0
Rafel Bauzà n 857.9
0.21/0
0.42/0
Roberto Fernández n 886.9
0.53/1
00/0
Pere Milla n 825.5
00/0
0.41/0
Espanyol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Q. Hartman n 871
3.66/4
Álex Calatrava n 850.6
3.16/4
Pol Lozano n 838
34/2
Gabriel Moscardo n 848.3
2.85/5
O. El Hilali n 878.3
2.68/3
Espanyol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dmitrović n 890
3.56/5
Ángel Fortuño n 390
2.72/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Alaves v Espanyol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlavesWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
EspanyolDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Alaves 3 · 0 draws · Espanyol 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-30 Espanyol 1–2 Alaves
  • 2025-11-02 Alaves 2–1 Espanyol
  • 2025-02-22 Alaves 0–1 Espanyol
  • 2024-09-14 Espanyol 3–2 Alaves
  • 2022-05-11 Alaves 2–1 Espanyol
  • 2021-09-22 Espanyol 1–0 Alaves
League standing · 2026/27
Alaves#7 pos11 pts8 pl+4 GD
Espanyol#12 pos8 pts8 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Alaves scored1.5
Espanyol scored1.38
Alaves conceded1
Espanyol conceded1.38

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Espanyol?
In their last 6 meetings, Alaves won 3, Espanyol won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alaves and Espanyol?
Recent form — Alaves 1W 1D 3L; Espanyol 1W 2D 2L.

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