Alaves v Rayo Vallecano prediction

La Liga · Sun, 18 Apr 2027 16:00 BST · Estadio Mendizorrotza

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Alaves · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Alaves v Rayo Vallecano, La Liga on Sun, 18 Apr 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Alaves host Rayo Vallecano in La Liga on Sunday 18 April (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Alaves are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Alaves have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. Alaves have scored 15 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Alaves have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Rayo Vallecano have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.00. Rayo Vallecano have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Alaves (10th) and Rayo Vallecano (14th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rayo Vallecano the stronger side, 93 rating points above Alaves (Rayo Vallecano 1576, Alaves 1482, after at least 238 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves.

Team news

Predicted Alaves XI (3-5-2): Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, N. Valentini, P. Ibáñez, A. Blanco, A. Pérez, Guevara, D. Suárez, L. Boyé, T. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Boyé (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Pablo Ibáñez (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Alaves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alaves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Boyé averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 887 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Pablo Ibáñez averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 975 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-2-3-1): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, M. Sadick, A. Pedrosa, A. Rațiu, U. López, Ó. Valentín, P. Díaz, Á. García, P. Ciss, J. de Frutos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Unai López (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and three assists) and Andrei Rațiu (4.3 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Unai López averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 850 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Andrei Rațiu averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 18 Apr 2027 16:00 BST · La Liga · Estadio Mendizorrotza
Head-to-head (last 6): Alaves 1 · draws 1 · Rayo Vallecano 4 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Alaves 0W 2D 3L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L

Alaves v Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 5.14

Corners

against 4.38 / 5.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4 / 5.57

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 5.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.88 / 3

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Alaves for / against	Line	Rayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.14 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.88 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.43 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.57 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.63 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.29 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5

Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sivera	12	901080 min	342.8 /90	110.9 /90	10.1 /90

Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sivera n 8	90	2.6 6/2

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Tenaglia	12	861035 min	272.3 /90	181.6 /90	30.3 /90	605.2 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90
V. Koski	12	83999 min	100.9 /90	121.1 /90	70.6 /90	292.6 /90	111 /90	00 /90
Jonny	9	84752 min	161.9 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	293.5 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
Yusi	9	40358 min	123 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	215.3 /90	82 /90	00 /90
N. Valentini	7	76531 min	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	50.8 /90	284.7 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.9 5/2	1.5 6/2	—
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1 5/2	0.4 3/0	—
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	1.8 6/4	2.6 8/6	—
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	1 5/1	1.3 4/3	—
See more players · Pro

Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	2.7 7/6
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1.1 6/2
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	2.8 5/4
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	2.3 6/4
M. Díaz n 8	38.4	0.6 2/0
See more players · Pro

Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Díaz	12	40475 min	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	112.1 /90	101.9 /90	50.9 /90	61.1 /90
L. Boyé	11	81887 min	50.5 /90	00 /90	212.1 /90	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	50.5 /90
Toni Martínez	11	56618 min	00 /90	00 /90	192.8 /90	40.6 /90	60.9 /90	10.1 /90
Aitor Mañas	4	32126 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Hugo Novoa	3	3089 min	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	33 /90	22 /90
See more players · Pro

Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	0.9 3/2	0 0/0
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
See more players · Pro

Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Rebbach n 8	69.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Audero	6	90540 min	213.5 /90	61 /90
Dani Cárdenas	3	70210 min	83.4 /90	83.4 /90
A. Batalla	2	75150 min	31.8 /90	21.2 /90

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Audero n 6	90	3.5 5/4
Dani Cárdenas n 8	82.5	4.5 6/5
A. Batalla n 8	86.3	2.3 7/3

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Lejeune	10	90900 min	212.1 /90	151.5 /90	90.9 /90	535.3 /90	141.4 /90	10.1 /90
Adrià Pedrosa	8	76609 min	142.1 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90	324.7 /90	111.6 /90	20.3 /90
A. Rațiu	7	90630 min	101.4 /90	81.1 /90	20.3 /90	375.3 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
Mujaid Sadick	6	73436 min	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	132.7 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
I. Balliu	6	58345 min	61.6 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	153.9 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.5 7/3	1.1 3/3	—
Unai López n 8	79.6	0.7 4/1	1.1 6/2	—
Álvaro García n 8	80	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
Sergio Camello n 8	68.8	1.3 5/3	1.8 5/5	—
P. Ciss n 8	90	1.5 6/4	0.6 4/1	—
See more players · Pro

Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.9 7/5
Unai López n 8	79.6	2.4 8/5
Álvaro García n 8	80	1.3 5/3
Sergio Camello n 8	68.8	1.3 5/2
P. Ciss n 8	90	1.5 8/3
See more players · Pro

Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Sergio Camello	10	67666 min	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	223 /90	141.9 /90	91.2 /90	81.1 /90
Jorge de Frutos	8	72573 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	50.8 /90	50.8 /90	71.1 /90	91.4 /90
G. Tsitaishvili	7	45316 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.3 /90	20.6 /90	51.4 /90	30.9 /90
Alemão	6	25152 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
Fran Pérez	4	32128 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	32.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.8 7/4	0.3 2/0
Unai López n 8	79.6	1.1 6/2	0.4 3/0
Álvaro García n 8	80	1.5 5/3	0.6 3/1
Sergio Camello n 8	68.8	3.1 8/7	2 6/4
P. Ciss n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Unai López n 8	79.6	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
Álvaro García n 8	80	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Sergio Camello n 8	68.8	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
P. Ciss n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Alaves v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AlavesLLDLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Rayo VallecanoDDLWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Alaves 1 · 1 draw · Rayo Vallecano 4 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-08-20 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves
2026-05-23 Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano
2026-01-14 Alaves 2–0 Rayo Vallecano
2025-10-26 Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves
2025-03-29 Alaves 0–2 Rayo Vallecano
2024-10-26 Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves

League standing · 2026/27

Alaves#10 pos13 pts12 pl-2 GD

Rayo Vallecano#14 pos12 pts10 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Alaves scored1.25

Rayo Vallecano scored1.5

Alaves conceded1.42

Rayo Vallecano conceded2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano?: In their last 6 meetings, Alaves won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alaves and Rayo Vallecano?: Recent form — Alaves 0W 2D 3L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.